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"If this isn't just a negotiating tactic, they're in
trouble," a diplomatic source said. "The consensual
democracy model is in effect a recipe for
non-government."
NATO is the carrot and the stick.


Monday June 18 3:14 PM ET 
Deadlocked Macedonia Peace Talks Given NATO Carrot
By Daniel Simpson
SKOPJE, Macedonia (Reuters) - Macedonia's politicians
are under heavy international pressure to agree on a
peace plan by Wednesday if they want NATO troops to
help them disarm ethnic Albanian guerrillas,
diplomatic sources said Monday.
Some European NATO allies are ready to send in troops
to help collect guns if the rebels agree to end their
four-month insurrection, according to NATO and
European Union sources.
An initial decision could be announced at a NATO
meeting Wednesday, but only if there are results from
cross-party talks in Skopje to thrash out terms for
averting civil war, including concessions to
Macedonia's one-third ethnic Albanian minority.
``NATO is being asked to do things to help and when
they meet they want to see their help is relevant and
worth offering,创 said a Western diplomatic source.
``That means we need progress.创
The talks, described by diplomats as spasmodic, are
deadlocked over Albanian demands for wholesale changes
to the tiny Balkan state's 10-year-old constitution,
which closely resemble key parts of the guerrillas'
own conditions for peace.
Leaders of Macedonia's majority are resigned to making
sweeping changes but balk at demands for a consensual
democracy, meaning all sensitive decisions would need
Albanian approval.
Government sources said the Albanian parties in a
fractious coalition, formed to try to prevent war,
also want a new post of vice president to be created
and reserved for an Albanian.
``If this isn磘 just a negotiating tactic, they磖e in
trouble,创 a diplomatic source said. ``The consensual
democracy model is in effect a recipe for
non-government.创
NATO MUSCLE NEEDED
Western powers, anxious to broker a peaceful solution
rather than be called upon to pick up the pieces, are
putting Macedonia under heavy pressure to agree quick
constitutional changes designed to undercut support
for the guerrillas, who say they are fighting for
minority rights.
But they accept that diplomatic backing will not be
enough and, led by Britain, are preparing another
Balkan operation, with peacekeepers in neighboring
Kosovo likely to take part.
While there is no intention to disarm the guerrillas
by force, there is a risk that renegades may try to
wreck a peace deal by provoking violence. So even a
small operation would require adequate ``force
protection,创 NATO sources said.
Under the peace plan being hammered out, Macedonia is
forming a crack military unit to strengthen its meager
armed forces for a possible attack on rebels dug in on
Skopje's outskirts. But that threat is not as likely
to persuade rebels to give up as the NATO deployment
they demand, diplomats say.
DEADLOCK
The carrot of NATO involvement, the one thing
politicians of all stripes can agree on, may help the
search for compromise when parties resume a fourth day
of haggling Monday evening.
``Failure to sort it out by Wednesday is not a
showstopper,创 a diplomatic source stressed, pointing
to an EU deadline of next Monday as more decisive.
``But we want progress not talks.创
A major obstacle is the wording of the constitution's
preamble, which labels Albanians as one of several
minorities in a country of ``the Macedonian people.创
Albanian leaders want this changed to describe them as
one of Macedonia磗 founding peoples.
But majority leaders of Slav descent would rather
delete all ethnic references than approve changes that
would in their eyes deny Macedonians their own nation,
after years of denials by their neighbors that
Macedonians were a true ethnic group.
Russia, which shares their Orthodox Slav roots,
launched an attack on Western policy Sunday. On a
brief visit to Kosovo, Russian President Vladimir
Putin said NATO had failed to stop Albanian gunmen
spreading from the U.N.-run Yugoslav province and was
now forcing Macedonia to cave in to their demands.
Although both sides called cease-fires last Monday,
the rebels until June 27, their shaky truce is
punctured almost daily by exchanges of light fire.
Gunmen have targets, such as the airport, in range
from the village of Aracinovo on Skopje's fringes.  
 

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