[Excerpt: Al-Faqih said the insurgents have changed their focus from
attacking foreigners and security forces to attacking oil installations
and the royal family itself...."The fact that there have been extensive
security checks all over Saudi Arabia in recent weeks means that the
regime definitely does not have the situation under control," he
said....Tawfiq al-Saif, a London-based expert in the Saudi affairs, told
Aljazeera that the Saudi....government has underestimated "the scale of
the enemy"....But he said the recent elections have created a new
atmosphere of openness in the country and have given people hope that
reform is about to happen.]

http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/AD05D584-1F4C-492E-A60E-399FDC551683.htm

Saudi analysts say insurgency still alive

Monday 04 April 2005, 22:44 Makka Time, 19:44 GMT  

A shootout in a town in northern Saudi Arabia proves the kingdom's
anti-government insurgency is still alive despite a recent period of
calm, according to analysts.

Saudi security forces killed eight insurgents in a siege in al-Ras on
Monday, security sources said. One Saudi policeman was also killed.

The confrontation was the first major firefight between authorities and
anti-monarchy insurgents in months.

The Saudi authorities say recent municipal elections have undermined the
little support the insurgents once had.

But Saad al-Faqih, a Saudi opposition activist based in London, told
Aljazeera.net that the insurgents' fierce resistance proves
al-Qaida-linked fighters remain determined to overthrow the monarchy.

"The jihadis will not be influenced by things like sham elections," he
said.

Security checks

"The security forces have succeeded in making life difficult for them
but this has been counterbalanced by the fact that Iraq is acting as an
effective shelter for around 3000 Saudis opposed to the government. This
means that the regime's opponents are more dangerous than ever."

Al-Faqih said the insurgents have changed their focus from attacking
foreigners and security forces to attacking oil installations and the
royal family itself.

"The fact that there have been extensive security checks all over Saudi
Arabia in recent weeks means that the regime definitely does not have
the situation under control," he said.

Tawfiq al-Saif, a London-based expert in the Saudi affairs, told
Aljazeera that the Saudi government has underestimated "the scale of the
enemy".

But he said the recent elections have created a new atmosphere of
openness in the country and have given people hope that reform is about
to happen.
       
Elections

He added that an economic upturn and political advances in Iraq have
swept the rug from underneath the "extremist movements".

Nevertheless, he warned that the increase in Saudi youths going to Iraq
to either fight or train and the growth in arms smuggling into the
kingdom is worrying.

Violence blamed on al-Qaida since May 2003 has killed 90 civilians,
according to official Saudi figures. Thirty-nine members of the security
forces and 92 fighters have also been killed.

The Saudi government's opponents say the monarchy is dictatorial,
corrupt and beholden to the West.

On the other hand, the monarchy says the insurgents have little support
and are trying to create chaos in the nation.
Aljazeera
enditem


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