SADC respects Zimbabwe’s early election date – By Simukai Tinhu

June 17, 2013

SADC secretary general Tomaz Salomao stated that the Zimbabwean
Constitutional Court's ruling on an end of July election would be
respected.

On 15th the Southern Africa Development Community (SADC) held an
extraordinary summit on Zimbabwe in Maputo. The main issue discussed
was the 31st July election date set under the pretext of complying
with the Constitutional Court’s ruling that elections must be held by
the end of July. The opposition and pro–democracy forces cried foul,
and accused President Mugabe of subverting the constitution.

At the end of the summit, the SADC secretary general, Tomaz Salomao
briefed reporters of its outcome: “the summit acknowledged the ruling
of the constitutional court on the election date and it will be
respected.” He added that “What the summit recommended was, in
recognising that there was need for more time, that the government of
Zimbabwe engages the constitutional court to ask for more time beyond
the deadline of July 31.”

Tendai Biti, the secretary general of the Movement for Democratic
Change – Tsvangirai (MDC – T) had summarised the summit deliberations
to his supporters through his facebook page. In his summation, which
departs from that of SADC’s official communiqué, Biti wrote,
“Government through the Ministry of Justice is ordered and directed to
make an application to the constitutional court following
consultations by all political parties, seeking to move the date of
the election from the 30th July 2013.”

The wording and substance of Biti’s summation is problematic. Not only
does the MDC secretary general superimpose the words ordered and
directed, but he fails to mention that the regional body acknowledged
the ruling of the constitutional court on the 31st July election date
and therefore cannot be overturned. This would be tantamount to
interference into the internal affairs of another country. Thus SADC
made a recommendation, and not a directive, as was implied in Biti’s
summation.

The recommendation is also not binding. In other words, it is up to
the government, (through the Ministry of Justice and Legal affairs) to
make an application and seek an extension. The misleading wording by
the MDC – T Secretary General can be forgiven as being a show for his
party’s followers. But unfortunately, this statement, which conflicts
with the SADC version of the outcome, has sent opposition supporters
into celebrations, interpreting this outcome as a victory for the
opposition and pro-democracy forces.

Is the outcome of the SADC summit a cause for celebration, and can we
call it a victory for the opposition? Several scenarios might now
unfold:

First, it appears that the regional body has urged, and not directed
the opposition forces and ZANU – PF to consult each other on the need
to approach the constitutional court and request that elections are
delayed. The President, through his Ministry of Justice and Legal
Affairs, might seek recourse to the Constitutional Court if he is
sufficiently convinced that there is need for an extension. The
Ministry of Justice cannot apply to the courts on the basis that the
President acted unconstitutionally. SADC has made it clear that they
acknowledge and respect the original outcome of the Constitutional
Court, but most probably on the basis that it is impractical to have
elections on the 31st July.

If President Mugabe states that he is unconvinced by the arguments for
an extension, SADC has no mechanism or legal mandate to coerce
President Mugabe to approach the courts. However, it appears that
President Mugabe has conceded on this issue. Speaking in Maputo just
after the summit, he told reporters that “It is a happy outcome for
Zimbabwe… the final decision was that perhaps we should appeal to the
court to examine the reasons for the arguments that have been made by
others for giving people a little longer time. Our Ministry of Justice
is going to do that to appeal to the court and the decision of the
court then will be binding on us. But if the Court says okay go beyond
July 31st by a week or two, I hope it will satisfy the others
(opposition) who want a little more time.”

However, according to Lovemore Madhuku, the head of National
Constitutional Assembly, an omnipotent organisation when it comes to
constitutional matters in Zimbabwe, the government has no legal basis
or “jurisprudence in approaching the Constitutional Court seeking an
extension.” It should, however, be recognised that President Mugabe
has successfully sought delays of local election on three previous
occasions.

If the President does indeed seek an extension, the constitutional
court might dismiss the application for different reasons. It is
important to note that it is the same judges who were subject to abuse
and ridicule by the opposition who are now being asked to review (and
overturn) their ruling following intervention of SADC on behalf of the
opposition. Madhuku also added that if the courts accept the
application, this will effectively make SADC heads of state a defacto
higher court, in the process creating a precedent where future
litigations will approach SADC.

Another Zimbabwe legal expert, Terence Hussein, added that President
Mugabe might genuinely apply for an extension, but the Constitutional
Court might question the government approaching it to seek an
extension over an order that it has complied with. Patrick Chinamasa,
whose ministry is tasked with making the application, has also stated
that there is no guarantee that the courts will allow for a delay.

If it turns out that the Supreme Court, sitting as the Constitutional
Court, dismisses the application then what will the opposition’s next
course of action be? Will they accept the decision, or seek SADC’s
intervention once more? SADC does not have legal power in a member
state to reverse court decisions – its secretary general also stated
in his briefing to the press that the court ruling will be respected.

Secondly, SADC’s recommendation is asking the state to seek an
extension beyond the 31st July by at least two weeks. It would be a
surprise if President Mugabe requests an extension beyond two weeks
considering his party wants the elections to be held sooner rather
than latter. Indeed, he told reporters that he will seek an extension
of only “one or two weeks.”

It is therefore inconceivable that reforms that could not be made in
four years will be carried out within the two weeks. Patrick
Chinamasa, the ZANU–PF strategist and Minister of Justice and Legal
Affairs, has stated that he would only implement what the parties have
agreed on. He added that “If we do not agree then there is nothing to
implement, until we agree on a particular reform then there is nothing
to reform….As ZANU-PF, we are contesting the idea that there is any
need for reforms…” Such intransigence clearly indicates that reforms
are unlikely to take place at all, let alone within the two week
extension period. The question is what the opposition forces would do?
Appeal, once again, to SADC or boycott the elections?

Thirdly, and most seriously, which for some reason the opposition
appear to have ignored, is that the current parliament expires on the
29th June 2013. The new constitution says that elections must be held
within fours weeks following the expiry of the parliament (so 31st
July is in perfect compliance with the constitution). By declaring
31st July as the election date, President Mugabe argues that he is
trying to limit individual exercise of power by ensuring that all
three branches of government (the Judiciary, Legislature and
Executive) exist at the same time.

After June 29, there will only be the judiciary (the same court
derided by the opposition) and the Executive led by President Mugabe.
The life of the Zimbabwe Parliament can only be lawfully extended
during times of war or when a state of emergency has been declared,
two scenarios that are not currently relevant. Giving President Mugabe
the chance to rule by decree might be something that the opposition
lives to regret.

ZANU–PF is regrouping, strategising and even preparing for the World
Tourism Summit that they hope to co-host with Zambia in August. The
opposition is celebrating, even when there appears to be little to
celebrate. But ZANU-PF is a tough party to deal with. It would be more
advisable for the opposition to task itself with more important issues
such as campaigning, encouraging its supporters to register as voters
and attempting to  forge an alliance, if they are to stand a better
chance of unseating President Mugabe’s party.

Simukai Tinhu is a political analyst based in London.

-- 
You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups 
"South Sudan Info - The Kob" group.
To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email 
to [email protected].
To post to this group, send email to [email protected].
To view this discussion on the web visit 
https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/SouthSudanKob/CAJb14opaA6dFgPWBUeMzfH7qRiLdQmGM-cpg9ppEZL8WBbQ%3DdA%40mail.gmail.com.
For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/groups/opt_out.


Reply via email to