Hi Pen-l,

Environmental life (and death) under capitalism.

Seth Sandronsky

>=======================Electronic Edition========================
>.                                                               .
>.           RACHEL'S ENVIRONMENT & HEALTH WEEKLY #664           .
>.                     ---August 19, 1999---                     .
>.                          HEADLINES:                           .
>.                      THE CARBON PUSHERS                       .
>.                          ==========                           .
>.               Environmental Research Foundation               .
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>=================================================================
>
>
>THE CARBON PUSHERS
>
>Four years ago the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
>(IPCC) concluded that humans are at least partly responsible for
>global warming: "The balance of evidence suggests a discernible
>human influence on global climate," IPCC said.[1] IPCC is an
>international group of 2500 meteorologists gathered under the
>auspices of the United Nations, trying to figure out why the
>Earth is warming up and what it might mean for human
>civilization.
>
>The mechanism of warming is called the "greenhouse effect."
>Sunlight streams in from outer space, strikes the surface of the
>planet, turns to heat and then is radiated back out toward outer
>space. But some of the heat cannot escape because it is reflected
>back to Earth by "greenhouse gases" in the atmosphere. These
>"greenhouse gases" (water vapor, carbon dioxide and methane)
>allow sunlight to pass through but they block heat, thus acting
>like the glass roof on a greenhouse, producing warmth within.
>
>The greenhouse effect is natural -- without it the Earth would be
>a frozen rock spinning through space. But over the past few
>hundred years, humans have contributed substantially to an
>increase in greenhouse gases. Burning coal, oil and natural gas
>(so-called fossil fuels), plus deforestation, have increased the
>atmospheric content of carbon dioxide by 31% (from 275 parts per
>million [ppm] to 360 ppm) during the past few hundred years, a
>trend that continues today. Fossil fuel combustion and
>deforestation now add about 7.7 billion tons (7 billion metric
>tonnes) of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere each year. Other
>human activities have increased the methane content of the
>atmosphere -- growing cattle, growing rice, and landfilling
>garbage.
>
>Since 1995, much new evidence has come to light indicating that
>the Earth is indeed warming and that human activities are at
>least partly responsible. A recent summary article by Bette
>Hileman in CHEMICAL & ENGINEERING NEWS, voice of the American
>Chemical Society, describes some of the new evidence indicating
>that the planet is warming at an accelerating pace:
>
>** The Earth's average temperature has been rising for at least
>100 years, but in recent decades the rate of increase has speeded
>up. Eleven of the past 16 years have been the hottest of the
>century. The average global temperature in 1998 was higher than
>it had been at any other time during the previous 1000 years.
>
>** The polar regions of the planet are heating up much more
>rapidly than the average. Alaska is now as much as 10 degrees
>Fahrenheit (F.) (6 degrees Celsius [C.]) warmer than it was 35
>years ago. As the frozen north warms and thaws, peat buried in
>the tundra decays, releasing carbon dioxide. This is a positive
>feedback mechanism that could speed up the rate of increase of
>greenhouse gases in the atmosphere -- the warmer the tundra
>becomes, the more carbon dioxide it releases, in turn warming the
>tundra further. According to Walter C. Oechel, director of the
>Global Change Research Group at San Diego State University
>(California), the arctic tundra has been a sink (or storage
>place) for carbon for the last 9000 years, but since 1982 its
>role has reversed and now it has become a source of carbon to the
>atmosphere.
>
>Some far-northern (boreal) forests also seem to be shifting their
>role from that of a carbon sink to a carbon source for the
>atmosphere as warmer temperatures thaw frozen soils.[2] Whether
>the entire boreal forest belt, which encircles the Earth, has
>become a net source of carbon remains unknown.
>
>Bette Hileman does not say so, but the warming arctic tundra will
>likely also release methane gas which, pound for pound, is about
>20 times as powerful as carbon dioxide at creating a greenhouse
>effect.[3] The quantity of carbon locked in arctic soils is huge
>and the positive feedback loop that has begun to release it to
>the atmosphere is ominous.
>
>** Average summertime temperatures in Antarctica have risen 4.5
>degrees F. (2.5 degrees C.) since the 1940s. According to members
>of the British Antarctic Survey, ice shelves along the coast of
>the Antarctic Peninsula have been breaking up for 50 years,
>having lost 7000 square kilometers (2703 square miles) during
>that time. The loss of 3000 square kilometers (1158 square miles)
>within just the last year indicates that the breakup of ice
>shelves has accelerated.
