http://en.fondsk.ru/print.php?id=1540

 

  

 <http://top100.rambler.ru/top100/> 

12.08.2008

Dmitriy SEDOV

 

The Moment of Truth

Leaving Tbilisi, C. Rice probably smiled broadly at the Georgian
still-President. She must have thought: "Poor nice guy". Perhaps she even
cried as the plane was taking off – she had just signed her Georgian
friend's sentence. Well, the laws of the US politics have no mercy to
individuals in general and to tamed apes in particular. In the meantime, the
still-President, inspired by the promises he heard from Condoleezza,
launched urgent preparations for an attack on South Ossetia. Troops –
soldiers, tanks, mobile hospitals and mortuaries - started moving towards
the security zone. It seems that he was sincerely unaware that a political
death sentence had been handed out to him and was soaping the rope for
himself with his own hands. 

He is too young and his credulity is still uninfluenced by experience. It
just did not occur to him that the US needed his help to do something quite
tricky – to drag Georgia into NATO without destroying the existing structure
of relations with Russia. Washington was quick to realize that Moscow would
struggle to retain its historical positions as much as it can and that the
objective cannot be accomplished noiselessly. Saakashvili did not suspect
that from the start he was appointed to play the role of a kamikaze with a
mission to blow up the whole situation and transform it into something
totally new. This was the reason why weapons were fed massively to Georgia
since the very first days of the Rose Revolution and why it was being
directly conditioned for a war. Saakashvili's personality invites a
comparison with an aggressive orang-outang heavily fed with bananas and
taught to attack strangers. He came to believe sincerely that he had become
a key player in the global politics and enjoyed the support of the world's
number one country. His brain was not big enough to appreciate the
sophistication of his boss's political wisdom, and he loyally obeyed the
trainer's commands having no idea what finale loomed ahead. 

The US stopped believing in a peaceful integration of Abkhazia and South
Ossetia into Georgia a long time ago. It was understood in the US very well
that the defiant Republics would never agree to the option, nor would Moscow
let them do it. As a result, the US spent four years working towards an
urgent solution. The idea was that a kamikaze President was to launch an
aggression against Tskhinvali, thus triggering Russia's response, and get
defeated by the "evil empire". The outcome would warrant the admission of
the tiny Georgia to NATO without unnecessary formalities like a membership
plan. Under the scenario, a leak of information concerning Saakashvili's
actual role will be impossible to prevent, and some of the Europeans would
rather not see him in their company. That is a serious circumstance for Mr.
Saakashvili. The genocide facts will inevitably become broadly known, and he
will be a figure unfit to lead Georgia to NATO. He will have to be replaced.
The task is easy to accomplish – the small and defenseless Georgia will
remain on the alliance's agenda while Saakashvili, who – as the US
Department of State will put it – is partially guilty, will be eliminated by
one shot in the back of the head or inhale emissions from a heater at the
apartment of one of his girlfriends, as it has happened to Georgian
politicians in the past. The compromised orang-outang with small brain will
present a problem to his trainers, he will be able to reveal shocking
details of his work for them, and, generally, he will be a disturbance. It
will make sense to silence him forever, especially as the corresponding
methods are nothing new. 

It appears that the US has drawn up a realistic plan of a war to the last
Georgian soldier. Since Russia has no intention to spread the military
operation beyond the security zone and is going to limit its activity in the
Georgian territory to surgical airstrikes, the results of the US
preparations for Georgia's NATO membership will remain unaffected. Those are


- The population's anti-Russian sentiment; 

- The vehemently anti-Russian and pro-US ruling elite; 

- The infrastructure which is practically ready to host the US troops; 

- The "global public opinion" outraged as a result of an anti-Russian
campaign. 

Everything is ready. The time to withdraw troops and to open negotiations
will come after the active phase of the process. The need to protect Georgia
and to admit it to NATO urgently will be invoked, and the ascension of a
more moderate figure than Saakashvili to the Georgian Presidency will
reassure Moscow which will need a lot of time to recover after a global
smear campaign. 

There is a problem with the plan, though. In its framework, Georgia
undoubtedly loses not only South Ossetia but also Abkhazia. Thus Russia is
offered an exchange: it gets the two de-facto Republics while NATO gets
Georgia. Even though for Georgia the amputation of Abkhazia means the loss
of access to a segment of the Black Sea coast desired by NATO generals,
there still remains Ajaria with the Batumi seaport. Combined with the
Sevastopol naval base in Ukraine, which is currently leased by Russia but
will eventually fall into the hands of the US as well, this is enough to
encircle the Russian navy. 

At the moment, the US is interested in the escalation of hostilities in
Georgia as this is the quickest way to reinstate the concept of Russia as
the "evil empire" in the West. Currently, this is the US top priority – in
case Russia manages to break the informational blockade, to demonstrate the
real situation in the conflict zone to the world, and to expose those openly
and implicitly responsible for the massacre, Georgia's chances to get a pass
to NATO would shrink. Therefore, the show must go on! The Western media
cannot be expected to be objective and unbiased – this is not their
function. Rather, it is likely that Russian President D. Medvedev –
similarly to Yugoslavian President S. Milosevic - will be branded the
butcher of Tskhinvali. 

The US plan is nearly error-free. Only a slight mistake has been made – it
should be taken into account that traits occasionally surface in the Russian
character for which Russians are likened to an awakened bear. What if
Russians are not going to agree to the scenario which is already understood
by the Kremlin? Georgia's tremendous vulnerability stems from the fact that
it is a Republic based on the discrimination against all the nations other
than Georgians. As a result, it can collapse momentarily, for example, in
case the Abkhazians extend assistance to other nations which are no less
eager to be independent. What if they will? We would be more than happy
should this happen. We would hate to see an apery breeding ferocious
orang-outangs set up in the Caucasus. 

 

Post Scriptum

One often hears that "the prominent and cultured Georgian nation" must not
be equated with the criminal clique which has seized power in Georgia. The
statement actually makes little sense. In reality, "the prominent and
cultured Georgian nation" is no less infected with Nazism than "the
prominent and cultured German nation" used to be in its darkest epoch. It
would take a Denazification in Georgia, a process that would also encompass
a De-Americanization, to make friendship with the Georgian nation possible.
At the moment, the majority of Georgians hates Russia, and it is nor
Russia's fault that Georgians fell so easily to Washington's dirty
propaganda. 



[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]


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