In response to Doug's points below, I would begin by saying that the motor vehical
industry is very cyclical.  I suspect that the increase in employment in the
sector has to do to the conversion to sport utility vehicles.

I did not generalize from the auto sector.  I only used it to illustrate a point.

Finally, the small share motor vehicles illustrates how pervasive the
de-industrialization has been.  The (more than) compensating growth in the service
sector, has not created the same type of jobs, as you well know.

I would like to know if I was correct in my initial point about the accounting for
outsourcing.

Doug Henwood wrote:

> Well how about this? The table shows total employment in U.S. motor
> vehicles and equipment up 265,000 from Jan 90-Nov 98 - or 216,000 looking
> at just production workers alone. In parts and accessories, the numbers are
> +167,000 and +130,000. After declining from the 1970s into the early 1990s,
> motor vehicles have increased their share of total employment since.
>
> Another point - though lots of people generalize about "globalization"
> trends from the auto industry, it represents well under 1% of total
> employment. Over 7 times as many people work in finance as in motor
> vehicles; 10 times in health, 20 times in government, and 22 times in
> retail.
>
> Doug
>
> ----
>
> EMPLOYMENT IN U.S. MOTOR VEHICLE INDUSTRY
>
>                     motor                 MV
>                   vehicles &           parts &
>                   equipment           accessories
>                 ----------------     --------------    total
>                 total     produc     total   produc  employment
>       1/70       879       683       382       306    71,018
>       1/80       852       627       388       304    90,729
>       1/90       737       540       373       290   108,946
>       2/92       804       616       414       327   108,077
>      11/98     1,002       756       539       421   126,775
>
> change to
> 11/98 from
> ----------
>     number
>       1/70      +123       +73      +157      +114   +55,757
>       1/80      +150      +129      +151      +117   +36,046
>       1/90      +265      +216      +167      +130   +17,829
>       2/92      +198      +140      +125       +94   +18,698
>
>    percent
>       1/70    +14.0%    +10.7%    +41.1%    +37.3%    +78.5%
>       1/80    +17.6%    +20.6%    +38.9%    +38.4%    +39.7%
>       1/90    +36.0%    +40.0%    +44.7%    +45.0%    +16.4%
>       2/92    +24.6%    +22.7%    +30.2%    +28.8%    +17.3%
>
> % of total
>       1/70     1.24%     0.96%     0.54%     0.43%    100.0%
>       1/80     0.94%     0.69%     0.43%     0.33%    100.0%
>       1/90     0.68%     0.50%     0.34%     0.27%    100.0%
>       2/92     0.74%     0.57%     0.38%     0.30%    100.0%
>      11/98     0.79%     0.60%     0.43%     0.33%    100.0%



--

Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Chico, CA 95929
530-898-5321
fax 530-898-5901



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