>
>The Greenland Ice Sheet, the world's second largest glacier, is
>growing thinner at the rate of a meter (39 inches) per year.
>However, snowfall may be increasing in polar regions, so no one
>is yet sure whether the overall amount of ice at the poles is
>changing.
>
>** The bleaching and loss of corals in the world's warm oceans
>(Indo-Pacific, western Atlantic, and Caribbean) provide further
>evidence of accelerated global warming. Corals are showing signs
>of stress in areas of human habitation and in uninhabited
>regions. In uninhabited regions, the main causes are likely to be
>increased ultraviolet light penetrating through the Earth's
>damaged ozone shield, and global warming. Coral bleaching occurs
>when water temperatures rise, and coral bleaching has been
>increasing worldwide since the 1970s as Earth's temperature has
>risen most steeply.
>
>Furthermore, recent work shows that, as the carbon dioxide
>content of the atmosphere increases, so does the carbon dioxide
>content of ocean water. This in turn lowers the concentration of
>carbonate ion, reducing the ability of corals to build their
>skeletons.[4] The future for coral reefs looks grim.
>
>Coral reefs are economically important -- they provide food,
>coastal protection, and new medications for drug-resistant
>diseases. And they attract tourists by the millions: Caribbean
>countries derive half their income from coral reefs. The coral
>reefs of southeast Asia provide homes for one-quarter of the
>world's fish species.
>
>** Annual precipitation over the continental U.S. has increased
>about 10% during this century, much of it during the winter, and
>much of it in heavy events. For example, the number of days with
>rainfall exceeding 2 inches has increased about 10% during the
>past century. Similar trends are observable in Canada, Japan,
>Russia, China, and Australia.
>
>Other consequences of global warming include:
>
>** Moisture in the lower atmosphere has increased about 10%
>during the past 20 years.
>
>** The annual number of intense storms over the North Atlantic
>and the North Pacific has doubled since 1900.
>
>** There have been more, and longer-lasting, El Nino events
>since the 1970s. El Nino is a huge but localized warming in
>the eastern Pacific Ocean that gives rise to violent storms along
>the U.S. Pacific coast, devastating droughts in Africa and
>Australia, and often a failure of the monsoon rains in Asia.
>
>** New computer models have been able to mimic past climate
>changes, and they predict future warming of the atmosphere.
>Skeptics used to say that computer models had done such a poor
>job of mimicking past events that their predictive ability must
>also be flawed. That argument has been put to rest by better
>models that track past events properly and which now predict an
>average global temperature rise somewhere between 1.2 degrees C.
>(2.2 degrees F.) and 4 degrees C. (7.2 degrees F.) in the next
>century. Even a 1 degree C. (1.8 deg. F.) average temperature
>rise could have important consequences because of exaggerated
>effects already evident at the poles, though not all scientists
>agree with this assessment.
>
>** Rather than diminish production of carbon dioxide, the U.S.
>government favors a technical fix: U.S. global warming policy
>relies on the ability of forests and agricultural soils to sop up
>excess carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. A 1998 paper by U.S.
>government scientists seemed to show that North American forests
>and soils were absorbing all of the carbon dioxide being emitted
>by the burning of fossil fuels in North America.[5] Based on that
>study, the U.S. demanded that forests-as-carbon -sinks be written
>into the Kyoto Treaty, an international agreement intended to
>slow the production of greenhouse gases. (See REHW #577.) At the
>meeting in Kyoto (Japan), the European Union remained skeptical
>of the U.S. approach, but the U.S. threatened to walk out if its
>approach was rejected. Now, according to Bette Hileman, two
>additional studies -- one from France and the other from
>Australia -- have challenged the findings of the original U.S.
>study, but these new studies remain unpublished and therefore
>outside the debate.
>
>This issue of forests as "sinks" for excess carbon has paralyzed
>Kyoto Treaty negotiations since the Kyoto meeting because the
>issue is not fully resolvable with present-day science and the
>U.S. continues to insist that its viewpoint is defensible.
