http://www.kuwaittimes.net/Navariednews.asp?dismode=article&artid=1839729411

Iraq on the right path

 

 

Generally speaking, the media worldwide report predominantly about the
sensational, catastrophes, deaths, controversial statements by international
personalities, wars, celebrity stories, gossip, rumours and the abnormal.

News about socio-economic success, development and progress is scantily
tackled. A veteran German reporter told me this kind of news is boring for
media consumers. People prefer the sensational. Hence, media providers
fiercely compete to get hold of dramatic events. This is the kind of news
that mesmerises people to the media. Commercial media, above all TV channels
rejoice in reporting about wars and killing, the sooner the better. They
rush to the scene of events and report live. "Thank God! At last something
sensational is happening. Now we can make money (through commercials of
course)." Commercial TV owners celebrate joyfully. Sensational events
overshadow normal, ordinary, effective, humane achievements.

Had Mohammed Yunus not won this year's Nobel Prize for peace, no body would
have taken notice of his great Mini-Loan Bank in Bangladesh which helped
eradicate poverty for seven million people. International media used to
report almost only about floods and poverty from Bangladesh. Yunus's work
was ignored. It was not sensational enough. Commercial media live on the
sensational, the weird, the bloody, the negative, the abnormal, and the
controversial.

All this seems to apply to Iraq. We only hear and read bad news from Iraq:
suicide and car bombs. Random killing, sabotage, and destruction are the
only news we get from Iraq. Kofi Annan, the UN Secretary General describes
the situation in Iraq as "worse than a civil war." Obviously he watches only
CNN. But is Iraq really only killing and destruction?

An American businessman with links to major parts of Iraq told me another
story of Iraq. While he admits that there is daily killing and destruction
in Iraq, there is also construction, development, progress and freedom. Here
are some of his facts: Slowly but steadily, "80 per cent of Iraqis are
creeping (back) to (normal) life."

"Um Qasr, in the southeast extremity of Iraq on the Persian Gulf" which was
deserted by the spring of 2003 is back to normal. "It is back in business as
a port with commercial and military functions. "Hundreds of families have
returned - joining many more who have come from all over Iraq."

"The boom in Um Qasr is part of a broader picture that also includes Basra,
the sprawling metropolis of southern Iraq"

Very few media report about good news from Iraq. "Newsweek has just hailed
the emergence of a booming market economy in Iraq as "the mother of all
surprises," noting "Iraqis are more optimistic about the future than most
Americans are." The reason, of course, is that Iraqis know what is going on
in their country while Americans are fed a diet of exclusively negative
reporting from Iraq."

The growing dynamism of the Iraqi economy is reflected in the steady
increase in the value of the national currency, the dinar, against the three
currencies in direct competition with it in the Iraqi marketplace: the
Iranian rial, the Kuwaiti dinar and the US dollar, since January 2006."

"No doubt, part of the dinar's strength reflects the rise in Iraq's income
from oil exports to almost $40 billion in 2006, an all-time record. But oil
alone does not explain all, since both Iran and Kuwait are bigger exporters
than Iraq."

"The fact that civil-servant salaries have increased by almost 30 per cent,
with a further 30 per cent due to come into effect early next year, also has
helped boost demand.

But a good part of the boom is due to an unexpected flow of foreign capital.
This has been facilitated by the prospect of a liberal law on direct foreign
investments, which exists only in such free-trade parts of the region as
Dubai and Bahrain . None of Iraq 's six neighbours offers such guarantee for
the free flow of capital to and from the country."

"Since the fall of Saddam Hussein in 2003, the number of private companies
in Iraq has increased from a mere 8,000 to more than 35,000 this year. Each
week an average of 60 new companies spring up in Iraq 's booming areas. A
good part of the investment in southern Iraq , including in Um Qasr, comes
from Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates."

"Whatever happens, Iraq is Iraq ," says a Kuwaiti businessman, building
hotels in the south. "Iraq will always remain the country with the world's
largest oil reserves and the Middle East's biggest resources of water."

"One hears similar comments from local and foreign businessmen investing in
real estate in Najaf and Karbala. Over 200 million Shiite Muslims regard the
cities as holy. Najaf and Karbala have always been dream destinations for
pilgrims. Under Saddam Hussein, however, few foreign pilgrims were allowed.
With the despot gone, pilgrims are pouring in-and with them the fresh
money."

"That good business is possible in Iraq is reflected in the performance of
new companies, most of which did not exist three years ago. One privately
owned mobile phone company is expected to report revenues of more than $500
million this year, a sevenfold increase in three years. Another private firm
marketing soft drinks has seen profits double since the end of 2003. The
number of luxury cars imported has risen from a few hundred in 2002 to more
than 20,000 this year. The leading export of Iraq is producing nearly $41
billion in revenues."

But what about continued attacks of insurgents and terrorists?

"Most foreign investors coming to make money in Iraq shrug their shoulders.
"Doing business in any Arab country is always risky," says a Turkish
investor who has set up a trucking company and a taxi service. "In some Arab
countries, you risk nationalization or straight confiscation by the ruler.
In other Arab countries, you must give a cut to one of the emirs (and
princes). Here, you face possible terrorist attacks. But such attacks are
transitory."

"The relatively low cost of labour is another attraction to investors. Wages
in Iraq , where unemployment is (still) over 30 per cent, are less than a
quarter of the going rates in Kuwait . Nevertheless, the Iraqi boom appears
to be attracting some Iranian labourers from areas close to the
border-people who come in for a few days to make some money before returning
home."

"Although Prime Minister Nouri Al-Maliki's government has slowed down the
pace of privatisation, the foundations of the command economy created by
Saddam continue to crumble."

"The transition from a rentier economy-in which virtually the whole of the
population depended on government handouts-to a free-market capitalist one
entails much hardship for some segments of society. Many pensioners and some
civil servants find it hard to make ends meet as prices rise across the
board. The end of government subsidies on virtually everything-from bread
and sugar to gasoline and water-is also causing hardship."

"But, judging by the talk in teahouses and the debate in Iraq's new and
pluralist media, most people welcome the switch to capitalism and regard it
as an exciting adventure.

"Since 2003 the salaries of average Iraqis have risen in excess of 100 per
cent. In addition the Iraqi government has slashed the income tax rates from
45 per cent to just around 15 per cent. That has resulted in the average
Iraqi family being able to develop long term nest-eggs (we call them IRAs)."

"Gasoline is only .56 cents a gallon. It wouldn't be that high except that
Iraq decided to payoff some of its debt to the World Bank and are using
energy profits to do so.

In addition much of the formerly centralised organisation of the economy has
been turned over to private sector endeavours and while some government
sectors have seen a spike in unemployment, private sector unemployment is
hovering around 30 per cent. High to you and me, but still better than in
the Saddam era."

The more and more Iraqis are taken on the board of development, the less
they would listen to warlords and terrorist groups. Insurgents are not
recruited among the 70 per cent of peaceful and diligent Iraqis; they are
recruited among the 30 per cent jobless and retainers of the old regime. I'm
confidant and millions of Iraqis with me that the course of development will
prevail.

 



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