http://www.isn.ethz.ch/news/sw/details.cfm?ID=11296

Uzbek institutionalized brutality and corruption

While the authoritarian regime of Uzbek President Islam Karimov blames
the weekend's bloody protests on Islamic "extremists", the protesting
public tells a different story of poverty, institutionalized
brutality, and corruption.

By Ustina Markus for ISN Security Watch (17/05/05)

Uzbekistan's authoritarian regime has long used the pervasive law
enforcement agencies to suppress the popular demonstrations that
routinely take place in other countries. The bloody crackdown of
police and security forces on this weekend's protests in Andijan, in
the eastern part of Uzbekistan, underlined the strength of those
forces and their loyalty to the regime. In this context, the
demonstrations and the newfound defiance on the part of the protestors
illustrate just how fed up Uzbeks have become with their regime. There
is a strong sense that the unrest is influenced by the success of mass
protests in replacing unpopular regimes in Georgia, Ukraine, and most
importantly, neighboring Kyrgyzstan. None of the former regimes in
those countries had the same grip on law enforcement agencies as
President Islam Karimov has in Uzbekistan. The public defiance met
with a harsh response on the part of the authorities, as was to be
expected in a police state.

Precursor protests

There had been forerunners to the demonstration in Andijan that
provoked the security forces to resort to force. In November 2004,
some 10,000 traders protested in neighboring Kokand over government
restrictions on trading that were preventing them from making a
living. In March this year, there was a riot in Jizzak over economic
problems, and in February, 400 workers in the Ferghana province who
had economic complaints went on a hunger strike that only ended in
early May. 

Around the same time, on 3 May, members of a family from Kashkadarya
province staged a protest in front of the US embassy in Tashkent,
demanding the return of a farm confiscated by Uzbek authorities in
2001. Late at night on 4 May, Interior Ministry troops dislodged the
protesters by force and transported the women and children back to
Kashkadarya by bus. The men were taken away separately and have not
been heard from since. The US embassy issued a statement defending the
demonstrators, saying they were exercising the right to freedom of
speech as recognized by the UN Universal Declaration of Human Rights
and posed no threat to the embassy's security. That did not prompt
Uzbekistan's law enforcement agencies to free the male protesters.

The Andijan demonstrations

Like the protests that originated in Kashkadarya, the Andijan
demonstrations began as a local, family/clan issue. The causes were
similar, involving complaints about the government appropriating the
property of successful individuals. 

In this case, 23 Andijan entrepreneurs, who owned or worked for 15-20
companies that had done well and employed some 2,000 people in the
city, were arrested and their properties and assets seized. Those
individuals, reportedly family- and community-oriented men who had
noted the lack of services provided by the central government, had
opened a charitable foundation that legally gave some 20 million soms
(US$20,000) to schools, orphanages, and similar institutions. The 23
were respected locally for providing jobs and their charitable
contributions. Despite such upstanding credentials, they were arrested
and charged with membership in an illegal Islamic group called
Akramiya. Their supporters stated that none of the men belonged to any
such group or had even heard of the organization. By most accounts,
Akramiya can be described as a flash in the pan. It was founded in
1996 by Akram Yuldashev after he split with the better known
Hizb-ut-Tahrir, arguing that rather than focusing on establishing a
region-wide caliphate, the group needed to focus on power at the local
level in order to end corruption and provide better public services.
Yuldashov was arrested in 1999 and sentenced to 17 years in prison.

State piracy

Talib Yaqubov, chairman of the independent Human Rights Society of
Uzbekistan, does not believe there has been any activity by Akramiya
since the arrest of its leader. He suggests an alternative explanation
for the arrests and confiscation of property - state piracy. Yaqubov
believes that the 23 businessmen attracted the attention of the Uzbek
government by their success and the generosity of their foundation,
which the state then sought to acquire to meet budget shortfalls. He
said that practice had been used before. Other residents were reported
as saying that the 23 had refused to pay bribes to officials, who then
had them arrested - a real possibility in a country where extortion by
officials is essentially institutionalized. Still others claimed that
the 23 were seen as potential future political rivals due to their
influence in their community and their relative wealth.

Might makes right

The trial of the 23 began in February. Human rights groups noted that
the defendants looked beaten, and several of the accused claimed they
had been tortured into signing confessions of membership in Akramiya,
which they had not even heard of. As the trial was drawing to a close
on 10 May, some 4,000 family members, employees, friends, and clansmen
of the 23 gathered to protest and hold a vigil. That crowd swelled
over the next few days to 10,000-30,000 demonstrators.

Around midnight on 12 May, a group of 100 supporters stormed a
military garrison and the prison where the 23 were held, freeing them
and 3,000-4,000 other prisoners. They proceeded to take the regional
administration building while thousands more flocked to the area to
voice their frustration with the regime. President Karimov himself
traveled to Andijan to deal with the crisis, but did not engage in any
discussions or negotiations. True to his style of "might makes right",
he ordered the Interior Ministry and security forces to deal with the
demonstrators and returned to Tashkent. On the evening of 13 May, the
police and security forces opened fire on the crowds, by most accounts
shooting indiscriminately. Only nine people were officially reported
killed and 34 wounded, but unofficial reports estimated the toll to be
much higher, possible as high as 500 dead. That prompted a small
exodus of 500-1,000 Uzbeks to the Kyrgyz border at Karasuu, seeking
asylum and protection in Kyrgyzstan. Only 15 years ago, many Uzbeks
fled Kyrgyzstan for the safety of Uzbekistan after interethnic
violence erupted in the Kyrgyz towns of Osh and Jalalabad.

