Re: [Scilab-users] Fwd: Re: Corona modelling

2020-05-01 Thread Chin Luh Tan
Thanks Stephane for your sharing.  I agreed with you that the Initial population (susceptible individuals) is one of the unknown parameters, so there will be 3 parameters to tune in SIR model. As the parameters are somehow related to each other, and I read somewhere that the Gamma is

Re: [Scilab-users] Fwd: Re: Corona modelling

2020-04-30 Thread Stéphane Mottelet
Hi, My experience with the SIR model (not SEIR) is that the estimated parameters are very sensitive to the initial condition of the Infected pool. Hence, this initial condition should be also considered as a parameter to be identified. However, the main problem (at least with France data) is

[Scilab-users] Fwd: Re: Corona modelling

2020-04-30 Thread Chin Luh Tan
Just notice that this email was stuck due to the image attached was too large, and notice the new post by Claus with the SEIR model from Matlab, perhaps Scilabers could make the model more realistic together. CL Forwarded message From: Chin Luh Tan