/* Written 10:15 AM  Nov 10, 1994 by kmander in igc:trade.news */
/* ---------- "Trade Week 11-10-94" ---------- */
Trade Week in Review
Thursday, November 10, 1994
Volume 3, Number 45
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HEADLINES:
Hollings Seeks Republican Rejection of GATT
Republicans May Postpone GATT
Retailers, Importers Oppose GATT
U.S. Complains to GATT About European Bananas
Japan Predicts Quick Passage of GATT
China Threatens U.S. Over GATT Entry
Resources
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GATT NEWS SUMMARY
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Hollings Seeks Republican Rejection of GATT

The day after Republicans won majorities in the House of 
Representatives and the Senate, Senator Ernest Hollings (D-South 
Carolina) asked Republicans to keep the deficit down by voting 
against GATT.  "Newt Gingrich, the new speaker-to-be, says he's 
going to read the Contract for America on January 4 to balance the 
budget," Hollings said.  "Republicans don't have to wait until then. 
We'll find out if they're acting in good faith on balancing the budget 
on November 30 when the GATT vote is taken."  Hollings said passing 
GATT would add $30 billion to the U.S. deficit. 

Hollings, who is chair of the Senate Commerce Committee, will hold 
hearings on GATT next week.  On November 14, the committee will 
consider the pioneer provisions of GATT.  On November 15, European 
Parliament member Sir James Goldsmith and others will testify about 
GATT's impact on the U.S. economy.  In a new book, "The Trap," 
Goldsmith argues that global free trade, intensive agriculture and 
nuclear energy have "profoundly destroyed our social stability by 
using ill-conceived modern economic tools."

Sources: "Hollings Challenges GOP on GATT," HOLLINGS PRESS 
RELEASE, November 9, 1994; Martin Wolf, "Trapped in a Protectionist 
World," FINANCIAL TIMES, November 10, 1994.
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Republicans May Postpone GATT

Media reports indicate some conservatives are pressuring Senate 
Minority Leader Bob Dole (R-Kansas) to corral 40 votes to block GATT 
from coming to the floor of the Senate in the lame-duck session 
scheduled to begin November 30.  They apparently support the 
agreement, but are opposed to several of its provisions.  Pro-GATT 
business groups have been circulating a list of nine senators who 
have announced their opposition to GATT, 16 others who oppose 
waiving budget rules for GATT, and another 17 who will "probably" 
oppose GATT.  That adds up to 42 senators, enough to defeat GATT.

In an interview on NBC television Sunday, Dole expressed doubts 
about ratifying the trade pact.  "The big problem in GATT is the 
World Trade Organization," he said.  "I've had more calls and more 
letters from my state of Kansas on GATT than I've ever had on the 
North American Free Trade Agreement."

Like most Republicans, Senator Phil Gramm (R-Texas) says he'd like 
to support GATT, but contends the problem is the "President has 
loaded up the agreement with so much stuff that I find 
objectionable."  

Republicans face a difficult choice regarding GATT.  Putting off the 
vote until next year would enable the Republicans to re-write the 
enabling legislation and take greater credit for passing it.  But 
business interests fear a postponement could make it more difficult 
to pass the trade pact, thus they are likely to pressure Republicans to 
help approve the agreement this year.

White House officials say the Republicans, who promised Wednesday 
to work with the administration on a variety of issues, can display 
good faith by supporting GATT.  "If we can have both the Democrats 
and the Republicans working together to get GATT passed, it could 
set, certainly, a better framework for the next session," said Chief of 
Staff Leon Panetta.  According to the NEW YORK TIMES, the White 
House figures it has at least 50 Senate votes for GATT, but perhaps 
not the 60 it needs to pass the legislation.

Many GATT opponents, who argue that a lame-duck session is not 
the right place to decide an issue of such magnitude, doubt Dole and 
other Republican leaders will get in the way of GATT.  "Dole has a 
long history on free trade," said Mark Anderson of the AFL-CIO.  "I 
don't think he'll turn his back on the Business Roundtable or 
agribusiness."

Sources: "GATT: Will Majority Leader Dole Rewrite the Pact?" 
AMERICAN POLITICAL NETWORK, November 8, 1994; "Dole on the 
Fence Over GATT, But Gore Defends It," AGENCE FRANCE PRESSE, 
November 6, 1994; David E. Sanger, "Trade Vote Is First Test for 
Victors," NEW YORK TIMES, November 10, 1994; Helene Cooper, 
"World Trade Pact's Passage Now May Face Uphill Fight," WALL 
STREET JOURNAL, November 10, 1994; Nancy Dunne, "Scramble to 
Get GATT Through," FINANCIAL TIMES, November 10, 1994.
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Retailers, Importers Oppose GATT

Retailers, importers and apparel manufacturers are all opposing the 
Uruguay Round of GATT because of changes to the rules of origin for 
apparel imports.  The U.S. Association of Importers of Textiles and 
Apparel said it would actively oppose the trade bill.  The National 
Retail Federation and the International Mass Retail Association said 
they would not actively oppose the bill, but indicated members 
might take other stances.

