Former prime minister to build Kazakh defense industry

On January 10 Kazakhstan's President Nursultan Nazarbayev took the 
dramatic step of appointing Kazakhstan's first civilian defense 
minister. In general terms the step will be welcomed in the West, as it 
sends a clear signal that the Kazakh government is interested in 
increasing civilian control over the armed forces. However, appointing 
former prime minister Daniyal Akhmetov as defense minister and moving 
Army General Muhktar Altynbayev to first deputy defense minister and 
chairman of the Committee of Chiefs of Staff, could presage deeper and 
more systemic military reform.

Nazarbayev visited the Ministry of Defense on January 10, introducing 
Akhmetov as the defense minister. He immediately set a range of tasks 
for the new minister. In particular, Kazakhstan has yet to adequately 
form its own defense complex. Moreover, he wants Akhmetov to continue to 
modernize the armed forces. Nazarbayev also stated that the new defense 
minister has 30 days to draft specific proposals on accomplishing these 
priority tasks. The precise details of these plans could reveal the 
depth of the political drive and determination that lies behind these 
changes.

Nazarbayev explained his rationale for the appointment, by 
characterizing the Altynbayev period as a time marked by structural 
changes. "Altynbayev and I have worked all these years to create our 
armed forces, types of troops, regional directorates, and the Committee 
of Chiefs of Staff, and have been preparing for this event. Trends in 
the world are such, as you know, that the military should deal with 
military matters. Civilians should be in charge of the policy of 
managing the defense complex. This is so in all countries in the world. 
In the light of this, General Altynbayev has been appointed chairman of 
the Committee of Chiefs of Staff, and former first deputy defense 
minister General Bolat Darbekov will be his first deputy," Nazarbayev 
explained (Interfax-Kazakhstan, Khabar TV, January 10). Akhmetov's key 
task in his new post will be to examine issues relating to the equipping 
of the armed forces and how Kazakhstan's state funds should be spent on 
the military.

The strength of Akhmetov's position can only be appreciated by placing 
his appointment in the context of the full government reshuffle. Karim 
Masimov is taking over as prime minister. The 41-year old Masimov had 
held the post of deputy prime minister and was in charge of expanding 
strategic areas of economic development. Akhmetov, therefore, will deal 
with his former deputy when he negotiates the financial needs of the 
armed forces with the prime minister. Masimov also declared his loyalty 
to Nazarbayev during a joint session of parliament on January 10, "At 
one time you appointed me as your aide," Masimov recalled, addressing 
the head of state. "I was, is, and will remain your faithful aide," 
Masimov said (Itar-Tass, Kazakhstan Today, January 10, EDM, January 11). 
Kazakhstan's Ministry of Defense stands to benefit from this ministerial 
link, since Masimov is unlikely to oppose reform proposals from Defense 
Minister Akhmetov.

Another crucial appointment, which has implications for Kazakhstan's 
security cooperation with the West, was the choice of Kanat Saudabayev 
as secretary of the Security Council. Saudabayev had held the post of 
Kazakhstan's ambassador to the United States. He will apply his 
knowledge of the importance of Kazakhstan's security cooperation with 
the United States to his work in the Security Council, potentially 
strengthening the understanding of Kazakh-U.S. relations within this 
vital security structure. The former secretary of the Security Council, 
Marat Tazhin, was appointed as foreign minister (Interfax, January 11).

In a sense, the appointment of a civilian defense minister in Kazakhstan 
has been long overdue, and perhaps it is more surprising that it did not 
occur sooner. After all, several years ago Uzbekistan implemented such 
changes as part of its own efforts to position itself as a credible 
pro-Western security partner in the region. Arguably, Nazarbayev did not 
believe the timing was right to achieve this milestone before now. 
Consequently, the Ministry of Defense and the armed forces have been 
left open to criticism. Akhmetov will at least provide a semblance of 
greater civilian control. But the personnel changes are calculated to 
achieve more concrete results.

There are grounds for thinking the reshuffle will help to facilitate 
further reform of the armed forces. Akhmetov's experience as prime 
minister will prove advantageous, as his efforts to secure more fiscal 
support for re-equipping the armed forces will involve dealing with his 
former deputy. Moreover, these changes are supported by what appear to 
be well-planned ministerial changes. Nazarbayev expects that Tazhin's 
experience of the Security Council for example, will make him an 
effective foreign minister.

Nazarbayev believes that Altynbayev successfully carried out structural 
reforms of the armed forces, which suggests that the present structures 
will witness little further evolution. Instead, the government's 
priority is to provide sufficient funding for the armed forces to 
properly equip these emerging structures, and therefore a defining 
benchmark for the new defense minister will be how successfully he can 
create a defense industry capable of delivering the specific needs of 
the armed forces. Akhmetov may not deliver more civilian control over 
the armed forces, but Kazakhstan seems to want to break its reliance on 
foreign military equipment.

--Roger N. McDermott

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