Doug Henwood wrote:
> 
> At 8:23 AM 7/1/96, Max B. Sawicky wrote:
> 
> If people base their ethical and moral conclusions on "facts" that are
> totally untrue, then those conclusions have no validity, as dearly as they
> may hold them. The crime issue sure does hinge on both fact and theory,
> unless you mistake glossolalia for revealed truth.

For some questions fact and theory matter, for others not.  The only
relevant fact turned up thus far is that crime against children by
non-family members is rare, ergo the risk to children from outsiders
is too limited to make notification a justifiable practice.  I have
no reason to doubt that it is indeed rare, but that does not encourage
me to participate in a daily lottery where I have a one-in-a-billion
chance at a personal tragedy.

[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
> 
> Okay.  I'll answer Max's question.  If I had kids (I do) would I want to
> know if the guy down the street was a convicted child-molester?  My answer
> is -- not really. Why not?   Because it wouldn't make any real difference
> . . . 
> a public park, with adults present.  Like most children these days, my
> daughter is under constant surveillance.  Would I be any more vigilant if
> I knew a convicted child-molester lived down the street?  No. In most
> . . .
> cases where the perpetrator is caught, he turns out not to have a prior
> record.  So  I already assume that every stranger is a potential
> threat to my child.  Certainly every strange male.

Well we differ on this.  My daughter is also under constant
surveillance, but since she's only three and naturally adventurous, that
would be true no matter who our neighbors were.  The question then becomes,
what about when she gets older?  What's the distribution of surveillance
level given the child's age?  The answer is obviously not clear-cut.  Your
answer is not the one I would give, but it is entirely plausible
in its own right. One is obliged to make a judgment and in such zones
of ambiguity, whether one would answer as you do or I would, the difference
does not turn on facts or theory or my reactionary ideology but on personal
choices which are not drawn strictly or by linear logic from any of these
things.  That's why I maintain that the left-based animus to this concern
is overdrawn.

>         Moreover, as a progressive person, I recognize that the existence
> of a few predatory child-rapists is not really the problem here.  The

As I said before, "the" problem is not one-dimensional.  One small remedy
need not preclude other larger ones.

> question we should be asking.  When people accuse Clinton of pandering,
> it's because Clinton has done absolutely nothing to address the conditions
> that create these problems.  Where's his courageous stance on family leave,
> reduction in work hours, funding for public parks and recreation
> facilities?  THESE would actually make children safer and parents calmer.

Now in the interests of accuracy I have to defend Clinton again.
Actually the Administration did not do "absolutely nothing" about
family leave.  They also tried to pass a "stimulus" package that
included money for parks and the like for local governments.  Their
economists (the liberal ones) also believed that an 'export strategy'
was the best way to raise wages.  Obviously they might have tried to
do more and their economics can be faulted, but the verdict of
"absolutely nothing" doesn't wash.  They certainly did little enough
and gave us enough to criticize until the cows come home, but the
level of condemnation is unworthy of the relative disadvantage of
putting B. Dole in the White House to follow the lead of his 'idea
man' N. Gingrich.

I interpret your reduction in work hours as another way of saying
higher pay and less implicit incentives to plus-40 hour work weeks.
Is there really any support for the notion that such a change, or
"giving America a raise," would address the problem we've talked about?
How in the world would more parks and recreation facilities, fine
things in and of themselves, be helpful?  This gets back to the point
that the broader the picture we draw of "the" problem, the less relevant
we tend to get towards specific concerns.

I think it could also be shown that, present company excluded, the left
is quite indulgent of localist public demands of other types which fail
in the same way to address "the" problem, but when crime concerns come
up, we tend to get less indulgent, more 'radical', less relevant, and
more politically isolated.

Finally, I will go even further out on a limb and say
that even if notification had no social value, there is something
to be said for responding to b.s. from the other side with the
better b.s.  It can't be smart to function like Boy Scouts while
the opposition practices Mafiosi tactics.  Would that Clinton's
facility in this respect was harnessed to greater purposes. This
gets back to what I think is a naive view of how politics works,
including effective insurgency politics from the left.  After all
the reverses we have suffered, I am always pleased when a Democrat
fights dirty and beats a Republican.  Obviously the same tactics
could be turned against us, but that will always be true regardless
of whether we condone it in others.  If everybody signed an
enforceable, 'clean politics' pact I would sign on too because I think
a more rational debate gives us an edge, but I'm not going to hold
my breath in anticipation of such a development.

M.S.

  
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Max B. Sawicky                  202-775-8810 (voice)
Economic Policy Institute       202-775-0819 (fax)
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