A Test for International Actors: Enforcing Sudan’s Withdrawal from Abyei



Posted by Amanda Hsiao on May 16, 2012








JUBA, South Sudan -- Taking the first of many steps deemed necessary
by the international community for bringing South Sudan and Sudan back
from the brink, the South Sudan government has pulled out its police
forces from the Abyei area. The move, which was confirmed by U.N.
peacekeepers on the ground officially on May 10, follows on decisions
from both the African Union and the United Nations that redeployment
“of all Sudanese and South Sudanese forces out of the Abyei Area”
should take place within two weeks—or, by today.

The U.N.-A.U. decision is only the most recent international attempt
aimed at de-militarizing the volatile border region of Abyei. While
South Sudan’s police forces have verifiably withdrawn, Sudan’s army,
the SAF, still maintains a 300-strong force in Abyei town.

Just a year ago, the Sudan army responded disproportionately to an
alleged southern ambush in Abyei and invaded and occupied the area
whose status—whether it belongs to the North or the South—is yet to be
determined. The SAF occupation, which included widespread looting and
destruction of civilian properties, brought the two sides close to
all-out war, just ahead of South Sudan’s independence. In response,
the international community pushed through a temporary agreement on
Abyei in June 2011 that, as one of its key provisions, called for the
immediate withdrawal of all Sudanese and South Sudanese forces.
Regardless, SAF forces remained in Abyei.

Following the June agreement, Sudanese and South Sudanese
representatives later agreed to a timetable that would result in the
full redeployment of both armies outside of the Abyei area by the end
of September 2011. The Khartoum government resisted. Sudanese
officials argued that SAF withdrawal could only take place once the
U.N. peacekeeping mission, or UNISFA, was fully deployed, though no
conditions related to that position were stipulated in either the June
agreement or September timetable. Over time, Sudanese officials began
saying that full withdrawal was conditioned on the formation of the
Abyei administration. The establishment of the Abyei administration
has been held up because of an impasse between the two sides over the
appointment of the speaker of the legislative council.

At the same time, South Sudan police also remained in the area,
raising questions of whether the police were simply SPLA in different
uniform—an issue that has arisen in Abyei in the past. Southern
officials claimed that the police, comprised of the local Ngok Dinka
population, were present to maintain law and order. But now, South
Sudan has withdrawn its police.

On a practical level, it appears that the UNISFA peacekeeping force
has been relatively successful as securing the area, despite the SAF
presence. In a press conference in Juba on Tuesday, Dr. Luka Biong,
South Sudan’s chief representative in a bilateral North-South
committee mandated with administering the Abyei area, said that UNISFA
has done a “splendid job” despite the security challenges posed. But,
over 100,000 Ngok Dinka displaced from the attacks last year will
remain displaced, because of the potential for insecurity that the
continued SAF presence poses.

On a symbolic level, Khartoum’s continued resistance to withdrawal
will be viewed as a first test of the international community’s
ability to enforce the A.U.-U.N. roadmap aimed at bringing Sudan and
South Sudan back from the brink, and with that, its credibility as a
mediator of North-South issues going forward. Just two days ago,
Sudanese officials once again reiterated that SAF withdrawal from
Abyei could take place only after the formation of the Abyei
administration. In response, southern officials are warning that if
Sudan does not withdraw its forces from Abyei, the southern army will
have to be redeployed back into the region.

If the international community fails to push Khartoum to implement
this first piece of the A.U.-U.N. roadmap, how seriously will either
Juba or Khartoum approach the implementation of the remaining
provisions going forward?

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