Karimov blames deaths on `extremists'

Upon his return to Tashkent, Karimov issued a statement blaming the
demonstrators for the loss of lives, claiming they had used women and
children as hostages and human shields. He blamed Hizb-ut-Tahrir, and
claimed that the same individuals who had organized the protest
demonstration in Kyrgyzstan in March that toppled President Askar
Akaev were also responsible for events in Andijan. Hizb-ut-Tahrir
denied having anything to do with the violence. In fact, since all
legal opposition parties have been banned since the 1990s, Karimov has
increasingly become concerned with opposition stemming from religious
groups. As Uzbeks are relatively conservative and consider Islam to be
part of their national identity, Karimov cannot simply ban religion
without alienating most of the country. Instead, he has actively
hounded particular religious groups (both real and imaginary) in an
effort to prevent them from becoming focal points for rallying against
his regime.

The Wahhabi `conspiracy'

In the late 1990s, the Uzbek media was full of denunciations of
Wahhabis - a sect that is almost nonexistent in Uzbekistan. After
railing against them for a couple of years and not uncovering any
actual Wahhabi conspiratorial groups, the attacks shifted to
Hizb-ut-Tahrir around 2000. That group rejects violence and espouses
peaceful means to turn the Islamic world into one big happy caliphate
and replace Central Asia's corrupt, secular politicians. For a short
while in 1999-2000, there were concerns that a ragtag militant
guerrilla group, the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU), was
attempting to take control of the country, or parts of it, by force.
But that movement, with its relatively small fighting force of some
900, based itself in Tajikistan and never made its way past Kyrgyzstan
in its incursions against Karimov. Eventually, the IMU was forced out
of Tajikistan into Afghanistan by authorities in Dushanbe and appears
to have been annihilated when the US and coalition forces attacked the
Taliban regime. 

As a result of the authorities' attempt to emasculate potential
religious opposition groups, membership in banned religious groups is
a considered serious offense and can carry a prison term of 20 years.
An example of how tenuous the charge that the Andijan protests were
linked to Islamic extremist groups was pointed out by Ferghana.ru,
which said a protester appealed to the news group to ask Russian
President Vladimir Putin to intervene on their behalf. Given Putin's
hostility to militant Muslim groups, fueled by Russia's ongoing war in
Chechnya, it is highly unlikely a Muslim militant would turn to Putin
for support.

The public tells a different story

The general public does not see religious militant groups as fomenting
discontent, and claim that it is Karimov's economic policies and
poverty, as well as the oppressive tactics of law enforcement
agencies, that drive people to protest. In an effort to collect more
taxes, the government had begun imposing restrictions on imported
goods, demanding new registrations that cost money, and introducing
new tariffs that are making it increasingly difficult for traders to
make a living selling their cheap wares at local markets. 

As state salaries are very low, and there is little large-scale
private enterprise, many people depend on the local markets to earn
additional income or even to fully support themselves. Last September,
in Chorsu, women gathered to protest the regulations and appealed to
Karimov to repeal the resolutions and free the markets so they could
earn some income. Not only do official regulations make it hard to
make a living, but police - which there are plenty of in Uzbekistan -
and other law enforcement agencies and official institutions are noted
for expecting payments from individuals in return for not harassing
them. Falling afoul of Uzbek law enforcement agents, whether they are
tax collectors, police, or judges, can be a serious matter in a
country where those organs consistently rank as one of the world's
most noted human rights abusers. 

That, too, has led many to be driven to despair, with some claiming
police arrest people over personal vendettas, or simply to extract a
bribe. At the very least, it adds to the daily stress of making a
living. For the unfortunates who actually do cross paths with
Uzbekistan's law enforcement agencies, the consequences range from
some bruises and minor financial setbacks to death.

Institutional brutality and corruption

As a country, Uzbekistan can be characterized as calm, stable, and law
abiding. The same cannot be said of its law enforcement structures,
which are characterized as brutal and corrupt. For years now the US
State Department's reports on human rights practices have condemned
Uzbekistan for its poor human rights record and blamed law enforcement
agencies for grossly infringing on civil liberties. It has never
blamed the public for lawless behavior. Last year's report even stated
that two individuals who died while in police detention in 2002
appeared to have been boiled to death. 

