[PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-28 Thread Eugene Coyle
Alan Blinder has broken ranks with the economics orthodoxy and sees potentially huge job losses from trade.  Page 1 in today's Wall St. Journal.  (3/28/07)JOB PROSPECTS Pain From Free Trade Spurs Second ThoughtsMr. Blinder's ShiftSpotlights WarningsOf Deeper DownsideBy DAVID WESSEL and BOB DAVISMar

[PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-04-01 Thread Charles Brown
Nowadays, though, many Marxists who still insist on Marxist rhetoric have in effect embraced capitalist development as good in and of itself, as they have practically given up on any transition to a socialist future. China and India are good examples of that change.

[PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-04-01 Thread Charles Brown
The difficulty is that probably a number of people in India still feel that the neoliberal combo of the Congress, parliamentary Marxists, et al. is the lesser evil compared to the BJP-led right-wing coalition and that a lot of people in China, while wishing to defend positive legacies of Chinese so

[PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-04-01 Thread Charles Brown
Marx was big on the innovative power of capitalism - both its penchant for creating new technologies and new wants. It's not hard to relate that to a theory of job creation, even though many Marxists seem temperamentally inclined to emphasize destruction. For a system of thought that thinks of its

[PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-04-04 Thread Charles Brown
CB: On Marxists having a theory of job creation, there's variable capital and constant capital. Variable capital is "jobs". For Marxists, the capitalists wouldn't have a stitch of profit if they didn't create jobs, because labor is the source of all exchange-value, and surplus-value is exchange-v

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-29 Thread Gernot Koehler
But now he is saying loudly that a new industrial revolution -- communication technology that allows services to be delivered electronically from afar -- will put as many as 40 million American jobs at risk of being shipped out of the country in the next decade or two. That warning is justified.

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-29 Thread Carrol Cox
Gernot Koehler wrote: > > there is a weakness in Marx(ian)(ist) > literature with respect to the theory of job creation in capitalist > economies, as opposed to theory of job destruction. (Or, which pieces of > literature did I miss?) > GK You expect too much of theory. Is it a weakness in quantum

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-29 Thread Jim Devine
>But now he is saying loudly that a new industrial revolution >-- communication technology that allows services to be delivered >electronically from afar -- will put as many as 40 million American >jobs at risk of being shipped out of the country in the next decade or two. Gernot Koehler wrote:

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-29 Thread Michael Perelman
Jim is correct that Marx talks a lot about job destruction rather than job creation, but he does speak about the need to replenish the reserve army of the unemployed, which presumes that a rhythm of job destruction and job creation exists. Even so, the weight seems to fall on job destruction.

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-29 Thread Jim Devine
one of the things is that job destruction (re)creates the reserve army (as MP says). That in turn is the basis for new accumulation and new hiring. On 3/29/07, Michael Perelman <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: Jim is correct that Marx talks a lot about job destruction rather than job creation, but he

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-29 Thread Eugene Coyle
Jim, My point in making the original post was not about the prediction but about who was making it. Alan Blinder is a Princeton economist, was on the Federal Reserve Board, and is the personification of a mainstream economist. When he says that trade is going to cost jobs, that is news.

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-29 Thread Jim Devine
right. I wasn't responding to your original message but to GK. I too was amazed at the source. On 3/29/07, Eugene Coyle <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: Jim, My point in making the original post was not about the prediction but about who was making it. Alan Blinder is a Princeton economist, w

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-29 Thread Doug Henwood
On Mar 29, 2007, at 11:36 AM, Jim Devine wrote: Back when the NAFTA (and similar trade bills) were passed, people warned of job loss. The trouble with this prediction is that it misses the point. The _real_ issue is labor wages (relative to labor productivity). Which is complicated by the fact

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-29 Thread Michael Perelman
I though we discussed his Foreign Affairs paper here a few months ago. On Thu, Mar 29, 2007 at 09:40:33AM -0700, Eugene Coyle wrote: > Jim, > My point in making the original post was not about the prediction > but about who was making it. Alan Blinder is a Princeton economist, > was on th

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-29 Thread michael a. lebowitz
At 11:36 29/03/2007, jim devine wrote: Marx's theory in CAPITAL (volume 1) is mostly about job destruction. This focuses on a representative industry, i.e., one that represents the abstract general laws of accumulation. But there are also processes of job creation in Marx: if aggregate accumulat