>Paralysis suits many U.S. leaders just fine -- key members of
>Congress have indicated that the Kyoto Treaty will be ratified
>over their dead bodies because they say the Kyoto Treaty will
>harm the U.S. economy. But what if global warming will harm the
>economy for our children in the future? Let the unborn speak now
>or forever hold their peace.
>
>Independent U.S. scientists who have examined the ability of
>forests to absorb carbon dioxide are not optimistic that the U.S.
>"sinks" plan has much merit. Under ideal conditions, forests may
>be able to absorb as much as 50% of excess carbon dioxide from
>the atmosphere, but to achieve that level of absorption would
>require all trees to be young and all trees to be as responsive
>to carbon dioxide as the most responsive, the loblolly pine. And
>of course when the trees die, they will release the excess carbon
>back into the ecosystem. To prevent global warming, trees would
>have to keep excess carbon out of the atmosphere forever.
>
>Cleaner sources of energy are already available and affordable.
>Adopting them in the U.S. alone would create 770,000 jobs, save
>$530 per household per year, and significantly reduce the threat
>of global warming.[6] Why can't we make the shift? A recent
>report from the Natural Resources Defense Council (NRDC), U.S.
>Public Interest Research Group, and the Union of Concerned
>Scientists points out that 80% of greenhouse gases are produced
>by only 122 corporations,[7] which act as "carbon pushers"
>comparable to drug pushers. The authors of the report do not
>express it quite this way, but the conclusion is obvious: these
>122 corporations are jeopardizing the integrity of the entire
>global ecosystem, endangering the future for all children, and
>holding the world's people and their governments hostage by a
>combination of bribery and brute force. A simple question: Why do
>we allow such antisocial -- even sociopathic -- behavior to go
>unrewarded by prison sentences for culpable executives and boards
>of directors?  Please give it some thought.
>
>                                                 --Peter Montague
>                  (National Writers Union, UAW Local 1981/AFL-CIO)
>
>==============
>
>[1] Bette Hileman, "Case Grows for Climate Change," C&EN
>[CHEMICAL & ENGINEERING NEWS] (August 9, 1999), pgs. 16-23.
>
>[2] M. L. Goulden and others, "Sensitivity of Boreal Forest
>Carbon Balance to Soil Thaw," SCIENCE Vol. 279 (January 9, 1998),
>pgs. 214-216.
>
>[3] Jeff Hecht, "Shallow Methane Could Turn on the Heat," NEW
>SCIENTIST (July 8, 1995), pg. 16. And: Jeff Hecht, "Baked Alaska,"
>NEW SCIENTIST (October 11, 1997), pg. 4.  And: Fred Pearce,
>"Methane: The Hidden Greenhouse Gas. Coming out of cattle,
>rubbish tips and rice fields, is warming the earth. Yet methane
>from the Arctic could be the most damaging of all," NEW SCIENTIST
>(May 6, 1989), pg. 37.
>
>[4] Joan A. Kleypas and others, "Geochemical Consequences of
>Increased Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide on Coral Reefs," SCIENCE
>Vol. 284 (April 2, 1999), pgs. 118-120.
>
>[5] S. Fan and others, "A Large Terrestrial Carbon Sink in North
>America Implied by Atmospheric and Oceanic Carbon Dioxide Data
>and Models," SCIENCE Vol. 282 (October 16, 1998), pgs. 442-446.
>
>[6] ENERGY INNOVATIONS: A PROSPEROUS PATH TO A CLEAN ENVIRONMENT
>(Washington, D.C.: American Council for an Energy-Efficient
>Economy [1001 Connecticut Ave., NW, Suite 801, Washington, D.C.
>20036; phone (202) 429-0063], June 1997. Available for $25. See
>http://www.tellus.org/ei/eireport.html.
>
>[7] KINGPINS OF CARBON; HOW FOSSIL FUEL PRODUCERS CONTRIBUTE TO
>GLOBAL WARMING (New York: Natural Resources Defense Council and
>others, July 1999). Tel. (212) 727-1773.  Available at: http:-
>//www.nrdc.org/nrdcpro/fppubl.html .
>
>Descriptor terms: global warming; greenhouse effect; fossil fuel;
>coral;  precipitation increases; tundra; forests; carbon sinks;
>carbon sources; methane gas; glaciers;
>
>
>################################################################
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