http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view <http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=41794> &id=41794 Iran: A View From Moscow Dmitri Trenin <http://www.carnegieendowment.org/experts/index.cfm?fa=expert_view&expert_id =287> , Alexey Malashenko <http://www.carnegieendowment.org/experts/index.cfm?fa=expert_view&expert_id =369> Carnegie Report, October 2010 Although Iran and Russia have substantial economic and military ties, Moscow is increasingly wary of Tehran's growing ambitions. In a new report, Dmitri Trenin and Alexey Malashenko offer a view from Moscow and detail how Iran's desire to develop nuclear weapons and long-range missiles-while refusing to compromise with the international community-threaten Russia. Key Policy Recommendations: * Russia should lead. Using its business and security links with Tehran, Moscow can help lead international efforts to dissuade Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons. * Appeal to moderates. By working with moderate pragmatists in Tehran, Russia can encourage constructive dialogue with Iran and help spur a compromise with the West on the nuclear issue. * Avoid a military strike. A military attack against Iran would divide the international community, destabilize the Middle East, and virtually ensure that hardliners turn Iran into a nuclear weapons state. "Moscow does not have enough sway to directly alter Tehran's policies and it does not want to be an intermediary between Iran and the United States," the authors write. "But as Iran's neighbor, economic and military partner, and as a permanent member of the Security Council, Russia can encourage moderate forces in Iran to compromise with the West on the nuclear issue instead of confronting Washington." Source: www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=41794 Resources for this publication * Full Text <http://www.carnegieendowment.org/files/iran_view_moscow.pdf> http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view <http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=41811> &id=41811 Why NATO Is on the Right Track Detlef Waechter <http://www.carnegieendowment.org/experts/index.cfm?fa=expert_view&expert_id =560> Policy Outlook, October 2010 Resources * Full Text <http://www.carnegieendowment.org/files/nato_right_track.pdf> <http://www.carnegieendowment.org/images/article_images/20101026-rasmussen.j pg> When NATO leaders convene in Lisbon November 19-20, they will not only update the Alliance's Strategic Concept to guide its work over the next decade but also reexamine its policy on nuclear weapons. Spurred by recent nonproliferation initiatives, the review could split NATO's members if not handled carefully. In a Policy Outlook, Detlef Waechter writes that NATO members should endorse the approach Secretary of State Hillary Clinton outlined in her April meeting with foreign ministers in Estonia, which called for NATO to retain its nuclear status but reduce the role and number of nuclear weapons. This modest but realistic course will allow NATO to play a constructive role in arms control, he argues. Key Policy Recommendations: * Conduct a Nuclear Posture Review. NATO leaders should task the North-Atlantic Council with conducting a Nuclear Posture Review (NPR) and constructing detailed proposals on NATO's nuclear policy to review at the next summit meeting. * Talk with Russia. NATO should use the NPR to bring Russia to the negotiating table on issues of transparency, reduction, and redeployment of nuclear weapons. This issue should top the NATO-Russia Council meeting at Lisbon, which Russian President Dmitri Medvedev has been invited to attend. * Adopt a multi-track approach. While isolated talks on tactical nuclear weapons will fail, a multi-track approach combining tactical nuclear weapons, stockpiled U.S. strategic weapons, conventional arms control, and missile defense could help the Alliance reach its goal of a nuclear-weapon-free Europe. Using a multi-track approach "requires considerable will to compromise on the part of the United States, which owns the tactical nuclear weapons in Europe as well as the strategic weapons systems," Waechter writes. "But the result-a European continent free of nuclear weapons, a NATO reconciled with Russia, and an Alliance free to tackle emerging security threats-would certainly make the effort worthwhile." Source: www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=41811 Resources for this publication * Full Text <http://www.carnegieendowment.org/files/nato_right_track.pdf> [Non-text portions of this message have been removed] ------------------------------------ -------------------------- Want to discuss this topic? Head on over to our discussion list, discuss-os...@yahoogroups.com. -------------------------- Brooks Isoldi, editor biso...@intellnet.org http://www.intellnet.org Post message: osint@yahoogroups.com Subscribe: osint-subscr...@yahoogroups.com Unsubscribe: osint-unsubscr...@yahoogroups.com *** FAIR USE NOTICE. This message contains copyrighted material whose use has not been specifically authorized by the copyright owner. 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