Understanding the Brahmaputra and the annual flooding in Assam
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“The river was swollen the morning after the earthquake, which seemed to
last for an eternity. We saw fallen trees in it, people and animals
flailing, dead bodies of people and animals that were carried on the strong
current.”

Krishna Chawla (née Das) was 13 when a strong earthquake that lasted about
eight minutes jolted *Assam *
<http://www.thehindu.com/tag/100-81/assam/?utm=bodytag>and adjacent areas
on the evening of August 15, 1950.

The Brahmaputra River, which was always “eating away at parts of the
state,” looked terrifying, she recollects. “All of us students went to help
build embankments the next day, and while I was passing a bag full of sand
to a fellow student, I saw the river take away the house I was born in. The
house collapsed, and I stood there paralysed,” said Ms. Chawla, the
daughter of a forest officer in Dibrugarh.
Gulzarilal Nanda, Union Planning Minister, visit a rapid survey of flood
and erosion-affected areas of Assam on August 22, 1954. Photo shows the
Union Minister (third from right) looking at the swirling Brahmaputra at
Palasbari about 14 miles from Guwahati.   | Photo Credit: The Hindu Archives
<http://www.thehindu.com/profile/photographers/The-Hindu-Archives/>

The massive earthquake that ravaged Assam on Independence Day that year not
only claimed over 1,000 lives, but also changed the course of the mighty
Brahmaputra. The riverbed rose as the mountains shook, and what had been a
stable course became a constantly shifting one eroding the banks.

This especially increased the amount of silt carried by the river and its
tributaries. The silt was deposited on the banks downstream, and on the
riverbed. Due to this heavy deposition, the river "frequently changes its
course with the main channel flowing into multiple channels" hitting the
river bank causing further erosion, a study published in 2014 by the Civil
Engineering Department, Royal Group of Institutions explains.

The riverbed area of the Brahmaputra has increased by more than 50 per cent
through erosion since the quake. According to a report on climate change
published by the government of Assam in September 2015, erosion has
destroyed more than 3,800 square kilometres of farmland, which is nearly
half the size of Sikkim, since 1954. Due to erosion, the riverbed area has
expanded from around 3,870 sq.km. estimated between 1916 and 1928 to 6,080
sq.km. in 2006. Based on the civil engineering report, between 1954 and
2008 about 4,27,000 hectares has been eroded at the rate of 8,000 hectares
per year.
*The human cost*

Lalita Biswas, 30, a daily wage earner at a brick factory in Morigaon,
Assam, had to leave her submerged house in a village in Morigaon in a boat
provided by villagers and take shelter in an open space on a nearby
hillock. She was living in a polythene tent with her husband, who also
works at the brick factory, and children. Her children have suffered from
colds and fevers, and her family did not receive any help from the
government, she said.

“We’re always neglected because we are poor,” she said when asked if she
had received any help from the state authorities. Ms. Biswas wasn’t alone.
About 100 people climbed the hills to escape the *flood *
<http://www.thehindu.com/tag/669-663-651/flood/?utm=bodytag>and have to
rebuild their houses and lives.


A similar story was told by Nishikant Deka, 80, of Gorubandha, a village
about 40 km from Guwahati. He and his 12-member family had to evacuate
their house in neck-deep water and take shelter at a *naamghar*(public
prayer hall). They managed to carry some rice, and food provided once in a
while by NGOs kept them going. The head of the house described how almost
every year the family has to reconstruct the bamboo home that floodwaters
destroy.

The government of Assam estimates that 2,753 human lives have been lost
along with 6,73,329 cattle 2,753 human lives have been lost along with
6,73,329 cattle and the total losses due to floods and erosion amount to
nearly ₹4659.472 crore. Flooding this year took the lives of 157 people and
destroyed hundreds of acres of land. According to the state disaster
management authorities, in the past five years, flooding has killed about
500 people.
Marooned houses in the flood affected Morigaon district of Assam.   | Photo
Credit: Ritu Raj Konwar
<http://www.thehindu.com/profile/photographers/Ritu-Raj-Konwar/>
 *Controlling the floods*

One of the main methods used in the State to control floods is embankments,
but almost every year the Brahmaputra and the Barak breach their banks,
inundating agricultural land and houses. “The most recent embankments are
25 years old,” says Himanshu Thakkar, coordinator of the South Asia Network
on Dams, *Rivers *
<http://www.thehindu.com/tag/1043-1034-993/rivers/?utm=bodytag>and People.
“Checking embankments before monsoon should be done as we never know where
it will be breached. When the flow is extreme, erosion capacity is
greater,” he adds.

In August this year, the State government announced that as many as five
dredgers will be used to deepen the Brahmaputra, and the harvested silt
will be used to construct the 725-km Brahmaputra Expressway along both
banks of the river. In an earlier report
<http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/assam-seeks-help-plans-to-dredge-brahmaputra-bed/article19519391.ece>,
the Chief Minister Sarbananda Sonowal told *The Hindu*: “We believe it will
not only improve the water-carrying capacity of the Brahmaputra, but also
make the river navigable for bigger cargo ships. That used to be the case
before Independence.”

