http://www.gulf-times.com/site/topics/article.asp?cu_no=2
<http://www.gulf-times.com/site/topics/article.asp?cu_no=2&item_no=115436&ve
rsion=1&template_id=41&parent_id=23>
&item_no=115436&version=1&template_id=41&parent_id=23

 


Al Qaeda No.2 still remains as elusive as ever 


 


ISLAMABAD: Pakistan's destruction of a militant madrassa near the Afghan
border means Ayman al-Zawahri has one less place to go, but analysts say any
idea the net is closing on Al Qaeda's Number Two would be wishful thinking.
"Zawahri's name pops up almost after every such attack. But there has been
no sighting of the man in Bajaur at least recently. There is no evidence.
It's all speculation," said newspaper editor Rahimullah Yusufzai, an expert
on Afghan affairs.
In the deadliest strike mounted by the Pakistan Army against Al
Qaeda-friendly tribal militants, helicopters fired missiles at a religious
school run by a pro-Taliban cleric near Khar, the main town in the Bajaur
tribal region.
Some 80 suspected militants were killed, but officials said no "high-value
targets" were among them, although Zawahri and other Al Qaeda members had
visited the madrassa in the past.
Whereas intelligence has turned up nothing on the whereabouts of Osama bin
Laden for more than two years, Zawahri's hunters have had more to go on, but
he remains as elusive as ever.
Zawahri has certainly been in the Pashtun tribal belt straddling the border.
When it comes to bin Laden, though, people are only guessing that that's
where he is.
Even if both men are in the region, they are unlikely to be together. They
are too smart for that.
CIA agents thought they had a chance of killing Zawahri in Bajaur last
January when they got wind of a meeting of militants hosted by Mullah
Liaqatullah - the pro-Taliban cleric who died along with around 80 of his
followers in Monday's attack.
American Predator drone aircraft attacked two houses in the village of
Damadola, killing a number of villagers.
While it was quickly established that Zawahri had not been at the meeting,
the Pakistan government suggested that a handful of Al Qaeda operatives were
killed, including Abu Obaida al-Misri, even though no bodies were found.
It now seems that information was incorrect, as Pakistani security officials
yesterday identified al-Misri as the mastermind of a plot to blow up
US-bound airliners flying from London's Heathrow airport that was foiled in
August.
Yusufzai said it was highly unlikely that Zawahri would risk visiting the
base of such a well known sympathiser as Liaqatullah, who set up the
madrassa, called Zia-ul-Qur'an or Light of the Koran, in 1999.
The madrassa was known as the headquarters of
Tanzeem-e-Nifaz-e-Shariat-e-Mohammadi, which in the 1990s ran a vigorous
campaign to enforce Taliban values in the region, and later sent thousands
of tribesmen to fight US-led forces when they invaded Afghanistan in late
2001.
The group was outlawed by the government in Jan. 2002.
The capture of a top Al Qaeda planner, Abu Faraj Farj al Liby, in May 2005
could have focused attention on Bajaur, the most northeasterly of Pakistan's
seven semi-autonomous tribal regions.
"Zawahri's presence had not been reported in this area in the past, but Abu
Faraj had lived here in a secluded house incognito for a long time," said
Mahmood Shah, a former Pakistan security chief in the tribal belt, who
retired just before Liby was caught in the northwest town of Mardan.
Intelligence officials say Liby, who was later handed over to the US, told
Pakistani investigators that he had met Zawahri in Bajaur in 2002.
They now think Zawahri is more likely to be just across the border from
Bajaur in the eastern Afghan province of Kunar, where US troops are leading
the hunt for Al Qaeda, the Taliban and fighters loyal to Gulbuddin
Hekmatyar, a former Afghan prime minister during the mujahideen governments
of the early 1990s.
But in such a rugged, mountainous region, Zawahri could go in almost any
direction. "If it is possible for him to come to Bajaur, then it should also
be possible for him to go to Dir or Mohmand," Shah said, referring to two
neighbouring regions on the frontier.
Wherever Zawahri is, it is unlikely he would risk staying long or frequent
any one place, analysts said. - Reuters

 



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