As was pointed out rather well in one of Bruce Tefft's earlier posts
(51399), any U.S. celebration of a Syrian pullout caused by a surge of
democratic groundswell in Lebanon may be short lived.  The resulting
power vacuum is tailor-made for the ambitions of Hezballah and its
Iranian backers. And Imad Mughniyeh, a key Hezballah terrorist leader
(also a key leader in the Al Qaeda hierarchy), is well qualified to
apply a campaign of terror preceding a Hezballah coup to "restore order."

David Bier

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/middle_east/4343119.stm

 Syria 'pledges pullout timetable'

Syria has promised to give the UN a timetable next week for the full
withdrawal of its troops from Lebanon, says the UN's Middle East envoy.

Terje Roed-Larsen made the announcement after meeting Syrian President
Bashar al-Assad in northern Syria.

In a statement, he said Mr Assad had committed to pull out all Syrian
troops and intelligence services from Lebanon.

The talks came after Syrian troops began a partial withdrawal,
crossing the border from Lebanon into Syria.

The UN has called for the immediate withdrawal of all 14,000 troops
and intelligence personnel.

Syria has come under increasing Western and Arab pressure to withdraw
from Lebanon since the assassination of former Lebanese Prime Minister
Rafik Hariri last month.

Lebanese opposition groups have blamed Syria for the murder - a charge
Damascus vehemently denies.

Question of time

After the talks in the northern city of Aleppo, Mr Roed-Larsen said he
would present UN Secretary General Kofi Annan further details of the
timetable for a complete withdrawal after arriving in New York early
next week. 

He said he was encouraged by President Assad's commitment to the full
implementation of Security Council resolution 1559, referring to last
September's UN call for the complete withdrawal of all Syrian troops
from Lebanon.

"The first stage will see the relocation of all military forces and
intelligence apparatus to the Bekaa valley by the end of March," he
said in a statement.

"Further, a significant number of these Syrian forces, including
intelligence [personnel], will be withdrawn from Lebanon into Syria
during this stage," the envoy said.

"The second stage will lead to a complete and full withdrawal of all
Syrian military personnel, assets and intelligence apparatus."

No date was gven for this second stage.

But President Assad appears to have met most of the conditions for the
withdrawal, says the BBC's Dan Isaacs in Damascus.

But the question remains whether this will be achieved ahead of
Lebanese elections in May.

Staged occasion

An undisclosed number of the 6,000 troops deployed in Lebanon's Bekaa
Valley crossed into Syria in a convoy overnight. 

Our correspondent at the Jdaidet Yabous border point says crowds of
government supporters were bussed to the frontier for a carefully
stage-managed occasion.

Troops came out of the night and through heavy snow, and had flowers
thrown by crowds as they passed by.

About 60 vehicles passed through the border overnight, including a
range of covered trucks, along with buses and jeeps.

Syria has stationed troops in Lebanon since 1976, when it was asked to
intervene by one of the factions fighting in the civil war. 





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