-------- Forwarded Message --------
Subject: Sun Pharma: 700-680 May Be A Good Demand Zone Despite Oil & Gas Foray By The Promoter; US FDA Resolution Of "Ghost Of Halol" May Be The Key Drivers In The Near Term
Date:   Wed, 8 Jun 2016 09:22:25 +0530
From:   Asis Ghosh <asis...@gmail.com>
Reply-To:       asis...@gmail.com



*Trading Idea: Sun Pharma*
*
* *CMP: 738*
*
* *Either buy around 720-710 OR in dips 690-680*
*
* *TGT: 780*-802-841*-871-900-965*-995-1020-1055*-1075 (1-3/6M)*
*
* *TSL< 700 OR < 670*

*Note:* Consecutive closing (3 days) below 670 zone for any reason, Sun Pharma may further fall up to 650*-630-610-580*-555-515 & 500*-475 in the near to long term (alternative worst bear case scenario).

*For Sun Pharma: Consolidated Basis*

Q4FY16 TTM EPS: 19.60 (Actual)

Projected FWD EPS: 23.75-28.45-33.95 (FY:17-19/Estimated)

Average PE: 30

Median value: 588-712-853-1018 (FY:16-19)

(keeping in mind the proposed oil & gas venture by the promoter in his personal capacity-Sun Petro and US FDA issues; although worst may be over for this chapter as Indian companies are taking serious resolution to fix this "never ending" fiasco)

*As par BG metrics & current market volatility:*

Present median valuation may be around: 685 (FY:16/TTM)

Projected fair value might be around: 755-825-900 (FY:17-19/TTM)

SUNPHARMA       EPS     BV      P/E     Low     High    Median  200-DEMA        
10-DEMA
Q4FY16/TTM      19.6    106.45  30      696.50  668.93  682.72  825.03  761.01
FY17/FWD        23.75   117.25  30      766.70  736.36  751.53  825.03  761.01
FY18/FWD        28.45   128.95  30      839.14  805.93  822.54  825.03  761.01
FY19/FWD        33.95   141.85  30      916.67  880.39  898.53  825.03  761.01


*Analytical Charts:*


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<https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-aM-ZXzol1d0/V1eUYUHookI/AAAAAAAAHZ8/bNAaernBdDYMM9zHGjzWTrLvOaMq0nwdgCLcB/s1600/Sun%2BPharma-FIBB-07-06-2016.png>

<https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-cg9jZ0M-r3Y/V1eUaokYcTI/AAAAAAAAHaA/dPo9le_pFFgvNQWvFH3mdM4HGlSBomBXwCLcB/s1600/Sun%2BPharma-WK-07-06-2016.png>

<https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-z3iQVHPOT0U/V1eUcy6or5I/AAAAAAAAHaI/LiLDqaE3cswUePCMuxy0kVsr_-BVsWp2gCLcB/s1600/Sun%2BPharma-TL-07-06-2016.png>

<https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-S29FmaFfWBY/V1eUfcpAvVI/AAAAAAAAHaQ/xz_-rGiYpf0yaLS2lL7lHXjMx_3ZbfOFwCLcB/s1600/Sun%2BPharma-Pattern-07-06-2016.png>

<https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-wnTxLJ7t2Oo/V1eUioRo1GI/AAAAAAAAHaU/7Klyf270cfkwKVYECaFHS0IP2gnBfmxDACLcB/s1600/Sun%2BPharma-Pattern-MT-07-06-2016.png>


--
Thanks & Regards,

Asis Ghosh
(asisghosh.blogspot.com)
NCFM-TA Certified

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