-------- Forwarded Message --------
Subject: M&M : Dilemma Of Reality In Infra Cess/EV Concern And Hopes Of Rural Economy/Agri Push
Date:   Wed, 2 Mar 2016 09:11:24 +0530
From:   Asis Ghosh <asis...@gmail.com>
Reply-To:       asis...@gmail.com



M&M will gain more strength only sustaining above 1285-1335 for targets of 1382-1445
Otherwise, may be turned weak and will again fall towards 1210-1090

Near term impact of infra cess and EV concern may outweigh
Hopes of future (long term) benefit in rural/agri push.
(There may be big concerns regarding good/even
distribution of monsoon this year too !!)

Actual TTM EPS (Standalone) of M&M is at 52.99
And its quoting at an average PE of 25,
whereas 20 may be a more reasonable PE for the auto sector
under the increasing regulatory and tax concern
(sales may be affected despite 7-PC & rate cut hope)


*Trading Idea:*

CMP: 1268

Sell either below 1285 or in rise around: 1315-1335;

TGT: 1240-1210*-1150-1090* (1-3M)

TSL> 1360-1385

Note: Consecutive closing (3 days) above 1385 for any reason, M&M can further rally up to 1405-1445*-1480 zone in the short to mid term (alternative bullish case scenario).

*As par BG metrics & current market scenario:*
(based on actual standalone TTM & projected FWD EPS)

Current median valuation of M&M may be around: 1150 (FY:15/TTM)

Projected fair valuations might be around: 1185-1250-1325 (FY:16-18/FWD)

SCRIP   EPS(TTM)        BV(Act)         P/E(AVG)        Low     High    Median  
200-DEMA        10-DEMA
M&M         52.99   310.09  20      1145.95         1139.08         1142.52     
    1239.11         1224.3


M&M         56.95   353.5   20      1188.00         1180.88         1184.44     
    1239.11         1224.3


M&M         63.5    403.25  20      1254.46         1246.94         1250.70     
    1239.11         1224.3


M&M         70.85   459.55  20      1325.07         1317.13         1321.10     
    1239.11         1224.3


*Analytical Charts:*


<https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-JWmGoSYR6WA/VtZfGNT8kII/AAAAAAAAGUU/rjKfqQEL0zI/s1600/M%2526M-01-03-2016.png>

<https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-Pg3CgOCJf6M/VtZfHzLUnlI/AAAAAAAAGUY/XOLmV285ABg/s1600/M%2526M-FIBB-01-03-2016.png>

<https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-3K7TEq5U0M0/VtZfKQ3UeJI/AAAAAAAAGUc/p8VfQBtwtiI/s1600/M%2526M-WK-01-03-2016.png>

<https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-qlHBbkRO9C4/VtZfMNa-tDI/AAAAAAAAGUg/eygECUNkauc/s1600/M%2526M-TL-01-03-2016.png>

<https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-i8Jpo0JNAWs/VtZfPyobmhI/AAAAAAAAGUk/n46rr_Mwcwc/s1600/M%2526M-TL-MT-01-03-2016.png>

<https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-RDVrDS02dN8/VtZfRqYaX7I/AAAAAAAAGUo/Vcf1fR5MlrQ/s1600/M%2526M-PATTERN-01-03-2016.png>

--
Thanks & Regards,

Asis Ghosh
(asisghosh.blogspot.com)
NCFM-TA Certified



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