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 America Started This Ukraine Crisis

by William Pfaff

 

Paris, August 7, 2014 -- I find it very disquieting that so few among the West 
European and American commentators on the Ukraine crisis, private or public, 
seem concerned that the United States has started this affair, and that it is 
not inconceivable that it may end in a war.

 

Worse yet, Washington’s demonization of Vladimir Putin has been so successful 
in the American press and public, and its secrecy about the American role in 
Kiev, has left the public in the United States and in NATO Europe convinced 
that this has all been the result of a Russian strategy of aggressive expansion 
into Ukraine, and not a bungled and essentially American attempt to annex 
Ukraine to NATO and the European Union, and to undermine the domestic political 
position of President Putin — which all has gone badly and dangerously wrong.

 

The Ukrainian coup d’état in February was prepared by Washington. Why else were 
the State Department official in charge of Europe and Eurasian Affairs, 
Victoria Nuland, together with officials of the European Union and a number of 
intelligence people present, in company with the “moderate” Ukrainians 
programmed to take over the government after the planned overthrow of the 
corrupt (but elected) President Viktor Yanukovych? Even President Obama, in 
Mexico for a “summit”, was waiting to supply a video feed speeding the 
overthrown Mr. Yanukovych on his way, and congratulating the “democratic” 
victors.

 

But then, as the night wore on, things got out of hand. The riot police and the 
opposition forces went out of control. In a video made at the time, the 
American candidate for prime minister, Arseniy Yatsenyuk, said desperately, 
“Ukraine is in a big mess.”

 

Even though the immediate mess was eventually sorted out, and Mr. Yatsenyuk 
(“Yats” to Secretary Nuland) was soon (briefly) the prime minister -- and 
immediately was welcomed to Washington to dine at the White House with the 
American president -- one must ask what was accomplished by all this that did 
not discredit the United States and the EU, and draw towards Ukraine and the 
American troops today deployed in Poland and the Baltics, and towards NATO 
itself, the storm-clouds of a useless war?

 

It is the latest (and probably last) step in a foolish American and European 
betrayal of the promise given to Mikhail Gorbachev by President George H.W. 
Bush, at the time of the unification of Germany, that if the Soviet Union 
agreed to a newly united Germany’s assuming the Federal Republic’s existing 
place as a member of NATO, no NATO troops would be stationed in what formerly 
had been the Communist German Democratic Republic.

 

The deal was done, and at the time was a cause for congratulations on all 
sides, since it removed the principal obstacle to Germany reunion, considered 
desirable (and inevitable) by the western countries, and as inevitable, given 
Germany’s history, by Moscow as well.

 

This agreement was undermined during the Clinton presidency by measures that 
first gave the former Warsaw Pact countries of Eastern Europe what might be 
described as cadet NATO membership (the “Partnership for Peace”).

 

Agreement to actual NATO admission came as part of the European Union 
Maastricht treaty in 1991, and in 1999 Poland, Hungary and Czechoslovakia (soon 
to become two states) became NATO members, and in 2004 the Baltic States, 
Romania and Bulgaria.

 

Washington and the EU then turned their attention to the Caucasus and Ukraine. 
As early as 1987, the EU’s “Europe 2000” plan for expansion named Ukraine, 
Moldavia, and Belarus as eventual candidates for EU membership.

 

Georgia was the first to be invited to prepare for NATO membership, and took 
this as a sign that NATO and the U.S. would underwrite its military recovery of 
its “lost lands,” and launched an attack on South Ossetia. Russia’s patience 
was exhausted. The Russian army promptly defeated the Georgians and took over 
the Ossetian statelet, and nearby Abkhazia as well. Washington and the NATO 
allies voiced loud outrage. But it was Georgia that had started this little war 
of national revenge.

 

NATO was, and remains, an alliance effectively under complete American control. 
Its arrival on the frontier of the former Soviet Union was viewed by the new 
Russia of Vladimir Putin with disquiet. This was not supposed to have happened.

 

It would take a closer knowledge than I possess of the workings of American 
government to explain why it decided to take control of post-1990 Central and 
Eastern Europe, following Communism’s collapse. For Poland, the former 
Czechoslovakia, the Baltic states, Hungary and Romania, who suffered badly 
under the Communists, NATO membership obviously offered reassurance.

 

But for Georgia and other states in the Caucasus, and for Ukraine, NATO 
membership amounted to an annexation by NATO of nations formerly among the 
historical territories of Soviet or Czarist Russia. Why should the United 
States and the original states of the European Union — western, Roman Catholic 
or Protestant Christian, Atlantic-oriented states — decide to dismantle 
historical Russia by taking over nations once part of Russia itself (and in the 
Ukranian case had been the instrument of Russia's conversion to Christianity), 
or had been colonies, some of them Muslim, of the Czars.

 

That, in any case, is where we are now, and Russia’s reaction is not simply 
that of an aggressive and authoritarian President Putin — as the West likes to 
make out — but the hostility of a significant part of the Russian population, 
which only now has recovered its national self-confidence and ambition.

 

What was the intent of all this? To create an east-west civil war in Ukraine? 
Why is that in the American interest? Russia’s intervention in such a futile 
war handed it back Crimea, but also apparent responsibility for some fool’s 
shooting down a passenger airliner.

 

Dmitri Trenin, Director of the Carnegie Center in Moscow, recently offered the 
following observations: Vladimir Putin's essential requirements are:

 

NATO excluded from Ukraine.

 

No U.S. troops on Russia’s borders.

 

Protection and preservation of the Russian cultural identity of the south and 
east of Ukraine.

 

Keeping Crimea Russian.

 

Putin won’t yield. Any serious concession to the U.S. would cause him to fall 
from power, and produce disorder in Russia.

 

For the future, he considers the U.S. in decline. He does not look to alliance 
with a rising China but to Germany, which he sees as the coming leader of a 
powerful Europe.

 

What is Barack Obama’s interest in all this? What about the Washington hawks 
responsible for what is happening? Why have they done this without an 
explanation to the American people?

 

There is only one possible solution now: negotiated truce on the Ukraine 
frontier, followed by Russo-American and EU agreement on the permanent 
existence of an independent and autonomous Ukraine. The alternative could be 
major war.   http://www.williampfaff.com/modules/news/article.php?storyid=690 
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