Uzbek police countered that the two had fatally injured themselves
with boiling water while throwing hot tea at each other. Despite a
number of programs run by the US, the OSCE, and some Western European
states to reform the Uzbek police and judiciary, the human rights
records of those agencies has not improved. In part, this is an
institutional problem. Like much of the former Soviet Union,
Uzbekistan inherited an institutional system based on a system of
patronage. To be hired into the judiciary, police, or security organs,
one had to kowtow and invariably pay an appropriate bribe. As his
career progressed, those lower down paid homage to him, while he
continued to kowtow to the higher ups. By the time an individual
reached the top echelons of his agency, he had paid so many bribes and
kowtowed so much, he was not inclined to shake up the system, since it
was now paying him off. Without the political will at the top it is
difficult to implement reform.

Long-time loyalties

Another factor that must be taken into consideration when assessing
why Uzbekistan's police are so loyal to the authorities is the
relationship between President Karimov and the heads of the Interior
Ministry and security service, Zokirjon Almatov and Rustam Inoyatov,
respectively. Both Almatov and Inoyatov have held their posts from the
early days of Uzbekistan's independence. 

In other former Soviet republics, there has generally been a turnover
in those posts so that those institutions have not become overly
powerful in their own right. In Uzbekistan, it appears Karimov,
Almatov, and Inoyatov make up a type of triumvirate, where one could
not displace either of the other two because they are in such control
of their own powerful apparat, and they all depend on each other for
their political survival. Other republic presidents have made a point
of reshuffling the heads of their power ministries to prevent anyone
from becoming too entrenched and a power in his own right. In
Uzbekistan, there is a strange co-dependency between the three. As all
three - Karimov, Almatov, and Inoyatov - sincerely believe that force
and ruthlessness is an effective method for dealing with dissent, they
cannot be relied on to curb the excesses of their law enforcement
agencies.

International influence

There had been hopes that the international community could serve to
curb Uzbekistan's lousy human rights record, but that has not been the
case. In the 1990s, Karimov was anxious for Western support as a way
of protecting the country from any encroachment by Russia on its
sovereignty. As a staunch Uzbek nationalist, he went as far as to drop
out of the Commonwealth of Independent Sates' (CIS) Collective
Security Part - the group's military dimension - and join GUAM,
renamed GUUAM afterwards, a subgroup within the CIS that worked
largely to block Russian initiatives that went against Georgia,
Ukraine, Azerbaijan, or Moldova's interests. Nonetheless, the
continual criticism heaped on Karimov's regime by the Western
international community antagonized the Uzbek president. Karimov was
also disillusioned with Western aid. 

Aid that went to support independent media, independent NGOs,
political party development, and so forth was not welcome. Even the
aid that went towards police, military, and security forces did not
please the president. Much of the military aid was aimed at securing
any chemical or biological materials left over from the Soviet era and
did not go towards developing Uzbekistan's armed forces. The police
aid included training on how not to torture prisoners during
interrogation. Again, Karimov did not see the need for that. Aid for
economic development meant little to Karimov, since most was geared at
fostering independent enterprise, while Karimov's regime was reluctant
to privatize large enterprises, or open the country's considerable
gold resources for investment, which would mean loosening control over
those assets.

The new post-9/11 game


By 2001, Karimov was feeling the pinch in regards to international
allies. Rejecting Russia had antagonized Moscow, but had not gained
strong Western support for his regime. Then came the 11September 2001
attacks on the US, which the Uzbek leader saw as a godsend opportunity
in bind the US to his side. Within days of the attack, Karmiov offered
the US use of a military base on Uzbek soil. As the country borders
Afghanistan, that offer was a logistical boon for the US. It also
worked to redirect US interest to the country. However, the
forthcoming aid continued to target independent enterprise, media, and
political parties, rather than Karimov's priorities. In addition, the
criticism of Uzbekistan's human rights record did not abate. Western
aid was seen as a contributing factor for the success of the
revolutions in Georgia, Ukraine, and Kyrgyzstan - revolutions that
Karimov regarded with dread. By 2005, Karimov was again feeling
isolated. In May, Uzbekistan formally dropped out of GUUAM, and
relations with the US were on a downhill course.

Prospects for change

Unlike the Rose, Orange, and Tulip Revolutions in Georgia, Ukraine,
and Kyrgyzstan, respectively, any popular uprising in Uzbekistan will
probably be bloody. Law enforcement agencies have a vested interest in
the current system and are unlikely to calmly stand by and watch it
crumble. Police did shoot at demonstrators in Aksy in Kyrgyzstan in
2002, but that had more to do with disorganization and no clear
understanding of how to behave than a desire by the police to uphold
Akaev. After the deaths at Aksy, the Kyrgyz regime made efforts to
insure that such an event would not happen again, and Akaev's cabinet
resigned. When demonstrations began last March over a questionable
parliamentary election, police stood back. Recruits were reluctant to
use force and the country's leaders knew that using force could
unleash a violent public reaction that would not just drive Akaev into
exile, but would demand his scalp. Given Uzbekistan's history under
Karimov, should his regime fall, people will demand his scalp - even
in the event of a bloodless coup. Thus, unlike Akaev, Karimov has
nothing to lose by resorting to force, and everything to lose if he
should fall.

Ustina Markus is a Washington, DC-based international affairs analyst
specializing in security issues. She was based in Osh, Kyrgyzstan for
two years as a senior field analyst for the International Crisis Group
(ICG).







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