Hanke had a letter in the Financial Times the other day, which the FT
headed "Mexico needs a currency board." He says the interview published
several days earlier with the deputy gov of the Bank of Mexico, in which he
resisted a board for Mexico, "shows us just how confused and misinformed
the Mexican officials are about exchange rates." This was once - like 8
months ago - universally portrayed as the slickest set of technocrats in
the "developing" world. A currency board, says Hanke, would bring immediate
credibility.

Isn't a currency board the functional equivalent of a gold standard, with
inflows/outflows of reserves determining the domestic money supply, which
is fixed in a ratio (Hanke suggests 6 to 1, on an $11b reserve base, a lot
more than Mexico has right now) to reserves? Reserves are determined by the
movements in the capital and current account, just like inflows and
outflows of gold, leaving authorities no policy discretion, and forcing an
increased external orientation at the same time.

Doug

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Doug Henwood
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