May 31, 2005

/"One good spy is worth 10,000 soldiers." - Sun Tzu, ancient Chinese 
military strategist/

Islamic terrorism is still the greatest threat to our national security, 
but Chinese espionage against the United States is gaining ground. The 
FBI says China will be America's greatest counterintelligence problem 
during the next 10-15 years.

China has seven permanent diplomatic missions in the States, staffed 
with intelligence personnel. But the FBI believes that as many as 3,500 
Chinese "front companies" are involved in espionage for the People's 
Republic of China (PRC) as well.

And with the bureau focused on terrorism, the China challenge is 
overwhelming the FBI's counterintelligence capabilities.

The PRC has the world's third-largest intelligence apparatus (after the 
United States and Russia), and it's targeting America's governmental, 
military and high technology secrets.

China's goal is to replace the U.S. as the preeminent power in the 
Pacific - even globally. It's using every method possible, including 
espionage, to improve its political, economic and, especially, military 
might.

A senior FBI official said recently, "China is trying to develop a 
military that can compete with the U.S., and they are willing to steal 
to get it."

One example: Last fall in Wisconsin, a Chinese-American couple was 
arrested for selling $500,000 worth of computer parts to China for 
enhancing its missile systems. Even worse: The PRC recently fielded a 
new cruise missile strikingly similar to the advanced American "Tomahawk."

Chances that the similarities are a coincidence? Slim to none.

Naturally, America's hi-tech centers are a potential gold mine for 
Chinese spies. The FBI claims that Chinese espionage cases are rising 20 
to 30 percent every year in Silicon Valley alone.

But don't think James Bond. It's all much more methodical - and mundane.

Chinese intelligence collection uses numerous low-level spies to 
painstakingly collect one small piece of information at a time until the 
intelligence question is answered. Kind of like building a beach one 
grain of sand at a time.

For instance, it took China 20 years to swipe American nuclear warhead 
designs from U.S. national nuclear weapons labs, according to a 1999 
congressional committee

China also doesn't rely on "professional" spies stationed overseas to 
the extent other major intel services do. Instead, it uses low-profile 
civilians to collect information.

The PRC's Ministry of State Security (MSS) often co-opts Chinese 
travelers, especially businesspeople, scientists and academics, to 
gather intel or purchase technology while they're in America.

The MSS especially prizes overseas Chinese students, hi-tech workers 
and researchers living in the U.S. because of their access to sensitive 
technology and research/development that Beijing can use for civilian 
and military purposes.

Of course, not all the 150,000 Chinese students and researchers now in 
America, or the 25,000 official PRC delegates - or the 300,000 victors - 
are spies, but they do provide the MSS with a large pool of potential 
recruits for collecting secrets on U.S. targets of interest.

The MSS also recruits in the Chinese-American community, including 
sleeper agents. Developing personal relationships, invoking a common 
Chinese heritage, threatening cultural alienation or offering access to 
powerful people are persuasive in a culture where "guanxi" (connections) 
are important.

An equal opportunity employer, the MSS will, of course, "hire" 
sympathetic Americans - or any ethnicity - that will further China's 
cause, including scholars, journalists and diplomats, among others.

The United States isn't the only country with a Chinese spy problem. 
The MSS runs an espionage network against scientific labs and large 
research universities in several European countries, including the U.K., 
France, the Netherlands and Germany. In Asia, Taiwan recently arrested 
17 of its military officers for working for the PRC.

China's spies and their methods aren't the most expedient or efficient 
in spy-dom, but the tenacity and quantity of Chinese spooks are proving 
effective. Unfortunately, the openness of American society provides easy 
access to sensitive information and technology.

Sun Tzu said that intelligence is critical to success on the 
battlefield. It applies to the political and economic "battlefield," 
too. Accordingly, China is investing heavily in espionage to match its 
geopolitical aspirations.

China will prove to be America's greatest foreign-policy challenge in 
this century. In recent months, the Pentagon, CIA, Treasury and Congress 
have voiced concerns about China's rapidly expanding political, economic 
and military clout. These are words to the wise.

We certainly can't take our eye off terrorist threats against the 
homeland, but neither can we risk not meeting the growing Chinese 
espionage menace. Both are major threats to our national security and 
merit significant resources and attention.

/Peter Brookes, a former deputy assistant secretary of defense, is a 
senior fellow at The Heritage Foundation <http://www.heritage.org> and a 
New York Post <http://www.nypost.com/postopinion/postopinion.htm> 
columnist./

C2005 Peter Brookes



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