[R] alpha in Holt-Winters method

2006-08-31 Thread Carlo Trimarchi
Hi, I'd like to know if the Holt-Winters function in R can modify the alpha paremeter in an "intelligent" way. I know it can vary from 0 to 1. Wich mathematical formula does it use to calculate the correct value of alpha? Thanks, bye. Carlo __ R-help@s

Re: [R] alpha in Holt-Winters method

2006-08-31 Thread MARK LEEDS
t: Thursday, August 31, 2006 2:23 PM Subject: [R] alpha in Holt-Winters method > Hi, > I'd like to know if the Holt-Winters function in R can modify the > alpha paremeter in an "intelligent" way. I know it can vary from 0 to > 1. > > Wich mathematical formula do

Re: [R] alpha in Holt-Winters method

2006-08-31 Thread Thomas Lumley
On Thu, 31 Aug 2006, MARK LEEDS wrote: > you would have to take your series, y_1, ... y_t and run it over various > values of alpha ( say zero to 1 insteps of .01 ) and see which one gives say > the least MSE. > but that will be the optimal alpha for the window you are looking at. it > doesn't mea