I have a question. Inflation is tame; Greenspan said so. The US dollar is
strong or was until Dubya started worrying out loud that it might be too
strong. Does anyone have a handle on the extent to which the strong dollar
has contributed to containing inflation through its impact on the dollar
price of imports? 

Is the following scenario plausible: in response to low interest rates and
low corporate earnings the dollar continues to ease off its recent 15 year
high. Just as the U.S. economy "bottoms out", inflation picks up reflecting
the higher dollar price of imports. The fed is then faced with the dilemma
of tolerating higher inflation (possibly further undermining the dollar) and
keeping interest rates down or raising rates and aborting the recovery.

Tom Walker
Bowen Island, BC
604 947 2213

Reply via email to