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Indonesian strategy 'defeats' Australia
Email Print Normal font Large font Tom Hyland
August 13, 2006
Page 1 of 2 | Single page
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THE Indonesian Army manipulated the voyage to
Australia of 43 West Papuan asylum seekers in a secret
pyschological warfare operation that gave Jakarta a
diplomatic and strategic victory over the Howard
Government, a former intelligence analyst says.
Indonesian Army specialists in psychological
operations ("psyops") knew the West Papuans planned to
sail to Australia and let the voyage go ahead,
believing Indonesia could benefit as a result, says
the expert on the Indonesian military.
The secret operation then pyschologically penetrated
and destabilised the Federal Government's decisions
and appears to have won the army the right to expand
its influence in West Papua.
Making the claims is Matthew Davies, a former army
officer and Defence Department intelligence analyst.
His conclusions coincide with the debate that has torn
divisions in the Federal Government over tough new
migration laws, introduced following strong Indonesian
protests after the asylum seekers were granted refuge.
"They knew they were going, and believed this was
beneficial," Mr Davies told The Sunday Age.
In an unpublished report, he says Jakarta's handling
of the diplomatic row that erupted over the asylum
seekers showed "a canny ability to penetrate the
Australian Government's 'decision cycle' to attain
favourable results".
The Indonesian military understood the Government's
mentality and knew it was "locked in" to taking tough
action against unauthorised arrivals as it had
politically exploited the issue and feared a
continuing influx.
Mr Davies says that if the "diplomatic posturing" was
viewed as a sophisticated psychological operation,
Indonesia secured a significant strategic result in
the "destabilisation of a large Australian target".
His conclusions, drawing on published Indonesian
sources, are made in a report analysing the operations
of Indonesian security forces in West Papua. Mr
Davies, a linguist and author, is an expert on
Indonesian military doctrine, personnel and structure.
News of his findings comes ahead of this week's Senate
debate on the Government's migration bill, which
requires asylum seekers arriving by boat to be sent to
far-flung islands such as Nauru while their refugee
claims are assessed.
Last week three Government lower house MPs voted
against the bill while two abstained. A number of
Government senators have deep reservations about it.
The Opposition says the bill is an attempt to appease
Indonesia.
The decision to give the West Papuans refugee status
after their arrival from the West Papuan port of
Merauke in January triggered a diplomatic rift, with
Jakarta withdrawing its ambassador as Indonesian MPs
and sections of the Jakarta media accused Australia of
supporting separatists. The rift has been patched,
with the Government introducing the migration bill,
reaffirming its support for Indonesian control of West
Papua and pushing ahead with talks on a security
treaty.
While the row heartened supporters of West Papuan
independence by drawing attention to their cause, Mr
Davies' thesis is that Jakarta and its military
emerged victorious. "Such success would likely see
West Papua become the table on which Indonesian
leaders could bargain for the most beneficial results
of a restored bilateral security treaty with
Australia," he says.
The episode has delivered specific gains to the
Indonesian military, which is keen to regain its
former pre-eminent role not only in internal security,
counter-terrorism and intelligence, but in government
as well.
It gave the military "yet greater scope for
expansion", the report says. "The Merauke case's most
enduring irony could be that Australia helped
Indonesian military expansion
in that part of
Indonesia closest to the land mass of Australia
itself."
Mr Davies' report highlights what he says is an
unusual and abnormal military intelligence operation
based in Merauke, on West Papua's south coast, headed
by Colonel Kitaran Joy Sihotang, a veteran "psyops"
expert. His report says the departure of the asylum
seekers from Merauke is "odd" given the area contains
security headquarters, troops and a navy base. "The
voyage from Merauke indicated a deliberate
manipulation by TNI psyops veterans, buffered by proxy
agents for strict deniability."
He says his analysis in no way contradicts or denies
the West Papuan asylum seekers' claims for protection
visas.
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