I was just going over some publications, cleaning up my desk.  Any
archaeologists out there want to join me?  I found a copy of the CES ifo
Forum Spring 2001 with a pessimistic article by Dudley -- the person Alex
asked about.  He says that the Goldman Sachs Financial Conditions index is
tighter than before the Fed started tightening.

"The Fed needs to get the dollar down and the stock market back up.  To do
this, they are going to have to ease monetary policy much more
aggressively over the next six months.  Put simply, the virtuous circle
has turned vicious.  It going to take time and monetary and fiscal
accommodation to engineer a reversal of the current trend."


 -- 
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]

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