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-29 Thread Jim Devine
I wrote: > Back when the NAFTA (and similar trade bills) > were passed, people warned of job loss. The trouble with this > prediction is that it misses the point. The _real_ issue is labor > wages (relative to labor productivity). Doug Henwood wrote: Which is complicated by the fact that the 5

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-29 Thread Yoshie Furuhashi
On 3/29/07, michael a. lebowitz <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: Remember that Marx assumes that the standard of necessity is given for a given country, era, etc. Thus, by that assumption, increased productivity cannot lead to rising real wages. If we relax that assumption (all other things equal), pro

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-30 Thread Gernot Koehler
Carrol wrote: "You expect too much of theory." I grant that theory is not practice. However, leftist theory has traditionally attempted to assist the practice of workers and other underdogs. Job creation and job destruction are both important to workers. Thus, if it is important for workers to ha

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-30 Thread Gernot Koehler
Jim wrote: "Marx's theory in CAPITAL (volume 1) is mostly about job destruction. This focuses on a representative industry, i.e., one that represents the abstract general laws of accumulation. But there are also processes of job creation in Marx: if aggregate accumulation is fast enough, that inc

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-30 Thread Doug Henwood
Marx was big on the innovative power of capitalism - both its penchant for creating new technologies and new wants. It's not hard to relate that to a theory of job creation, even though many Marxists seem temperamentally inclined to emphasize destruction. For a system of thought that thinks

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-30 Thread Jim Devine
Doug Henwood wrote: Marx was big on the innovative power of capitalism - both its penchant for creating new technologies and new wants. It's not hard to relate that to a theory of job creation, even though many Marxists seem temperamentally inclined to emphasize destruction. For a system of tho

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-30 Thread Michael Hoover
On 3/30/07, Doug Henwood <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: Marx was big on the innovative power of capitalism - both its penchant for creating new technologies and new wants. It's not hard to relate that to a theory of job creation, even though many Marxists seem temperamentally inclined to emphasize de

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-30 Thread Doug Henwood
On Mar 30, 2007, at 12:58 PM, Michael Hoover wrote: while you, doug, seem temperamentally inclined to emphasize capitalism's progressive tendencies Not really. I just have to do it on PEN-L because no one else will. It's also a very destructive and alienating system. Doug

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-30 Thread Yoshie Furuhashi
On 3/30/07, Doug Henwood <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: On Mar 30, 2007, at 12:58 PM, Michael Hoover wrote: > while you, doug, seem temperamentally inclined to emphasize > capitalism's progressive tendencies Not really. I just have to do it on PEN-L because no one else will. It's also a very destru

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-30 Thread Jim Devine
Michael Hoover wrote: > > while you, doug, seem temperamentally inclined to emphasize > > capitalism's progressive tendencies Doug Henwood wrote: > Not really. I just have to do it on PEN-L because no one else will. > It's also a very destructive and alienating system. Yoshie Furuhashi wrote

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-30 Thread Yoshie Furuhashi
On 3/30/07, Jim Devine <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: Michael Hoover wrote: > > > while you, doug, seem temperamentally inclined to emphasize > > > capitalism's progressive tendencies Doug Henwood wrote: > > Not really. I just have to do it on PEN-L because no one else will. > > It's also a very des

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-30 Thread Michael Perelman
The big positive of capitalism -- Marx wrote of its "historic mission" was to prepare the way for communism. Slavery and fuedalism also helped to promote this progress, but like capitalism, they became an outmoded form. On Fri, Mar 30, 2007 at 11:32:30AM -0700, Jim Devine wrote: > > Marx's "pos

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-30 Thread Carrol Cox
Michael's summary of the positive side of capitalism (according to Marx) seems fairly complete. A few observations. As to the _present_ (1650 -- 1750 -- 1850 -- 1900): i.e, the present _at any time_ during the growth and development of capitalism. Capital ALWAYS, without exception, destroyed more

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-30 Thread Carrol Cox
One additional point. In his list of 'positives' Marx made an implicit assumption, that these 'positives' (e.g. development of technology) would NOT have occurred except for capitalism. Perhaps, but it is not a certainty. Carrol

