-------- Forwarded Message --------
Subject: HDFC Bank:Sequential Flat EPS Growth (QOQ); 1110-1135 Zone May Be A Big Hurdle
Date:   Tue, 26 Apr 2016 09:28:23 +0530
From:   Asis Ghosh <asis...@gmail.com>
Reply-To:       asis...@gmail.com



*Trading Idea: HDFC Bank*
*
*
*CMP: 1093*
*
*
*Either sell around 1100-1110 or on rise around 1135-1155;*
*
*
*TGT: 1075*-1040-1025-1005-990*-960-925*-900 (1-3/6M)*
*
*
*TSL> 1185*

*Note*: Consecutive closing (3 days) above 1185 for any reason, HDFC Bank may further rally up to 1210*-1230-1255*-1290 & 1330-1350 in the near to long term (alternative bullish case scenario).

Q4FY16 EPS of HDFC Bank came at 13.20 against consensus of 13.30 (lagged by 0.75%).

*For HDFC Bank:*

Q4FY16 TTM EPS: 48.20 (FY16/Actual)

Projected FWD EPS: 56.95-67.25-79.45 (FY:17-19/Estimated)

Average PE: 21
*
*
*As par BG metrics and current market scenario:*

Present median valuation of HDFC Bank may be around: 1035 (FY:16/TTM)

Projected fair value might be around: 1130-1225-1330 (FY:17-19/FWD)


HDFCBANK        EPS(TTM)        BV(Act)         P/E(AVG)        Low     High    
Median  200-DEMA        10-DEMA
Q4FY16/TTM      48.2    245.29  21      1025.42         1046.28         1035.85 
        1038.82         1081.5
FY17/FWD        56.95   320.9   21      1114.62         1137.29         1125.95 
        1038.82         1081.5
FY18/FWD        67.25   415.55  21      1211.23         1235.86         1223.54 
        1038.82         1081.5
FY19/FWD        79.45   540.95  21      1316.52         1343.29         1329.90 
        1038.82         1081.5

Analytical Charts:


<https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-Uw4hDBc5qJY/Vx7i03FIdkI/AAAAAAAAG9Y/jNdes30OIlowp7PUvlFQ8V9HGtIeKHEFQCKgB/s1600/HDFC%2BBK-25-04-2016.png>

<https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-021cOgmNVoE/Vx7i8JCysYI/AAAAAAAAG9c/rDtxsORJNYogokT7UxYLyrQEnmn0zfBaACKgB/s1600/HDFC-BK-FIBB-25-04-2016.png>

<https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-wRw6jjszu5Y/Vx7i-U65kdI/AAAAAAAAG9g/ChxGMLro3fkdhJpTvIu_dBvXDVgBUN_awCKgB/s1600/HDFC%2BBK-WK-25-04-2016.png>

<https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-ZqrsROvu3oQ/Vx7jBHH0IKI/AAAAAAAAG9k/jiBzqfCHedUQNRF-wd_61yrcK2lNfpEqgCKgB/s1600/HDFC%2BBK-TL-25-04-2016.png>

<https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-q6sEFg0Xalk/Vx7jDGu5dOI/AAAAAAAAG9o/wgHtVYdzh_w0wnoetycAvt-VuyGVaERogCKgB/s1600/HDFC%2BBK-PATTERN-25-04-2016.png>

<https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-Q-3ZRnyyDpQ/Vx7jGGmOv9I/AAAAAAAAG9s/UP5bJuugZFIK2kCJb0d6d6J7LuJD2DpuQCKgB/s1600/HDFC%2BBK-EW-25-04-2016.png>

--
Thanks & Regards,

Asis Ghosh
(asisghosh.blogspot.com)
NCFM-TA Certified



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