Kaj,
One can postulate about when a cake will be baked, collect and analyze lots
of data on potential cake materials, calculate the probability it will be
baked, 'prove' mathematically it will be baked, or 'prove' that it has been
baked before, or 'prove' that it's a simulated world and the cake is not
real....but in the end I've still got to discover the 'process' to bake it
and then do it, that is, if I want to eat cake.
The 'process' that is singularity is absolutely interdisciplinary, because
knowledge is one, and exponential knowledge advance will center around one
knowledge. Which is why singularity has not been discovered by people
working in individual disciplines. Individuals fixated on the problem from
the perspective of any single discipline are simply not able to see this
single 'process' of singularity.
Kind Regards,
Bruce LaDuke
Managing Director
Instant Innovation, LLC
Indianapolis, IN
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
http://www.hyperadvance.com
----Original Message Follows----
From: "Kaj Sotala" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Reply-To: [email protected]
To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: [singularity] ESSAY: Artificial intelligence within our
lifetime?
Date: Tue, 27 Mar 2007 17:30:10 +0300
On 3/27/07, Bruce LaDuke <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
Kaj,
Here's my perspective on this topic:
http://www.hyperadvance.com/blog01/index.php?blog=2&title=the_key_to_artificial_intelligence&more=1&c=1&tb=1&pb=1
Bruce,
"We do not need to mimick the brain" is an opinion that I've seen
people have before, and which doesn't even sound all that implausible
to me. However, while I did give it some coverage in my article (under
the "general computer science" bit), the difficulty with that stance
is that A) it's hard to make estimates based on it B) it's utterly
unconvincing to many. Learning from the brain and uploading were the
approaches that were given the primary weight in my article because I
could give concrete references for those, as well as rough estimates
of when they might be achieved. I wasn't aware of anything nearly as
concrete that I could cite in support of the view in your blog, so I
left it out.
Kind Regards,
Bruce LaDuke
Managing Director
Instant Innovation, LLC
Indianapolis, IN
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
http://www.hyperadvance.com
----Original Message Follows----
From: "Kaj Sotala" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Reply-To: [email protected]
To: [email protected]
Subject: [singularity] ESSAY: Artificial intelligence within our lifetime?
Date: Fri, 23 Mar 2007 19:55:04 +0200
My first attempt at writing something Singularity-related that
somebody might actually even take seriously. Comments appreciated.
--------------------------------
http://www.saunalahti.fi/~tspro1/artificial.html
In recent years, some thinkers have raised the issue of a so-called
"superintelligence" being developed within our lifetimes and radically
revolutionizing society. A case has been made (see, for instance,
[Vinge, 1993] [Bostrom, 2000] [Yudkowsky, 2006]) that once we have a
human-equivalent artificial intelligence, it will soon develop to
become much more intelligent than humans - with unpredictable results.
Often, people seem to have less trouble with the idea of machine
superiority than with the idea of us actually developing an artificial
intelligence within our lifetimes - to most people, true machine
intelligence currently seems very remote. This text will attempt to
argue that there are several different ways by which artificial
intelligence may be developed in the near future, and that the
probability of this happening is high enough that the possibility
needs to be considered when making plans for the future.
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