http://www.familysecuritymatters.org/publications/id.9677/pub_detail.asp

 

June 6, 2011


The Obama Peace Plan: Rahm Emanuel Is Wrong


 <http://www.familysecuritymatters.org/authors/id.187/author_detail.asp> Dr.
Rachel Ehrenfeld


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<http://www.familysecuritymatters.org/publications/comments.asp?id=9677> 

http://www.familysecuritymatters.org/imgLib/20110605_ObamaBubbles.jpg

 

Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel's attempt last week to reassure Israel that
President Obama's
<http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2011/05/19/remarks-president-mid
dle-east-and-north-africa> May 19th speech was misconstrued; Mr. Obama's
repeated calls for Israel's return to the 1967 lines grew out of his concern
for the Jewish state, claimed the former White House Chief of Staff.

 

In his June 2nd
<http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/obamas-commitment-to-israel/2011/06/
02/AGj0NZHH_print.html> Washington Post article, Mr. Emanuel echoed the
president's contention that
<http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2010/09/23/remarks-president-uni
ted-nations-general-assembly> "the hard realities of demography" threaten
the survival of the Jewish state. Clearly, both anchored their arguments in
the conjured estimates of the
<http://www.maannews.net/eng/ViewDetails.aspx?ID=386989> Palestinian Central
Bureau of Statistics. A 2006 World Bank study found a "
<http://www.science.co.il/Arab-Israeli-conflict/palestinian-population.pps>
32% 'inflation' in the number of Arab births, " alleged by the Palestinians.

 

A more recent comprehensive study on Jewish-Arab Demographic Trends in the
Land of Israel, published earlier this year by
<http://www.theettingerreport.com/Demographic-Scare/Demographic-Trends-in-th
e-Land-of-Israel.aspx> Yakov Faitelson, found that 

 

"in 2011 there is a 66% Jewish majority . in the combined area of pre-1967
Israel, Judea and Samaria."

 

The study demonstrated that

 

.         "Despite 120 years of demographic calamity projections, the Jewish
population in the Land of Israel succeeded to grow from a 5% minority to a
60% majority."

.         "In 2010, the Jewish fertility rate is 63% higher than Lebanon's,
53%
higher than Iran's, 33% higher than Turkey's and Kuwait's, 23% higher than
Saudi Arabia's, slightly higher than Egypt's and only 7% and 4% lower than
Jordan's and Syria's respectively."

.         "Israeli Arab fertility rate has collapsed since the 1970s [due to
a most
successful integration into the infrastructures of education, employment,
finance, politics, culture, sports, etc.].It declined to 3.5 births per
woman in 2009."

.         "In 1995, there were 2.34 Jewish births per 1 Arab birth.  In
2009-10,
there were 3.12 Jewish births per 1 Arab birth."

.         "The demographic trends within pre-1967 Israel are identical to
those in
Judea and Samaria.but, in a much faster pace.  The fertility rate of Judea
and Samaria Arabs dropped from 6.44 births per woman in 1990 to 3.12 births
in 2010.lower than Israeli Arabs and substantially lower than the Jewish
fertility rate in the Jerusalem region."

As this study clearly documented, "the shifting sands of demography" in the
Middle East work in favor of the Jewish state, not against it, as Mr.
Emanuel argued.

 

To be sure, the "uncertainty brought by the Arab Spring," does not add to
the stability of the region. But dividing the Jewish state will do nothing
to calm the demands for freedom by millions of oppressed Arabs, reform
corrupt regimes, create new jobs, or lead to democracy. Instead, weakening
Israel - the only democracy and unwavering ally of the United States in the
Middle East - would encourage the highly indoctrinated, well-armed savage
Islamic fundamentalist elements in the region to move from political
extortion to physical attacks on the Jewish state, as well as other U.S.
interests in the region, such as Saudi oil-fields.

 

Mr. Emanuel warns of the danger to Israel from "unilateral efforts to create
a recognized state of Palestine." But these are hardly "unilateral;" the
Palestinians are joined by the
<http://www.haaretz.com/print-edition/news/eu-initiative-recognition-of-pale
stinian-state-by-next-year-1.263669> United Nations, the
<http://unispal.un.org/UNISPAL.NSF/0/0BB5818FCE830FC8852577F90061427B>
European Union, the
<http://articles.cnn.com/2011-05-29/world/qatar.arab.peace.initiative_1_pale
stinian-state-israel-palestinian-arab-peace-initiative?_s=PM:WORLD> Arab
League, most
<http://www.jpost.com/DiplomacyAndPolitics/Article.aspx?id=223051> OAS
countries, as well as the
<http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2011/05/19/remarks-president-mid
dle-east-and-north-africa> Administration

itself.

