TAL OB sepi malam ini.. Besok Ijo.. Ijo.. Ijo.. Ngarepdimalamhari.com
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-----Original Message-----
From: artomoro9 <artomo...@yahoo.co.id>
Date: Mon, 12 Oct 2009 23:21:16
To: <obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com>
Subject: Re: [ob] Dow 10,000...?
sst...
jangan berisik...
regards,
A9
(bumi on theway..!)
--- Pada Sen, 12/10/09, Andre Andre <andre...@yahoo.com> menulis:
Dari: Andre Andre <andre...@yahoo.com>
Judul: Re: [ob] Dow 10,000...
Kepada: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Tanggal: Senin, 12 Oktober, 2009, 8:07 PM
pantes si om arto blg bum2 k 4 k
From: Peter Alimin <milis...@live.com>
To: OB <obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com>
Sent: Mon, October 12, 2009 8:04:18 PM
Subject: Re: [ob] Dow 10,000...
Oil udah sempet 73,5 break 74 atau dkt2 75 should be easylah..
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-----Original Message-----
From: Thomas Frederick <thomaszone_2...@yahoo.com>
Date: Mon, 12 Oct 2009 13:03:18
To: <obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com>
Subject: Re: [ob] Dow 10,000...
Sebelumnya Colin Twiggs memprediksi bahwa Dow akan jebol karena Head N
shoulder pattern (sekitar bbrp bln lalu)
Akankah kali ini kontra lagi analisanya?
----------------
From: "Aria Bela Nusa" <ariab...@centrin.net.id>
Date: Mon, 12 Oct 2009 19:58:44 +0700
To: <obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com>
Subject: [ob] Dow 10,000...
Dow 10,000
By Colin Twiggs
October 12, 3:00 a.m. ET (6:00 p.m. AET)
These extracts from my trading diary are for educational purposes and should
not be interpreted as investment or trading advice. Full terms and conditions
can be found at Terms of
Use <http://www.incrediblecharts.com/legal_vizhon/terms_of_use.htm> .
We remain in the high-risk period following the end of the third quarter. The
Dow is also testing its key resistance level of 10000, while the FTSE 100 and
ASX 200 are testing their key level of 5000. Upward breakout would confirm a
bull market, while respect of these levels would warn of a secondary correction.
In the long term, we are not out of the woods. John Mauldin in Thoughts From
The Frontline <http://www.frontlinethoughts.com/article.asp?id=mwo100909>
highlights recent research by Peter Bernholz (Professor of Economics at the
University of Basel, Switzerland) into the causes of hyper-inflation. In his
book Monetary
Regimes and Inflation: History, Economic and Political Relationships
<http://astore.amazon.com/incrediblecha-20/detail/1845427785> , Bernholz
analyzes 12 of the largest episodes of hyper-inflation in the last 20 years.
All were caused by financing huge public budget deficits through money creation
and he concludes that the tipping point for hyper-inflation occurs when
government deficits exceed 40% of expenditures.
US budget deficits of 40 per cent or more are projected for 2009 and 2010, a
clear warning despite the current credit contraction. If hyper-inflation
occurs, traders would want to be short on bonds and long on real assets such as
stocks, precious metals and real estate. The recent surge in gold indicates
that inflationary fears are growing.
Commodities
Baltic Dry Index reversal above 2500 indicates that demand for bulk commodity
shipping is recovering - a positive sign for commodity prices and resources
stocks. Retracement that respects the September low would signal the start of a
primary advance.
Baltic Dry Index
The RJ/CRB Commodities Index found support at 250 and is now rallying to test
270; breakout would confirm a primary advance to 300*. Reversal below 247 is
now unlikely, but would warn of reversal to a primary down-trend.
CRB Commodities Index
* Target calculation: 266 + ( 266 - 232 ) = 300
USA
Dow Jones Industrial Average
The Dow found support at 9500 before rallying to test 10000. Reversal below
9500 would indicate a secondary correction, while breakout above 10000 would
signal another primary advance. Twiggs Money Flow (21-day), however, still
shows a bearish divergence and reversal below zero would indicate a correction.
In the long term, breakout above 10000 would offer a target of 12000*; failure
of support at 8000 is unlikely, but would signal reversal to a primary
down-trend.
Dow Jones Industrial Average
* Target calculation: 10000 + ( 10000 - 8000 ) = 12000
------------------------------------
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