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-30 Thread Yoshie Furuhashi
On 3/30/07, Carrol Cox <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: Every sentence in Michael's summary (and in this he is quite true to Marx) points towards THE FUTURE. "Progressive" means ONLY that possibilities (only possibilities, not certainties) for the future have opened up. It never means that the present

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-30 Thread raghu
On 3/30/07, Yoshie Furuhashi <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: Nowadays, though, many Marxists who still insist on Marxist rhetoric have in effect embraced capitalist development as good in and of itself, as they have practically given up on any transition to a socialist future. China and India are go

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-30 Thread Yoshie Furuhashi
On 3/30/07, raghu <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: On 3/30/07, Yoshie Furuhashi <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > Nowadays, though, many Marxists who still insist on Marxist rhetoric > have in effect embraced capitalist development as good in and of > itself, as they have practically given up on any transit

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-30 Thread raghu
On 3/30/07, Yoshie Furuhashi <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: It's up to the Chinese and the Indians to decide what their countries should be like. But it would be better for them as well as for others if their party leaders didn't pursue capitalist development in the name of socialism. -- Yoshie

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-30 Thread Yoshie Furuhashi
On 3/30/07, raghu <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: On 3/30/07, Yoshie Furuhashi <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > It's up to the Chinese and the Indians to decide what their countries > should be like. But it would be better for them as well as for others > if their party leaders didn't pursue capitalist d

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-30 Thread Martin Hart-Landsberg
The majority of Chinese and Indians are indeed exploited as Yoshie notes. Even in China urban unemployment rates are high, formal sector job creation is almost non-existent, and wages and working conditions remain poor for the great majority. But isnt the question what relationship we want to h

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-30 Thread raghu
On 3/30/07, Martin Hart-Landsberg <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: remain poor for the great majority. But isnt the question what relationship we want to have with these exploited workers. Should we encourage their growing resistance or should we tell them that we, on the left, celebrate the growth

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-30 Thread Yoshie Furuhashi
On 3/30/07, raghu <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: On 3/30/07, Martin Hart-Landsberg <[EMAIL PROTECTED] > wrote: > remain poor for the great majority. But isnt the question what > relationship we want to have with these exploited workers. Should we > encourage their growing resistance or should we te

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-30 Thread raghu
On 3/30/07, Yoshie Furuhashi <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: Capitalist globalization, more often than not, comes as a package deal, not as an a la carte menu (unless your country has already made it capitalistically, in which case you have more power to set your own terms than those who have weaker

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-30 Thread Yoshie Furuhashi
On 3/30/07, raghu <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: It is not that simple. The Chinese/Indian governments are hardly as powerless as you seem to think. The global capital needs China/India just as much as they need global capital. Theoretically there is no reason why a sufficiently enlightened governmen

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-30 Thread Anthony D'Costa
The Indian growth model is NOT FDI-driven, far from it. A paltry $10 billion (with a good chunk of it in portfolio investment) is no real driver. In fact the FDI in selected sectors (auto, IT) have been pretty good in terms of India's technological spillovers and firm capabilities. The Chinese s

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-31 Thread Yoshie Furuhashi
On 3/31/07, Anthony D'Costa <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: The Indian growth model is NOT FDI-driven, far from it. A paltry $10 billion (with a good chunk of it in portfolio investment) is no real driver. In fact the FDI in selected sectors (auto, IT) have been pretty good in terms of India's techn

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-31 Thread Anthony D'Costa
A quick answer is that representative politics does work except some interests are overrepresented and some underrepresented (read class and caste politics). So when the underrepresented interests are in power, which they are in several states and can easily bring the neoliberals in Delhi does (c

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-03-31 Thread Anthony D'Costa
Correction: Should be: bring the neoliberals in Delhi DOWN Anthony P. D'Costa, Professor Comparative International Development University of Washington 1900 Commerce Street Tacoma, WA 98402, USA Phone: (253) 692-4462 Fax :

Re: [PEN-L] 40 million US Jobs ar risk from trade

2007-04-03 Thread Gernot Koehler
CB: On Marxists having a theory of job creation, there's variable capital and constant capital. Variable capital is "jobs". For Marxists, the capitalists wouldn't have a stitch of profit if they didn't create jobs, because labor is the source of all exchange-value, and surplus-value is exchange-