Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Samir Amin: "Not a Happy Ending"

2000-04-29 Thread M A Jones
Jim Devine wrote: > Eventually (in 1985-7), the dollar fell (in > inflation-adjusted terms, using the trade-weighted measure), due to the > large trade deficits (which had not yet turned into current-account > deficits) and due to a convergence of US interest rates with those of the > rest of th

Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Samir Amin: "Not a Happy Ending"

2000-04-29 Thread Dennis R Redmond
On Fri, 28 Apr 2000, M A Jones wrote: > Hey, Russia posted a whacking bal of payments surplus last year and has done > almost every year since 1991. Is it also a no-brainer to buy up some roubles > right now? That sounds like a challenge to me. Only trouble is I'm not a Malt Man. But I'm willing

Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Samir Amin: "Not a Happy Ending"

2000-04-28 Thread Jim Devine
I wrote: > shouldn't the large US current account deficit signal a fall in the US$ and a rise in the Euro sometime in the near future?< Mark Jones asks: >Why? because the current account deficit is larger than ever before, with US net indebtedness contributing via the income account. The dolla

Re: Re: Re: Re: Samir Amin: "Not a Happy Ending"

2000-04-28 Thread M A Jones
Jim Devine wrote: > shouldn't the large US current account deficit signal a fall in the US$ and > a rise in the Euro sometime in the near future? Why? Mark Jones http://www.egroups.com/group/CrashList>

Re: Re: Re: Re: Samir Amin: "Not a Happy Ending"

2000-04-28 Thread Michael Perelman
Not if people expect the NASDAQ to go up 50% this year. Rational expectations, you know ... Jim Devine wrote: > > shouldn't the large US current account deficit signal a fall in the US$ and > a rise in the Euro sometime in the near future? -- Michael Perelman Economics Department California

Re: Re: Re: Re: Samir Amin: "Not a Happy Ending"

2000-04-27 Thread M A Jones
Mark Jones http://www.egroups.com/group/CrashList Dennis R Redmond wrote: > This is known as a buying opportunity of historic proportions. Some future > George Soros out there is going to make an unholy killing by snapping up > EUR and dumping USD. Hey, Russia posted a whacking bal of payments