Sanjoy Hazarika, director of the Commonwealth Human Rights Initiative is
unconvinced. He is for an engineering assessment, along with environment
assessment, as dredging “might change the course of river.” Mr. Thakkar
adds that the way dredging is done followed by the construction of highway
on both banks will determine the changes the river will see.

The Brahmaputra Board, under the Ministry of Water Resources, had suggested
constructing dams in Assam and Arunachal Pradesh about 30 years ago, the
Subansiri project being one of them. Subansiri was initially designed as a
hydro-power and storage dam, which the board believed would help reduce the
impact of floods. However, it was later transformed into just a
hydroelectric project aimed at generating 2000 megawatts of electricity,
which invited opposition from local people and environment scientists.

There is the possibility that hydro electric projects can worsen the
situation. “Ranganadi project is a classic example of damage caused by the
dam in downstream,” Mr. Thakkar points out. The dam in Arunachal Pradesh --
part of a hydro-electric project -- is on the Ranganadi tributary of
Brahmaputra. During winter the river barely exists, but during monsoon it
swells up, inundating villages. The All Assam Students' Union in July this
year demanded demolition of the Ranganadi hydro project, alleging that
release of water by the North Eastern Electric Power Corp. on July 11
without prior notice affected hundreds of thousands of people in Lakhimpur
and Majuli, media reported.
Sand is being dug from the river Brahmaputra due to massive siltation in
the water ways in the outskirts of Guwahati on November 25, 2015.   | Photo
Credit: Ritu Raj Konwar
<http://www.thehindu.com/profile/photographers/Ritu-Raj-Konwar/>

The permanent destruction of wetlands in the State has also been
contributing to the deluge. Assam is home to more than 3,000 wetlands and
many varieties of flora and fauna. “Wetlands, locally known as beels, act
as reservoirs and rejuvenating them before monsoon can help in mitigating
flood in parts of the state,” said Dulal Chandra Goswami, former head of
department of environmental science at Guwahati University.

“Wetlands play a very significant role as natural reservoirs of water that
absorb part of the flood waters from the nearby rivers through their
connected channels and also from surface runoff," Mr. Goswami explains.
Most of these wetlands are in derelict condition mainly due to
human-induced factors such as encroachment for agriculture or
infrastructure development.

“To mitigate floods, any potential practical solution should be based on an
integrated, multidisciplinary basin management plan focused on water and
soil conservation together with geo-environmental, eco-biological and
socio-cultural integrity of the basin,” Mr. Goswami says. “The basin
management approach is essential in view of the interstate as well as
international character of most of the tributaries and the mainstream.”
*Effects of Climate Change*

Compounding the issue of an unpredictable Brahmaputra, is the effects of
climate change. “Climate change will result in more frequent and severe
floods, which will increase the costs of reconstruction and maintenance on
state infrastructure, including roads, irrigation, water and sanitation,”
says the report on climate change published by the Assam government.

According to the study, by 2050, the average annual runoff of the river
Brahmaputra will decline by 14 per cent. However, there is a risk of
glaciers melting, leading to flash floods.

As the economy of Assam is largely dependent on natural resources, what
happens with agriculture and forests has direct effects on the livelihood
of its people. During floods, water becomes contaminated, and climate
change has a direct impact on the water resources sector by increasing the
scarcity of freshwater, which is a constant problem in summer.

“The predicted increase in average temperature and decrease in the number
of rainy days due to climate change will further stress water resources,”
the report points out.

The study goes on to say that heavier rainfall replacing continuous low or
normal rainfall during monsoon might lead to flash floods in low-lying
areas. This will also reduce the groundwater recharge.
The permanent destruction of wetlands in the State has also been
contributing to the deluge. File   | Photo Credit: Ritu Raj Konwar
<http://www.thehindu.com/profile/photographers/Ritu-Raj-Konwar/>
 *Change in approach*

While the present approach towards flood has been immediate relief, much
more need to be done before torrential rains hit the State during monsoon.
The short-term measures on which flood management in the State presently
depends, such as rebuilding the breached embankments, are largely
inadequate.

Besides, more accurate and decentralised forecasts of rain can help in
improving preparedness. “Weather reports should be made available on
district level and should be accessible to public,” says Mr. Thakkar of the
South Asia Network on Dams, Rivers and People. “Information should be
available in local languages. With the forecast in, one can calculate how
much more water will flow downstream, thereby alerting people in advance to
evacuate. The nature of rivers is such that there is no way one can
flood-proof whole of Assam so one has to keep it mind that floods will
happen.”

He adds that the water flow information shared by China on the Brahmaputra
with India, for which India pays a certain amount, should also be shared
with the public, as this will help in understanding the river better and
therefore help people better prepare for floods.

As the research scholars point out, studying the river and the impact of
climate change is a must to understand why the state gets flooded every
year. As line in a famous Assamese song goes: “*Luitar parore ami deka
lora; moribole bhoi nai* (We are the youths from the banks of the Luit
[Brahmaputra]; we are not afraid of death),” people in the Valley seems to
be living by the same spirit.

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