-------- Forwarded Message --------
Subject: M&M : Dilemma Of Reality In Infra Cess/EV Concern And Hopes Of
Rural Economy/Agri Push
Date: Wed, 2 Mar 2016 09:11:24 +0530
From: Asis Ghosh <asis...@gmail.com>
Reply-To: asis...@gmail.com
M&M will gain more strength only sustaining above 1285-1335 for targets
of 1382-1445
Otherwise, may be turned weak and will again fall towards 1210-1090
Near term impact of infra cess and EV concern may outweigh
Hopes of future (long term) benefit in rural/agri push.
(There may be big concerns regarding good/even
distribution of monsoon this year too !!)
Actual TTM EPS (Standalone) of M&M is at 52.99
And its quoting at an average PE of 25,
whereas 20 may be a more reasonable PE for the auto sector
under the increasing regulatory and tax concern
(sales may be affected despite 7-PC & rate cut hope)
*Trading Idea:*
CMP: 1268
Sell either below 1285 or in rise around: 1315-1335;
TGT: 1240-1210*-1150-1090* (1-3M)
TSL> 1360-1385
Note: Consecutive closing (3 days) above 1385 for any reason, M&M can
further rally up to 1405-1445*-1480 zone in the short to mid term
(alternative bullish case scenario).
*As par BG metrics & current market scenario:*
(based on actual standalone TTM & projected FWD EPS)
Current median valuation of M&M may be around: 1150 (FY:15/TTM)
Projected fair valuations might be around: 1185-1250-1325 (FY:16-18/FWD)
SCRIP EPS(TTM) BV(Act) P/E(AVG) Low High Median
200-DEMA 10-DEMA
M&M 52.99 310.09 20 1145.95 1139.08 1142.52
1239.11 1224.3
M&M 56.95 353.5 20 1188.00 1180.88 1184.44
1239.11 1224.3
M&M 63.5 403.25 20 1254.46 1246.94 1250.70
1239.11 1224.3
M&M 70.85 459.55 20 1325.07 1317.13 1321.10
1239.11 1224.3
*Analytical Charts:*
<https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-JWmGoSYR6WA/VtZfGNT8kII/AAAAAAAAGUU/rjKfqQEL0zI/s1600/M%2526M-01-03-2016.png>
<https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-Pg3CgOCJf6M/VtZfHzLUnlI/AAAAAAAAGUY/XOLmV285ABg/s1600/M%2526M-FIBB-01-03-2016.png>
<https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-3K7TEq5U0M0/VtZfKQ3UeJI/AAAAAAAAGUc/p8VfQBtwtiI/s1600/M%2526M-WK-01-03-2016.png>
<https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-qlHBbkRO9C4/VtZfMNa-tDI/AAAAAAAAGUg/eygECUNkauc/s1600/M%2526M-TL-01-03-2016.png>
<https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-i8Jpo0JNAWs/VtZfPyobmhI/AAAAAAAAGUk/n46rr_Mwcwc/s1600/M%2526M-TL-MT-01-03-2016.png>
<https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-RDVrDS02dN8/VtZfRqYaX7I/AAAAAAAAGUo/Vcf1fR5MlrQ/s1600/M%2526M-PATTERN-01-03-2016.png>
--
Thanks & Regards,
Asis Ghosh
(asisghosh.blogspot.com)
NCFM-TA Certified
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