http://www.nytimes.com/2003/12/01/business/01enrg.html

Energy Efficiency Could Gain Favor
By BARNABY J. FEDER

Published: December 1, 2003

ENERGY experts anticipate that 2004, like every year before it, will 
be remarkable for how much energy Americans waste. But if energy 
prices climb as high as predicted, consumers are likely to pay more 
attention than usual to the opportunities to be more efficient, and 
retailers expect the results to show up at cash registers.

"We've planned for a rush to these types of products this winter," 
said Craig Menear, senior vice president for merchandising at Home 
Depot, which recently published a catalog highlighting 
energy-efficient products.

To understand the challenges facing energy-efficiency advocates, 
though, consider lighting. Sales of energy-efficient compact 
fluorescent lights are the fastest-growing segment of the market. But 
even in states like Wisconsin, where utilities have subsidized 
purchases of energy-efficient lighting for more than a decade, cheap 
incandescent bulbs outsell the newer technology by a four-to-one 
margin.

The Energy Department estimates that if every American homeowner 
simply replaced the incandescent lighting in his or her five most 
frequently used fixtures with compact fluorescents, the nation would 
save 800 billion kilowatt-hours of electricity consumption - the 
equivalent of shutting down 21 power plants. The cost of fluorescent 
bulbs is typically 8 to 10 times that of incandescents, but that 
initial outlay would be offset over time by their much longer life 
and by lower electricity bills. (As an added benefit, the Energy 
Department estimates, utilities would emit one trillion fewer pounds 
of the types of gases that contribute to global warming.)

While earlier generations of the bulbs did not fit inside many 
lighting fixtures, the newest designs are no bigger than the average 
incandescent bulb, and the industry has improved quality as well.

But no one is betting that the American lifestyle will change anytime 
soon to capture the potential savings. For one thing, if all 
households made the change, it would take about 500 million 
fluorescent bulbs to meet the department's goal. While manufacturers 
have been expanding their capacity, the total annual production 
capacity at the moment for such lighting is probably not much more 
than 55 million bulbs, according to Steve Goldmacher, a spokesman for 
Philips Lighting USA.

According to energy experts, lighting is just one of many fields 
where engineers and designers are inventing energy-efficient products 
faster than the products are being widely embraced. Sometimes the 
best-in-class technologies roll out slowly because of manufacturers; 
Toyota , for instance, has taken a cautious approach to expanding 
production and marketing for its sold-out Prius, a hybrid gasoline 
and electric car with a fuel efficiency that far surpasses that of 
anything Detroit has offered.

Next year will be the first year that all Toyota dealers in the 
United States can sell the Prius. While company officials here hope 
that shipments from Japan will rise to 36,000 from 20,000, American 
dealers will still not be able to get as many as they want, said Wade 
Hoyt, a spokesman for Toyota Motor Sales USA. Supplies are expected 
to be tighter for the first hybrid sport utility vehicle, a Lexus 
model that Toyota expects to begin importing next fall.

More often, though, the restraints lie with consumers. Most are 
reluctant to spend the money to replace inefficient equipment, like 
older air- conditioners or furnaces, with new designs until the old 
equipment breaks down, even when told that the new unit will pay for 
itself in savings within a few years.

Still, 2004 could be a relatively strong year for many 
energy-efficient products. Energy futures markets project high prices 
this winter for the fuels used to heat homes and run cars, as well as 
higher electricity prices. When prices jump, so does interest in 
efficiency.

"I would expect a lot more consumer interest in ways to cut their 
bills," said Steven Nadel, executive director of the American Council 
for an Energy Efficient Economy, a Washington-based clearinghouse. 
"There could also be more political interest."

The latter could lead to increases in the tax credits, rebate 
programs and other government subsidies that often play an important 
role in drawing business and consumer attention to energy-efficient 
products. State-mandated programs that were run through regulated 
utilities provided more than $3 billion in subsidies to customers in 
more than 30 states a decade ago, but many were cut back or 
eliminated as the power industry deregulated, according to Marc 
Hoffman, executive director of the Consortium for Energy Efficiency, 
a nonprofit group in Boston.

Mr. Hoffman said that total spending on such programs dropped as low 
as $500 million but has now climbed back above $1 billion. The state 
programs frequently build on the federal Environmental Protection 
Agency's Energy Star rating program, which began by setting standards 
for energy-efficient computer screens in 1992. Energy Star standards 
are now available for 40 different home and office products.

In the coming year, the E.P.A. and a number of states will be pushing 
to extend the Energy Star concept beyond individual products to 
issues like how home design and insulation interact to affect energy 
use.

"The typical home has enough cracks in it that it's like having a 
window open all the time," said Kathleen Hogan, director of the 
E.P.A.'s Climate Protection Partnerships division, which oversees 
Energy Star.

SOME builders see a growing demand for energy-efficient homes. 
Veridian Homes in Madison, Wis., which built a prototype home using 
Energy Star and other environmental standards last year with the help 
of money from the Energy Department, has used the findings from that 
research "across the board," Jeff Simon, Veridian's vice president 
for operations, said.

In 2004, the company plans to build 640 such homes in and around 
Madison, as well as a solar-powered model home that would generate as 
much energy as it uses.

Zero-energy housing is also on the agenda in Austin, Tex., where 
Austin Energy, the city-owned power company, has become an industry 
leader in supporting efficiency programs.

"There's always a new field to be mined," said Roger Duncan, vice 
president for government relations, energy and environmental policy, 
citing the research of Amory Lovins. Mr. Lovins has argued since the 
early 1980's that thanks to technology, energy efficiency is an 
expanding resource with constantly improving returns on investment.


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