This isn't totally relevant, but have you heard of Korea's drafting of a robot ethics charter?
On Tue, May 20, 2008 at 10:57 AM, Phillip Huggan <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > Hello. Have some projections of society's future and where AGI/AI fits in > the mix. The earliest benchmark where I see AGI as being potentially good > is #13. Fighting UFAI by developing antivirus software is already useful > now. Fighting UFAI by monitoring supercomputer applications may already > make sense now, and by #11 for sure: > > 1) Near-term primary goal to maximize productive peron/yrs. > 2) Rearrange capital flows to prevent productive person/yrs from being lost > to obvious causes (ie. UN Millenium development goals and invoking > sin-taxes), with effort to offer pride-savings win-win situations. > Re-educate said workforce. Determine optimum resource allocation towards > civilization redundancy efforts based upon negative externality accounting > revised (higher) economic growth projections. Isolate states exporting > anarchy or not attempting to participate in globalized workforce. Begin > measuring purchasing parity adjusted annual cost to provide a Guaranteed > Annual Income (GAI) in various nations. > 3) Brainstomring of industries required to maximize longeivty, and to > handle technologies and wield social systems essential for safely > transitioning first to a medical/health, then to a leisure society. > 4) Begin reworking bilateral and global trade agreements to reward actors > who subsequently trend towards #3. Begin building a multilateral GAI fund to > reward actors who initiate #5. > 5) Mass education of society towards health/medical and other #3 sectors. > Begin dispensing GAI to poor who are trending towards education/employment > relevant to #3 sectors. > 6) Conversion of non-essential workforces to health/medical R+D and other > #3 sectors. Hopefully the education GAI load will fall and the fund can > focus upon growing to encompass a larger GAI population base in anticipation > of the ensuing leisure society. > 7) Climax of medical/health R+D workforce. > 8) Mature medical ethics needed. Mature medical AI safeguards needed. > Education in all medical AI-relevant sectors. Begin measuring AI medical R+D > advances vs. human researcher medical R+D advances. > 9) Point of inflection where it becomes vastly more efficient to develop AI > medical R+D systems rather than educating researchers (or not if something > like real-time human trials bottleneck software R+D). Subsequent surplus > medical/health labour-force necessitates a global GAI by now at the latest. > AI Medical R+D systems become a critical societal infrastructure and human > progress in the near-term will be limited by the efficacy and safety (ie. > from computer virii) of these programs. > 10) Leisure society begins. Diminishing returns from additional resource > allocations towards AI medical R+D. Maximum rate of annual longevity gains. > 11) Intensive study of mental health problems in preparation for #13. > Brainstorming of surveillence infrastructures needed to wield engineering > technologies as powerful as Drexler-ian nanotechnology. Living spaces will > resemble the nested security protocols of a modern microbiology lab. > Potentially powerful occupations and consumer goods will require increased > surveillence. Brainstorming metrics to determine the most responsible > handlers of a #13 technology (I suggest something like the CDI Index as a > ranking). > 12) Design blueprints for surveillence tools like quantum-key encryption > and various sensors must be ready either before powerful engineering > technologies are developed, or be among the first products created using the > powerful technology. To maintain security for some applications it may be > necessary to engineer entire cities from scratch. Sensors should be designed > to maximize human privacy rights. The is a heighten risk of WWIII from this > period on until just after the technology is developed. > 13) A powerful engineering technology is developed (or not). The risk of > global tyranny is highest since 1940. Civilization-wide surveillence > achieved to ensure no WMDs unleashed, and no dangerous technological > experiments. A technology like the ability to cheaply manufacture precision > diamond products, could unleash many sci-fi-ish applications including > interstellar space travel and the hardware required for recursively > improving AI software (AGI). This technology would signal the end of > capitalism and patent regimes. A protocol for encountering technologically > inferior ETs might be required. Safe AGI/AI software programs would be > needed before desired humane applications should be used. Need mature > sciences of psychology and psychiatry to assist the benevolent > administration of this technology. Basic Human Rights, goods and services > should be administered to all where tyrannical regimes don't possess > military parity. > 14) Weaponry, surveillence, communications and spacecraft developed to > expand the outer perimeter of surveillence beyond the Solar System. Twin > objectives: to ensure no WMDs such as rogue AGI/AI programs, super high > energy physics experiments, kinetic impactor meteors,etc., are created; and > to keep open the possibility of harvesting resources required to harness the > most powerful energy resources in the universe. The latter objective may > require the development of physics experiments and/or AGI that conflicts > with the former objective. The latter objective will require a GUT/TOE. > Developing a GUT may require the construction of a physics experimental > apparatus that should be safe to use. Need a protocol for dealing with > malevolent ETs at approximate technological parity with humanity. Need a > protocol to accelerate the development of dangerous technologies like AGI > and Time Machines if the risks from these are deemed less than the threat > from aliens; there are many game-theoric encounter scenarios to consider. > This protocol may be anthropomorphic to how to deal with malevolent/inept > conscious or software actors that escape the WMD surveillence perimeter. > 16) If mapping the energy stores of the universe is itself safe/sustainable > or if using the technologies needed to do so is safe, begin expanding a > universe energy survey perimeter, treating those who attempt to poison > future energy resources as pirates. > 17) If actually harnessing massive energy resources or using the > technologies required to do so is dangerous, a morality will need to be > defined that determines a tradeoff of person/yrs lost vs. potential energy > resources lost. The potential to unleash Hell Worlds, Heavens and permanent > "in-betweens" is of prime consideration. Assuming harnessing massive energy > resources is safe (doesn't end local universe) and holds a negligible risk > of increasing odds of a Hell World or "in betweens", I suggest at this point > invoking a Utilitarian system like Mark Walker's "Angelic Heirarchy", > whereby from this point on, conscious actors begin amassing "survival > credits". As safe energy resources dry up towards the latter part of a > closed universe (or when atoms decay), trillions of years from now, actors > who don't act to maximize this dwindling resource base will be killed to > free up resources required to later mine potentially uncertain/dangerous > massive energy resources. Same thing if the risk of unleashing Hell Worlds > or destroying reality is deemed too high to pursue mining the energy > resource: a finite resource base suggests those hundred trillion yr old > actors with high survival credit totals, live closer to the end of the > universe, as long as enforcing such a morality is itself not energy > intensive. A Tipler-ian Time Machine may be the lever here; using it or not > might determine net remaining harvestable energy resources and the > quality-of-living hazard level in taking different courses of action. > 18a) An indefinite Hell World. > 18b) An indefinite Heaven World. > 18c) End of the universe for conscious actors, possibly earlier than > necessary because of a decision that fails to harness a dangerous energy > source. If enforcing a "survial credit" administrative regime is energy > intensive, the Moral system will be abandoned at some point and society > might degenerate into cannabalism. > > > Make www.everyclick.com your search engine and IBRA your chosen charity. > Two cents for every search is donated to a charity that will increase > agri-yields and mitigate Global Warming. > > ------------------------------ > *singularity* | Archives<http://www.listbox.com/member/archive/11983/=now> > <http://www.listbox.com/member/archive/rss/11983/> | > Modify<http://www.listbox.com/member/?&;>Your Subscription > <http://www.listbox.com/> > > ------------------------------------------- singularity Archives: http://www.listbox.com/member/archive/11983/=now RSS Feed: http://www.listbox.com/member/archive/rss/11983/ Modify Your Subscription: http://www.listbox.com/member/?member_id=4007604&id_secret=104200892-0d3a07 Powered by Listbox: http://www.listbox.com
