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December 23, 2002 >> Receive this email as text  >> About this email 
 In this Issue

>> From the editor: 2003 data management preview
>> Featured Topic: The 2002 database top ten
>> Expert Technical Advice: New expert advice, forum posts, and tips
>> Site Highlights:
* Webcast:The State of the Web Services Union
* Webcast: IT salaries in 2003: Will they increase, decrease or stabilize?
* Learn Don Burleson's Oracle tuning secrets

 From the Editor:

by Tim DiChiara, Site Editor

The seemingly endless economic slump that has laid waste to so much of IT left the data management industry relatively unscathed in 2002, testimony to the critical importance of databases in the modern enterprise. The nadir has been reached; let's all breathe a sigh of relief. So what's in store for the humble DBMS in 2003?

Although spending won't return to '90s levels, the good news is that our latest research shows that the majority of data management budgets will increase or at least stay the same in 2003. Unfortunately, head counts will not increase concurrently, so doing more with less will continue to be the catch phrase from management.

In 2003, the usual suspects will continue to harshly battle for DBMS market share. Oracle's CFO recently predicted that the company will return to growth next year, a safe bet since it can't get much worse. Oracle will release version 10i of its database in June 2003 even though most of its customers haven't migrated to 9i yet. It will be a very tough sell. Oracle (and IBM) will continue to push Linux hard, propelling it from a second-rate Unix clone for hobbyists to worthy of mission-critical applications.

Microsoft will continue its relentless pursuit of small to medium-sized enterprises, releasing its next generation 64-bit SQL Server ("Yukon") in late 2003. This is the release that will put Microsoft on the enterprise-level data management map but its Windows-only requirement will continue to limit its growth in large data centers. Integration with .NET will proceed with little regard to the confusion of IT managers around the world.

IBM, flush with success from the ascendancy of DB2 in 2002, will push its new version 8 hard in 2003. Already dominant on the mainframe, it will focus its efforts on Windows and Unix platforms -- and, of course, on stealing customers from Oracle. It will find this a steep uphill battle.

The best of the rest -- Sybase, Intersystems, Progress, CA, Pervasive, open source, object databases, etc. -- will find niches in a specific application or vertical industry or die a slow death. Sybase has already done this in the mobile database space and may cut its losses elsewhere.

On the development front, XML will not disappear; indeed, it will prosper, despite doubts from relational purists. With 2003's releases, XML and web services functionality will be more deeply embedded in the major DBMS products. As a result, pure-play "XML databases" will crash and burn. Oh, and XML will finally be actually used instead of just talked about.

Finally, a few predictions that are guaranteed to come true: Databases will continue to exponentially increase in size. System heterogeneity will worsen. Availability, security, performance, and ROI will be remain the mantra in the data center. Alas, a day will remain a mere 24 hours long.

In 2003, the SearchDatabase.com team will do its best to cover the latest trends and continue to provide you with highest quality technical advice from the industry's leading experts. Let us know how we're doing!

Happy holidays, and have a great new year, Tim


 Featured Topic:

The 2002 database top ten
by Tim DiChiara, Site Editor
We analyzed traffic stats, ratings, and feedback and came up with a list of your favorite SearchDatabase content in 2002. Inside you'll find the best of the best tech tips, news analysis, and Ask the Expert advice...

Read more about this topic

 Expert Technical Advice:

Featured Expert Pat Phelan, Data modeler

Category: Database design
Pat has an eclectic background that dates back to when the field was still called Data Processing and used punched cards. He has worked on systems ranging from IBM mainframes, through mini-computers (DEC, HP, PR1ME, etc), to microcomputers, to process control machines. Ask him your questions about database design!
View all Pat's answers

This Week: In the forums
>> Hash join versus nested loop
Member "Max" is still waiting for an answer! He is trying to find rules for choosing between a hash join and a nested loop. . Go to our "Data warehousing and data analysis" forum if you can offer any advice.
>> Online form to database connectivity
Member "Wambui" is developing a data entry form on the web that connects to both an Access and Oracle database using ASP. He's having connection troubles, however. Go to our "Database-web connectivity forum" forum if you can offer any advice.

Tip of the Week:
There are times when there isn't a suitable front-end that can perform a word wrapping task and so it has to be done by SQL Server itself. Here is a UDF, called udf_TxtN_Wrap, that wraps a nvarchar string at a given line length.
>> Word wrapping with T-SQL

 Site Highlights

The State of the Web Services Union
Get a year-end look at industry standards from best-selling author Eric Newcomer
The core Web services standards -- SOAP, WSDL and UDDI -- were quickly and widely adopted. Learn about standards at the next, more critical level in this recent webcast.

View a recent webcast on 2003 IT salaries
Learn if IT salaries will increase, decrease or stabilize in the coming year
Is your salary at risk due to the current economic situation? View this webcast to find out if you can expect salary changes.
Learn Don Burleson's Oracle tuning secrets
View Don's presentation today and learn some of his time-saving secrets
Get Oracle tuning tips from the expert who literally wrote the book on Oracle tuning. Don Burleson reveals several important secrets and techniques for tuning your Oracle database in this webcast, including:
* "Silver bullets"
* Minimizing disk I/O
* SQL optimization
* SGA tuning
* Trend-based Oracle tuning


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