<http://online.wsj.com/article_print/0,,SB111152923925286765,00.html>

The Wall Street Journal


 March 23, 2005

 REVIEW & OUTLOOK


Send in the Clowns
March 23, 2005

In one memorable scene in Monty Python's "Life of Brian," the character
played by John Cleese tries to rally his less-than-eager troops to fight
the Roman occupation of Judea. What have the Romans ever done for us, he
rhetorically asks.

Quite unexpectedly and much to his frustration, the men come up with an
impressive list of Roman achievements, forcing the exasperated leader to
slightly rephrase his question. "All right, but apart from the sanitation,
the medicine, education, wine, public order, irrigation, roads, a fresh
water system, and public health, what have the Romans ever done for us?"

We are reminded of that scene following Sunday night's meeting of European
Union finance ministers about the Stability Pact, which resulted in a deal
riddled with so many exceptions as to render those budget rules meaningless.

In theory, the pact limits public deficits to 3% of gross domestic product
but in practice several euro zone governments have been in breach for
years. The deal hammered out by Luxembourg Prime Minister Jean-Claude
Juncker, who thanks to the rotating presidency currently chairs these
meetings, is a work of comic genius. No wonder he received standing
ovations from his colleagues.

According to the agreement, the 3% limit still applies except -- are you
ready? -- except when the excessive deficit is due to spending on the
following items (you had better write this down): education, innovation,
research and development, employment, public investment, reducing debt,
pension reform and such lofty and conveniently vague goals as fostering
international solidarity and achieving European policy goals. Apart from
that, the stability pact remains intact. No, really.

Mr. Juncker, though, was not the author of this farce. Instead, it was
Germany and France that pushed for it. "Fostering international solidarity"
is a cave-in to French demands to exempt development aid and defense
spending from the deficit calculation. It looks like Paris will be able to
subtract such budget items as the costs for intervening in its former
colonies. So France's 4,000 troops stationed in the Ivory Coast -- not to
mention its one police-training officer for Iraq -- are write-offs. Who
knows, should France ever decide to resume nuclear tests in the Moruroa
atoll, it might be able to book those under "fostering international
solidarity" as well.

"Achieving European policy goals" is code for giving budgetary leniency to
Germany due to the fact that it transfers each year 4% of its GDP to the
former Communist East of the country. A burden, as the German government
never tires of reminding the rest of the world, no other government has to
shoulder.

It is for good reason that no other government has ever attempted a social
engineering project of such a massive scale. Fifteen years after
unification, more than ¤1.25 trillion have been transferred to the East but
Berlin has little to show for it. Unemployment remains about twice as high
in the East as in the West and economic growth is even below the anemic
West German level. A little liberalization would go a lot further toward
making the East prosper, and cost a lot less as well, but thanks to
Sunday's log-roll, Germany will be able to continue with this folly without
having to feel any pressure to change course.

It is objected, with reason, that the old rules were arbitrary and
inflexible, something that we pointed out here at the outset when we
predicted the breakdown that has now occurred. Our fear then was that they
would be an excuse for maintaining high taxes.

But they embodied a principle with some sense -- that spending one's way
out of short-term economic trouble was no long-term solution. And Sunday's
charade had more than a whiff of double standard about it. When little
Portugal breached the deficit limit, it was met with the full force of the
EU law. In 2000, Ireland, whose economy is one of the few great European
success stories, was even reprimanded for conducting a fiscal policy deemed
too expansionary and thus fueling inflation.

But as soon as the deficit limit became a problem for the governments of
the two biggest euro-zone countries, the rules are immediately rewritten
or, to be more precise, eviscerated. Worries that lax fiscal discipline
would prompt the European Central Bank to raise interest rates pushed
two-year euro-zone government bond yields up sharply Monday. The risk that
euro-zone governments might over time abandon fiscal discipline altogether
has clearly been recognized. And this would be no laughing matter.

-- 
-----------------
R. A. Hettinga <mailto: [EMAIL PROTECTED]>
The Internet Bearer Underwriting Corporation <http://www.ibuc.com/>
44 Farquhar Street, Boston, MA 02131 USA
"... however it may deserve respect for its usefulness and antiquity,
[predicting the end of the world] has not been found agreeable to
experience." -- Edward Gibbon, 'Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire'


------------------------ Yahoo! Groups Sponsor --------------------~--> 
DonorsChoose. A simple way to provide underprivileged children resources 
often lacking in public schools. Fund a student project in NYC/NC today!
http://us.click.yahoo.com/EHLuJD/.WnJAA/cUmLAA/TySplB/TM
--------------------------------------------------------------------~-> 

--------------------------
Want to discuss this topic?  Head on over to our discussion list, [EMAIL 
PROTECTED]
--------------------------
Brooks Isoldi, editor
[EMAIL PROTECTED]

http://www.intellnet.org

  Post message: osint@yahoogroups.com
  Subscribe:    [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Unsubscribe:  [EMAIL PROTECTED]


*** FAIR USE NOTICE. This message contains copyrighted material whose use has 
not been specifically authorized by the copyright owner. OSINT, as a part of 
The Intelligence Network, is making it available without profit to OSINT 
YahooGroups members who have expressed a prior interest in receiving the 
included information in their efforts to advance the understanding of 
intelligence and law enforcement organizations, their activities, methods, 
techniques, human rights, civil liberties, social justice and other 
intelligence related issues, for non-profit research and educational purposes 
only. We believe that this constitutes a 'fair use' of the copyrighted material 
as provided for in section 107 of the U.S. Copyright Law. If you wish to use 
this copyrighted material for purposes of your own that go beyond 'fair use,' 
you must obtain permission from the copyright owner.
For more information go to:
http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.shtml 
Yahoo! Groups Links

<*> To visit your group on the web, go to:
    http://groups.yahoo.com/group/osint/

<*> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
    [EMAIL PROTECTED]

<*> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to:
    http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
 



Reply via email to