Re: forex spillovers

2003-10-03 Thread Jurriaan Bendien
Hi Jim, > Or is unemployment not lower in NZ? If unemployment didn't fall, then > that contradicts > the orthodoxy. Real unemployment is difficult for me to estimate momentarily, because of the compilation of data and statistical presentation. For example, if you just worked a few hours a week th

Re: forex spillovers

2003-10-03 Thread Devine, James
I wrote: > > the standard macro explanation points to Okun's "Law," > > which says that for the US, > > real GDP has to increase at about 3 per cent per year > > simply to keep the > > unemployment rate constant. This type of growth counteracts the > > [unemployment-raising] effects of an increa

Re: forex spillovers

2003-10-03 Thread Jurriaan Bendien
Hi Jim, Thanks very much (I haven't gone outside yet, just reading your post). > the standard macro explanation points to Okun's "Law," which says that for the US, > real GDP has to increase at about 3 per cent per year simply to keep the > unemployment rate constant. This type of growth countera

Re: forex spillovers

2003-10-03 Thread Devine, James
Jurriaan wrote: > Is anybody actually explaining thoroughly how it is possible to have a > jobless recovery at all ? the standard macro explanation points to Okun's "Law," which says that for the US, real GDP has to increase at about 3 per cent per year simply to keep the unemployment rate consta

Re: forex spillovers

2003-10-02 Thread Jurriaan Bendien
> America's new-found > protectionism is rooted in the election-year angst of the jobless recovery. > The forces of free trade are silent - unwilling to be characterised as > anti-worker in this climate." Is anybody actually explaining thoroughly how it is possible to have a jobless recovery at a

forex spillovers

2003-10-02 Thread Eubulides
America bets its bottom dollar The US has talked down its currency to take on the far east, but British investors are suffering Nils Pratley Friday October 3, 2003 The Guardian It was almost a vintage summer for stock market investors. The FTSE 100 index drifted up gently, encouraged by generall