http://cnsnews.com/news/article/china-has-divested-97-percent-its-holdin

 

China Has Divested 97 Percent of Its Holdings in U.S. Treasury Bills 

Friday, June 03, 2011 
By  <http://cnsnews.com/source/74693> Terence P. Jeffrey 

 <http://cnsnews.com/image/chinese-president-hu-jintao-and-presiden-0>
Chinese President Hu Jintao and President Barack Obama of the United States

President Barack Obama and President Hu Jintao of China toast during the
State Dinner in State Dining Room of the White House, Jan. 19, 2011.
(Official White House Photo by Lawrence Jackson)

(CNSNews.com) - China has dropped 97 percent of its holdings in U.S.
Treasury bills, decreasing its ownership of the short-term U.S. government
securities from a peak of $210.4 billion in May 2009 to $5.69 billion in
March 2011, the most recent month reported by the U.S. Treasury.

Treasury bills are securities that mature in one year or less that are sold
by the U.S. Treasury Department to fund the nation's debt.

Mainland Chinese holdings of U.S. Treasury bills are reported in column 9 of
the Treasury report
<http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/tic/Documents/lb_
41408.txt>  linked here.

Until October, the Chinese were generally making up for their decreasing
holdings in Treasury bills by increasing their holdings of longer-term U.S.
Treasury securities. Thus, until October, China's overall holdings of U.S.
debt continued to increase.

Since October, however, China has also started to divest from longer-term
U.S. Treasury securities. Thus, as
<http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/tic/Documents/mfh
.txt> reported by the Treasury Department, China's ownership of the U.S.
national debt has decreased in each of the last five months on record,
including November, December, January, February and March.  

Prior to the fall of 2008, acccording to
<http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/tic/Documents/mfh
his01.txt> Treasury Department data, Chinese ownership of short-term
Treasury bills was modest, standing at only $19.8 billion in August of that
year. But when President George W. Bush signed legislation to authorize a
$700-billion bailout of the U.S. financial industry in October 2008 and
President Barack Obama signed a $787-billion economic stimulus law in
February 2009, Chinese ownership of short-term U.S. Treasury bills
skyrocketed.

By December 2008, China owned $165.2 billion in U.S. Treasury bills,
according to the Treasury Department. By March 2009, Chinese Treasury bill
holdings were at $191.1 billion. By May 2009, Chinese holdings of Treasury
bills were peaking at $210.4 billion.

However, China's overall appetite for U.S. debt increased over a longer span
than did its appetite for short-term U.S. Treasury bills.

In August 2008, before the bank bailout and the stimulus law, overall
Chinese holdings of U.S. debt stood at $573.7 billion. That number continued
to escalate past May 2009-- when China started to reduce its holdings in
short-term Treasury bills--and ultimately peaked at $1.1753 trillion last
October.

As of March 2011, overall Chinese holdings of U.S. debt had decreased to
1.1449 trillion.

Most of the U.S. national debt is made up of publicly marketable securities
sold by the Treasury Department and I.O.U.s called "intragovernmental" bonds
that the Treasury has given to so-called government trust funds-such as the
Social Security trust funds-when it has spent the trust funds' money on
other government expenses.

The publicly marketable segment of the national debt includes Treasury
bills, which ( <http://www.treasurydirect.gov/indiv/products/products.htm>
as defined by the Treasury) mature in terms of one-year or less; Treasury
notes, which mature in terms of 2 to 10 years; Treasury Inflation-Protected
Securities (TIPS), which mature in terms of 5, 10 and 30 years; and Treasury
bonds, which mature in terms of 30 years.

At the end of August 2008, before the financial bailout and the stimulus,
the publicly marketable segment of the U.S. national debt was 4.88 trillion.
Of that, $2.56 trillion was in the intermediate-term Treasury notes, $1.22
trillion was in short-term Treasury bills, $582.8 billion was in long-term
Treasury bonds, and $521.3 billion was in TIPS.

At the end of March 2011, by which time the Chinese had dropped their
Treasury bill holdings 97 percent from their peak, the publicly marketable
segment of the U.S. national debt had almost doubled from August 2008,
hitting $9.11 trillion. Of that $9.11 trillion, $5.8 trillion was in
intermediate-term Treasury notes, $1.7 trillion was in short-term Treasury
bills; $931.5 billion was in long-term Treasury bonds, and $640.7 billion
was in TIPS.

Before the end of March 2012, the Treasury must redeem all of the $1.7
trillion in Treasury bills that were extant as of March 2011 and find new or
old buyers who will continue to invest in U.S. debt. But, for now, the
Chinese at least do not appear to be bullish customers of short-term U.S.
debt.

Treasury bills carry lower interest rates than longer-term Treasury notes
and bonds, but the longer term notes and bonds are exposed to a greater risk
of losing their value to inflation. To the degree that the $1.7 trillion in
short-term U.S. Treasury bills extant as of March must be converted into
longer-term U.S. Treasury securities, the U.S. government will be forced to
pay a higher annual interest rate on the national debt.

As of the close of business on Thursday, the total U.S. debt was $14.34
trillion, according to the
<https://www.fms.treas.gov/fmsweb/viewDTSFiles?dir=w&fname=11060200.txt>
Daily Treasury Statement. Of that, approximately $9.74 trillion was debt
held by the public and approximately $4.61 trillion was "intragovernmental"
debt.

 



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