Source: Jim Ostroff, "Retailers, Importers Yank GATT Support Over 
Origin Rule Shift; Apparel Industry, General Agreement on Tariffs 
and Trade," WOMEN'S WEAR DAILY, September 29, 1994.
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U.S. Complains to GATT About European Bananas

At a November 3 meeting of the GATT Committee on Import 
Licensing Procedures, the United States put pressure on the European 
Union to change its import licensing system for bananas.  Barbara 
Chattin, director of tariff affairs for the Office of the U.S. Trade 
Representative, said EU banana import policy is "totally contrary to 
both the letter and spirit" of GATT rules.  The EU restricts banana 
imports from some Latin American countries in favor of imports 
from former colonies in Africa, the Caribbean and the Pacific.

Source: "International Trade, U.S. Raises EU Banana Regime Issue in 
GATT Import Licensing Committee," BUREAU OF NATIONAL AFFAIRS, 
November 4, 1994.
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Japan Predicts Quick Passage of GATT

Japan will probably ratify the Uruguay Round in its current 
parliamentary session, but may postpone certain steps due to delays 
in the U.S. and Europe, legislators said.  "We'll be watching other 
countries' moves, but unless something extreme happens, we'll 
proceed in parliament," said Atsushi Nishikori, a member of 
parliament in the Sakigake Party who led the recent government 
debate on agriculture issues.  "GATT ratification by the Japanese 
parliament will likely come before the United States," Nishikori said.

Source: Yoko Kobayashi, "Japan Sees Smooth Road for GATT 
Ratification," REUTER, November 7, 1994.
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China Threatens U.S. Over GATT Entry

China warned it could become an uncontrolled "gorilla" that 
disregards international trade rules if the United States continues to 
block China's re-entry to GATT.  "Denial of GATT access could turn 
China into a 900-pound gorilla unbound by the marshalling of a 
world trading system," the CHINA DAILY BUSINESS WEEKLY quoted a 
senior trade scholar at Beijing University as saying.  The U.S. objects 
to admitting China as a developing nation and has called for greater 
trade transparency.

Source: "China Warns It Will Become a 'Gorilla' Without GATT," 
AGENCE FRANCE PRESSE, November 6, 1994.
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RESOURCES
_________________________________________________
For copies of the following, please contact the authors or 
organizations listed:

"Trade Challenges to U.S. Environmental and Health Measures," Patti 
Goldman, SIERRA CLUB LEGAL DEFENSE FUND, INC., October 12, 1994.  
12 pages.  Institute for Agriculture and Trade Policy, 1313 5th Street 
S.E., Suite 303, Minneapolis, MN  55414-12546.  (612) 379-5980.  
Fax: (612) 379-5982. $3.
A summary of how formal trade disputes or the threat of trade 
disputes have been used to weaken U.S. health and environment 
laws and regulations.

"Transnational Corporations' Strategic Responses to TSustainable 
Development'," Harris Gleckman with Riva Krut, BENCHMARK 
ENVIRONMENTAL CONSULTING, July 1994.  1457 Westbrook St. 
Portland, ME 04012.  (207) 775-9078.  Fax: (207) 772-3539.  $10.
This is a draft of a chapter that will appear in Green Globe 1995 
(Oxford University Press, forthcoming).  The paper includes a review 
of the United Nations' Agenda 21 on Transnational Corporate issues.

"China," International Agriculture and Trade Reports, Situation and 
Outlook Series, U.S DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE, August 1994. 63 
pages.  ERS-NASS, 341 Victory Drive, Herndon, VA  22070.  (800) 
999-6779 (U.S. or Canada) or (703) 834-0125.  Fax: (703) 834-0110.  
$9/ single issue (domestic); $11.25 (foreign). $20/year (domestic); 
$25/year (foreign).
This six-report yearly series includes, Africa and the Middle East, 
Asia and the Pacific Rim, China, Europe, Former USSR, and the 
Western Hemisphere.  The reports, based on original foreign source 
materials, analyze short and long-term production and consumption 
trends, as well as how macro-economic and trade policies  affect food 
and fiber markets.  Summaries and texts of the reports are also 
available electronically.  Call (202) 720-9045.
_________________________________________________
For more information about the Institute for Agriculture and Trade 
Policy, send email to [EMAIL PROTECTED]

Trade Week in Review is produced by:
Kai Mander
Institute for Agriculture and Trade Policy (IATP)
1313 5th Street, SE, Suite 303
Minneapolis, MN 55414-1546 USA
tel: (612) 379-5980  fax: (612) 379-5982
email: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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