> Agreed -- unless the presenter takes away a case based on knowledge he
> has about the contents, then Monty Hall doesn't enter into it. Deal or
> No Deal seems to be a purely chance based game. However, that doesn't
> mean there aren't strategies beyond strictly expe
he
has about the contents, then Monty Hall doesn't enter into it. Deal or
No Deal seems to be a purely chance based game. However, that doesn't
mean there aren't strategies beyond strictly expecting the average
payout.
> Like another member of the group, I've seen the
[snip]
>
> What I would really like to know, is how they calculate the offer.
> Obviously, they set the upper limit at the average of the still standing
> offers, but I wonder if and how they take subsequent rounds into
> consideration. Is there a "Monty Hall"
> (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty
Rocco Moretti wrote:
> rbt wrote:
>
>> The TV show on NBC in the USA running this week during primetime (Deal
>> or No Deal). I figure there are roughly 10, maybe 15 contestants. They
>> pick a briefcase that has between 1 penny and 1 million bucks and then
>> play t
rbt wrote:
> The TV show on NBC in the USA running this week during primetime (Deal
> or No Deal). I figure there are roughly 10, maybe 15 contestants. They
> pick a briefcase that has between 1 penny and 1 million bucks and then
> play this silly game where NBC tries to buy the br
dom picks: "
>> for result in results:
>> print result
>
> I don't know what you are doing, but 10 is a small sample to draw confident
> conclusions from. E.g., try counting how many times pick<10 out of
> a larger number, e.g.,
The TV show on NBC in the
On Thu, 22 Dec 2005 09:29:49 -0500, rbt <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>The house almost always wins or are my assumptions wrong...
>
>import random
>
>amounts = [.01, 1, 5, 10, 25, 50, 75, 100, 200, 300, 400, 500, 750,
>1000, 5000, 1, 25000, 5, 75000, 10, 20,
>
The house almost always wins or are my assumptions wrong...
import random
amounts = [.01, 1, 5, 10, 25, 50, 75, 100, 200, 300, 400, 500, 750,
1000, 5000, 1, 25000, 5, 75000, 10, 20,
30, 40, 50, 75, 100]
results = []
count = 0
while cou
