http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/04/30/AR2006043001
006.html

You may need to register for NYTimes to access the article. According to a
quick read, this is the federal govt take on the validity: In a sample of
10,000 which contains 10 'spies' 2 spies would be missed and 1600 innocents
would be incorrectly nabbed. I'm off to class, will figure the false + and -
there ... BUT, one would have to be very foolish to base any major decision
on one piece of evidence - and this includes p values (a lengthy thread in
itself). On the other hand, would one be equally foolish to discard bits of
evidence that predict better than chance?

-----------------------------
John W. Kulig
Professor of Psychology
Director, Psychology Honors
Plymouth State University
Plymouth NH 03264
-----------------------------


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