Indian Market May Focus On Global Chorus Of QT (Quantitative Tightening), Smooth Roll Out Of GST So Far, Q1 Earnings, NPA & Progress Of Monsoon (So Far Above 5% LPA And May Be Good For Rural Economy)

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*Market Mantra: 07/07/2017 (08:30)*
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SGX-NF: 9645 (-23 points)

For the Day:

*Key support for NF: 9625/9605-9575*

*Key resistance for NF: 9675/9725-9775*

*Key support for BNF: 23450-23300*

*Key resistance for BNF: 23575-23800*


*Time & Price action suggests that, NF has to sustain over 9725 area for further rally towards 9775-9835 & 9875-9915 in the short term (under bullish case scenario).*

*On the flip side, sustaining below 9705-9675 area, NF may fall towards 9625-9575 & 9535-9485 & area in the short term (under bear case scenario).*

*Similarly, BNF has to sustain over 23575 area for further rally towards 23650-23800 & 23900-24050 area in the near term (under bullish case scenario).*

*On the flip side, sustaining below 23525-23450 area, BNF may fall towards 23300-23100 & 23000-22800 area in the near term (under bear case scenario).*

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As par early SGX indication, Nifty Fut (July) may open around 9645, almost 23 points down following tepid global cues even after panic buying of JGB bonds by BOJ at 0.11% yield in a desperate attempt to keep the JGB yield around 0.00% in its effort under YCC (yield curve control, a relatively new method by BOJ for its QQE) after ECB minutes yesterday shows about hints of QE tapering, which resulted in a global bond rout and slump of global stock market.

Overnight US market (DJ-30) also closed lower (-0.74%) tracking global chorus of QT and subdued US economic data (ADP/ISM-Non MFG) and plunge in tech shares.

Indian market may be also under some stress as EM may be vulnerable to global bandwagon of QT in the days ahead.


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Thanks & Regards,

Asis Ghosh

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