<http://www.truthout.org/041709EA>Global Warming Study: Nations Need 
to Cut Emissions by 70 Percent

Thursday 16 April 2009

<http://www.environmentalleader.com/2009/04/16/global-warming-study-nations-need-to-cut-emissions-by-70-percent/>by:
 
  |  Visit article original @ Environmental Leader


A chemical plant in Changzhi, China. A new study found that the world 
needs to cut emissions by 70 percent to address accelerating global 
warming (Photo: Reuters)

     The threat of global warming can be significantly lessened if 
nations cut emissions of heat-trapping greenhouse gases by 70 percent 
this century, according to a 
<http://www.ucar.edu/news/releases/2009/greenhousecuts.jsp#mediaterms>new 
study. This would help reduce the most dangerous aspects of climate 
change, including massive losses of Arctic sea ice and permafrost and 
significant sea level rise, although global temperatures will still 
rise.

     The study, led by scientists at the National Center for 
Atmospheric Research (NCAR), will be published in Geophysical 
Research Letters. It was funded by the 
<http://www.doe.gov/>Department of Energy and the 
<http://www.nsf.gov/>National Science Foundation, NCAR's sponsor.

     "This research indicates that we can no longer avoid significant 
warming during this century," said NCAR scientist Warren Washington, 
the lead author for the study. However, a catastrophe can be avoided 
if the world implements the recommended emission cuts of 70 percent, 
he said.

     The Obama Administration's proposed 
<http://www.environmentalleader.com/2009/04/08/white-house-ties-climate-action-to-economic-growth/>cap-and-trade
 
program would bring U.S. emissions 20 percent below 2005 levels by 
2020 and 83 percent by 2050. But the program is still under debate. 
The Obama administration has sent strong signals that it would take a 
leading role in setting global policy.

     Most recently, the White House Office of Management and Budget 
approved the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's finding that 
greenhouse gas emissions threaten the public. This means the EPA may 
soon announce an 
"<http://www.environmentalleader.com/2009/04/15/epa-nears-endangerment-finding-on-greenhouse-gas-emissions/>endangerment
 
finding" that will enable the agency to write regulations under the 
Clean Air Act that limit emissions.

     Earlier this year, 
<http://www.environmentalleader.com/2009/03/18/uk-scientists-warn-cutting-carbon-emissions-by-a-third-not-enough/>scientists
 
in the United Kingdom said that a government plan to reduce carbon 
emissions by one-third by 2020 is not enough to prevent changes to 
the climate. Scientists from the Tyndall Centre of Climate Change 
said in order to prevent temperatures from rising above a level that 
causes extreme weather events, droughts and food shortage, emissions 
cuts will have to run much deeper. The UK's goal is to cut carbon 
emissions 80 percent by 2050.

     The 
<http://www.environmentalleader.com/2009/03/23/eu-delays-climate-aid-decision/>European
 
Union agreed in December 2008 to cut greenhouse emissions by 20 
percent and to ensure that 20 percent of its energy needs come from 
renewable sources by 2020. They could increase cuts to 30 percent if 
nations such as the United States, Russia and China followed suit.

     According to the NCAR study, average global temperatures have 
warmed by close to 1 degree Celsius (almost 1.8 degrees Fahrenheit) 
since the pre-industrial era, primarily due to human-produced 
emissions of greenhouse gases. This heat-trapping gas has increased 
from a pre-industrial level of about 284 parts per million (ppm) in 
the atmosphere to more than 380 ppm today. An additional warming of 
about 1 degree C may be the threshold for dangerous climate change, 
according to the study.

     Key finding: If carbon dioxide were held to 450 ppm, global 
temperatures would increase by 0.6 degrees C (about 1 degree F) above 
current readings by the end of the century, however, if emissions 
continue on their present course temperatures would rise by almost 
four times that amount, to 2.2 degrees C (4 degrees F) above current 
readings.
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