http://www.geostrategy-direct.com

Iran replaces Iraq as leading threat to Gulf states 

DUBAI — Analysts and officials said military procurement by Gulf
states has been fueled by the Iranian threat. Iran's nuclear weapons
and intermediate-range missile programs have shaped their requirements
over the next year. 

"I believe Iran is the No. 1 priority for Arab Gulf states when it
comes to their procurement programs," Mohammed Qadry Said, director of
the military unit at the Cairo-based Al-Ahram Center for Political and
Strategic Studies, told a conference in Dubai on Nov. 19. "This has
been the case since the '80s and will continue to be for some time to
come." 

Analysts and officials said Iran has replaced Iraq as the leading
threat to Gulf Arab nations. The threat has been heightened by Iran's
close ties to the large Shi'ite communities in such Gulf Cooperation
Council (GCC) states as Bahrain, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. 
"The huge size of Iran and its large population, along with the
frequent tough rhetoric voiced by its hardline officials and active
military buildup, have all been factors that contributed to GCC threat
perception vis-à-vis Iran," said [Ret.] Maj. Gen. Mahmoud Irdaisat,
director-general of the Amman-based Royal Jordanian Defense College. 
GCC procurement has sought to enhance the defense of Gulf Arab air
space from Iranian aircraft and missiles. Saudi Arabia and the United
Arab Emirates are determined to have superior air forces to those of
Iran. 

"The Gulf Cooperation Council is going through one of its most crucial
phases and sticking and working together have become vital issues and
historic necessities for the member states," GCC Secretary-general
Abdul Rahman Al Attiyah told the official Bahrain News Agency. "There
is an urgent need to assess all opportunities and to reinvigorate
collective action for the sake of our people." 

As a result, the GCC's focus has shifted to missile defense. Several
GCC states have either procured or examined radars having missile
defense capabilities. Kuwait and Saudi Arabia have deployed the PAC-2
air and missile defense system. 

UAE Air Force commander Maj. Gen. Khaled Albu Einain said Abu Dhabi
has been examining a range of air and missile defense assets that
could intercept Iran's Shihab-3 intermediate-range missile. He said
the GCC must prepare for the possibility of confronting missiles with
multiple warheads because they are harder to intercept. 







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