"The governor said the U.S. military could not counter a wave of
millions of Chinese soldiers prepared to die in any onslaught against
U.S. forces. After 2,000 casualties, he said, the U.S. military would
be forced to withdraw.

"Therefore, we need to consider other means to counter China," he
said. "The step we should be taking against China, I believe, is
economic containment."

"Officials acknowledge that Mr. Ishihara's views reflect the
widespread skepticism of U.S. military capabilities in such countries
as Australia, India, Japan, Singapore and South Korea. They said the
U.S.-led war in Iraq has pointed to the American weakness in low-tech
warfare.

"When we can't even control parts of Anbar, they get the message loud
and clear," an official said, referring to the flashpoint province in
western Iraq."

http://www.insightmag.com/Media/MediaManager/slasheastasia_1.htm

East Asia allies doubt U.S. could win war with China

The overwhelming assessment by Asian officials, diplomats and analysts
is that the U.S. military simply cannot defeat China. It has been an
assessment relayed to U.S. government officials over the past few
months by countries such as Australia, Japan and South Korea. This
comes as President Bush wraps up a visit to Asia, in which he sought
to strengthen U.S. ties with key allies in the region.

Most Asian officials have expressed their views privately. Tokyo
Governor Shintaro Ishihara has gone public, warning that the United
States would lose any war with China.

"In any case, if tension between the United States and China
heightens, if each side pulls the trigger, though it may not be
stretched to nuclear weapons, and the wider hostilities expand, I
believe America cannot win as it has a civic society that must adhere
to the value of respecting lives," Mr. Ishihara said in an address to
the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies.

Mr. Ishihara said U.S. ground forces, with the exception of the
Marines, are "extremely incompetent" and would be unable to stem a
Chinese conventional attack. Indeed, he asserted that China would not
hesitate to use nuclear weapons against Asian and American cities�even
at the risk of a massive U.S. retaliation.

The governor said the U.S. military could not counter a wave of
millions of Chinese soldiers prepared to die in any onslaught against
U.S. forces. After 2,000 casualties, he said, the U.S. military would
be forced to withdraw.

"Therefore, we need to consider other means to counter China," he
said. "The step we should be taking against China, I believe, is
economic containment."

Officials acknowledge that Mr. Ishihara's views reflect the widespread
skepticism of U.S. military capabilities in such countries as
Australia, India, Japan, Singapore and South Korea. They said the
U.S.-led war in Iraq has pointed to the American weakness in low-tech
warfare.

"When we can't even control parts of Anbar, they get the message loud
and clear," an official said, referring to the flashpoint province in
western Iraq.

As a result, Asian allies of the United States are quietly preparing
to bolster their militaries independent of Washington. So far, the
Bush administration has been strongly opposed to an indigenous
Japanese defense capability, fearing it would lead to the expulsion of
the U.S. military presence from that country.

On Nov. 16, Mr. Bush met with Japanese Prime Minister Junichiro
Koizumi. The two leaders discussed the realignment of the U.S.
military presence in Japan and Tokyo's troop deployment in Iraq.

During his visit to Washington in early November, Mr. Ishihara met
senior U.S. defense officials. They included talks with U.S. Defense
Deputy Undersecretary for Asian and Pacific Affairs Richard Lawless to
discuss the realignment of the U.S. military presence in Japan.

For his part, Mr. Ishihara does not see China as evolving into a
stable democracy with free elections.

"I believe such predictions are totally wrong," Mr. Ishihara said.






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