Italy Hit by Global Insurrection

Posted By Michael Ledeen On June 5, 2011 

Italy is the latest country to be hit with the fury of the global
insurrection, whose recent targets include Muslim countries from Arab North
Africa and Iran, largely agnostic European nations including France,
Germany, Spain. and Holland, and of course that most revolutionary country,
the Christian United States. The occasion for the Italian insurrection was a
series of local elections all over the country, and the results were
devastating for the incumbents.

As elsewhere, the insurrection was focused on the current leader - in this
case, Silvio Berlusconi - took most expert observers by surprise, and was
intriguingly leaderless (the winning mayoral candidates in Milan and Naples
were virtual unknowns, and while both attracted support from the center-left
Democratic Party, they owed it nothing and will likely govern with teams of
young mavericks), leaving traditional opposition figures wondering what to
do next. As in Egypt, we can expect the usual suspects - here, the
center-left, and most importantly the heirs of the old Communist Party - to
reorganize, penetrate the new insurrectionaries, and trot out their old
dreams of an even bigger state with even more central control, but for the
moment, it's wide open. Meanwhile, Berlusconi has been battered in the most
unexpected way - most of us "experts" thought he was unbeatable at the
polls, as the public opinion surveys had documented until the eve of the
vote - and his party, which is more a cult of personality than a modern
political organization, is now looking for a successor for the first time in
eighteen years.

In our words, the Italian Tea Party has had a great success.

To be sure, winning some local administrative elections does not a political
revolution make, and Italy has some terrible problems. I am now in Naples,
where the new mayor is putting together a city government largely made up of
intellectuals, journalists, and lawyers, very few of whom have any
experience managing anything (the new guy himself is a former prosecutor).
We know how unhappily that sort of administration can turn out. For the
moment he's launching happy, politically correct promises: traffic-free
zones in the middle of town, no more plastic cups, differentiated garbage
collection, an invitation to Obama for Christmas vacation.none of which even
begins to come to grips with the city's massive corruption, lack of security
even in good neighborhoods, and one of the world's busiest and most lethal
criminal organizations, the camorra.

Moreover, as elsewhere, the tumult came from a minority of voters, typically
young ones. Here nearly seventy per cent of young voters said "hell no"  to
the pro-Berlusconi candidate. On the other hand, nearly half of registered
voters went to the beach or slept in, representing a landslide "hell no" to
the entire political class.

If the new guys prove unable to cope - and I wouldn't be at all surprised if
they fail, since most of the time most of us fail, and these challenges
would be daunting for Cardinal Wolsey at his best - the alienation of
Italians will intensify, with results that are very hard to iimagine.

But that can be said about the global insurrection most everywhere. We are
in the middle of a paradigm shift from a bipolar Cold War template to
something we do not yet know, and there is still no major leader anywhere
who shows signs of being able to master the tumult and guide us to the new
paradigm.

He certainly isn't anywhere in Washington.

  _____  

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URL to article:
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