 
<http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2011/05/19/remarks-president-mid
dle-east-and-north-africa>  

 
<http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2011/05/19/remarks-president-mid
dle-east-and-north-africa> The U.S. is pressuring Israel to concede to the
Palestinians under the pretext that a peace agreement will be based on
"negotiations between the parties." While the Administration is trying to
dictate the Palestinian demands, the leaders of Palestinian Authority (PA)
continue their refusal to come to the table. Mr. Obama's repeated references
to Israel's confinement within the 1967 lines, led Palestinian President
Mahmoud Abbas yesterday, to agree "in principle" to attend the Paris meeting
in July as suggested by French. Abbas accepted the French initiative because
it "mirrored US President Barack Obama's vision  [for a Palestinian} state
based on 1967 borders" as outlined in his speech in May.

 <http://www.maannews.net/eng/ViewDetails.aspx?ID=393557>  

 <http://www.maannews.net/eng/ViewDetails.aspx?ID=393557> The dangers posed
by "technological advances in weaponry," and likely use of these weapons by
Hamas, Hezbollah, Syria, and Egypt, are real. Forcing Israel back to the
1967 borders will limit the shrinking country's ability to effectively
defend itself. Statements such as "No peace can take place . that does not
provide Israel with the ability to defend itself" add nothing to Israel's
security.

 <http://www.maannews.net/eng/ViewDetails.aspx?ID=393557>  

 <http://www.maannews.net/eng/ViewDetails.aspx?ID=393557> President Obama
wants an independent Palestine to be "a non-militarized state." It's a bit
late for that. The CIA has been training Palestinian "security" forces for
decade. A General Accounting Office study released in May 2010 (GAO-10-505)
reported that the United States has already spent more than "$400 million to
train, equip, and build facilities for PA security forces."

 <http://www5.renewamerica.com/columns/sharpe/110515>  

 <http://www5.renewamerica.com/columns/sharpe/110515> The president's
attempt to explain his intention in referencing the 1967 lines "that the
parties themselves - Israelis and Palestinians - will negotiate a border
that is different than the one that existed on June 4, 1967" is
unconvincing. Obama is known to choose his words carefully and to mean what
he says. However, repeating the "1967 lines" reinforces the notion that
these were acceptable and legitimate borders.

 <http://www5.renewamerica.com/columns/sharpe/110515>  

 <http://www5.renewamerica.com/columns/sharpe/110515> The "Arab Spring" did
not usher in more freedom and tolerance to the region. Instead, it
intensified violence, intolerance and suppression, while the Arab/Muslim
regimes continue their decades-long attempts to detract attention from their
tyrannical rule by pointing the figure at Israel. The president's allusion
to Israel's alleged role as a major destabilizing element in the Middle
East, lends credence to the Arab/Muslim accusation. The Administration's
shifting attitude towards the uprisings, which contributed to the
destabilization of the region, raises serious doubts about the U.S.
"commitment to Israel's security."

 <http://www5.renewamerica.com/columns/sharpe/110515>  

 <http://www5.renewamerica.com/columns/sharpe/110515> Clearly, both Messrs.
Emanuel and Obama overlook the growing worldwide skepticism towards American
assurances.

 <http://www5.renewamerica.com/columns/sharpe/110515>  

 <http://www5.renewamerica.com/columns/sharpe/110515>
http://www.familysecuritymatters.org/imgLib/20110405_Ehrenfeld.jpg

 <http://www5.renewamerica.com/columns/sharpe/110515>  

 <http://www5.renewamerica.com/columns/sharpe/110515>
FamilySecurityMatters.org Contributing Editor Dr. Rachel Ehrenfeld  is the
Director of the New York-based American Center for Democracy. She is an
expert on terrorism and corruption-related topics such as terror financing
and narco-terrorism. She has helped to change New York state law, when the
Libel Terrorism Protection Act (pdf) was passed. Similar laws have been
passed in other U.S. states, and a federal law known as the SPEECH ACT which
was signed by the president in August 2010, follows the same principle -
that First Amendment guarantees should protect authors and publishers
against foreign libel judgments from countries with poor free speech
protections.



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