Sorry it's long.  But you never know where or with whom forum posts end up.
I once found a post of mine referenced with full citation in a European
government (Netherlands?) publication on protecting historical structures.  

That's the problem with our cause.  Statistically speaking fire is very
rare, even rarer is a death or significant injury from something a sprinkler
would solve.  Newer homes by what ever measure (1 yr, 5 yr) are statically
insignificant in numbers.  Very new homes are indeed less prone to fire.
This is for two reasons.  Many causes like malfunctioning equipment are less
frequent because they have new things like HVAC, dryers, electrical wiring,
etc.  And perhaps more significant is fire disproportionately effects those
on the lower rungs of the socio-economic scale.  This is partly
behavioral/educational and partly they live in less safe homes.  Those
higher on the socio-economic scale are buying the new houses.  

Finding homes built in the last 5 years to use as an example do exist but
there are few.  And remember to deduct the multiple fire deaths in one fire.


These numbers are sloppy so bear with me.  300,000,000 Americans, 3,000 fire
deaths in homes.  <5 million homes built in the last 5 years.  Something up
to 200,000,000 existing homes.  Let's use 100,000,000 homes to exclude
apartments and other arrangements.  So if we started 5 years ago we might
have 5% of the homes sprinklered today.  Of these 5 million homes how many
do you really think had fires considering the statistical factors.  It will
take 100 years to turn over nearly all the homes.   We'll be dead from
global warming or regulating carbon by then anyway.   Think vs. airbags.
Cars only last 8-10 years max.  Didn't take long convert most car on the
road to airbag equipped. 

And even then we're only saving <3,000 people.  There's a saying in the fire
service/marshals if every one gets out it was a success.  Perhaps it's time
to raise the standard of success?  I ask that rhetorically - it is time.  

The firefighter risk is BS in my opinion.  About 100 die a year total and
only 20-30 something in the classical firefighting mode the public thinks
of. I'm sorry the sudden heart attack death 4 hours after a job the public
just doesn't see as a heroic FF death.  They see it as an underlying health
problem.  And not all of them are in single family homes.  AND THEY HAVE THE
OPTION TO NOT GO IN THE BUILDING WHEN THERE IS NOTHING TO GAIN!  It's risk
vs. benefit that often lacks. Often times by the time the FD arrives the
damage is done and fate is sealed.  The only thing we do is show off our
fancy expensive toys to those that paid for them.  I think the number that
die fighting forest fires is similar to those engage in SFH fires.  Many of
these are in airplanes.  

True rescues by the fire services are more rare than deaths I think.  I
often wonder if cops rescued more people than FF.  I personally know of more
cops that truly changed the life outcome during a fire then the FD.  Nothing
like crawling in the front door of what appears to be a fire only to have a
cop already outback on the deck knock most of it down with a 20lb
extinguisher after breaking in the back door.  Or smoke in the sky as you
leave the station only to find the cops and homeowner used a garden hose and
you find not much on arrival.    

The problem we are trying to solve won't show up in the numbers for years if
not decades.  This is the uphill battle we face.  Think any long term
problem.  Those that have to pay for it now may not ever see the benefit.
Another problem with America - the lack of willingness to sacrifice now for
the betterment of the future.  I blame this on the Boomers, being Gen-X
myself.  Just a little fun dig to my Boomer friends. Don't blame me you
raised us. I suppose Boomers could blame their parents.  

Don't get me wrong.  I'm am a very strong sprinkler advocate.  The IFC
change years ago was my code change proposal.  Others carried the torch in
NFPA and the IRC.

This debate of whether to sprinkler or not goes away once a few lawsuits are
filed after a loss that blames the homebuilder for not installing sprinklers
as a matter of he should have known the risk and it was preventable.  This
is a valid legal theory.  Having the dots connected to a loss one could
reasonably say should have been sprinklered, where there was no fault on the
owner and a clean line from homeowner to builder is needed.  Insurance could
do it under subrogation but they will tell you fire is not even near the top
losses they worry about.  Think weather as the big one.      

To beat our enemy we must understand our enemy, his motivations however
illogical and his tactics. 

We do need examples but they will be tough to come by. Ours is a noble cause
that benefits will only be fully reveled in time.   

But clearly I never really thought about it and don't have much to say about
the matter.           

Chris Cahill, P.E.
Fire Protection Engineer
Sentry Fire Protection, Inc.
 
763-658-4483
763-658-4921 fax
 
Email: [email protected]
 
Mail: P.O. Box 69
        Waverly, MN 55390
 
Location: 4439 Hwy 12 SW
              Waverly, MN 55390

-----Original Message-----
From: [email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Rod DiBona
Sent: Thursday, July 23, 2009 9:26 AM
To: [email protected]
Subject: RE: Update from Michigan

That's right Ron. And that will be powerful. It is sad but the truth is we
have to put "REAL" faces on this issue or everyone will look at it in the
abstract.

Rod DiBona

-----Original Message-----
From: [email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Ron Greenman
Sent: Thursday, July 23, 2009 8:20 AM
To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: Update from Michigan

Michael,

One more thing. When the next person dies in a fire you need to be
naming names of those who voted against this, the names of the elected
officials that appointed them and then you need to confront current
elected officials in a public forum on their opinion of the Michigan
Construction Code Review Committee's decision.

On Thu, Jul 23, 2009 at 4:41 AM, Michael
O'Brian<[email protected]> wrote:
> It was not a good day for us in Michigan yesterday.
>
> The Habitat for Humanity proposal to remove the residential fire sprinkler
> requirement from the code was accepted  10 to 2 by the Michigan
Construction
> Code Review Committee (2 nay votes to deny the proposal were labor and
fire
> service).
>
> The room (large 250 plus?) was filled to overflowing with the fire service
> or advocates of sprinklers being out numbered about ten  to one by the
> homebuilders. The Michigan fire service lead by the Inspectors association
> came out in very good numbers and put up a well organized fight as
compared
> to the other states The hearing began at 9:30 and concluded at 2:00 PM.
>
>  The key arguments put forward by the homebuilders were as follows.
>
>
>   - Sprinklers should be an option not mandatory,
>   - The cost of installation and other associated cost are too high.
>   - The necessity for mandatory installation is not justified given the
>   number of fire deaths.
>
> The home builders and Habitat representatives pounded away at those three
> points. A couple of other side issues we need to be aware of which  I
think
> could get legs in other states are as follows. The fact that a number of
> states have now removed the requirement during their code adoption process
>  was mentioned a couple of times. That momentum is going to be troubling
for
> us in the future.  The homebuilders suggested on a number of occasion that
> the sprinkler requirement is being pushed by a greedy group of sprinkler
> manufacturers , suppliers and contractors. In other words the motivation
is
> not life safety as much as it is profit driven.
>
> Aside from the above points there were the normal myths and misconceptions
> expressed by those who obviously have not taken the time to look into the
> technology, the requirements of 13D or the issue as a whole.  These were
> very frustrating and repeated by most in the proponent of the code change.
>  I was fascinated that they utilized 2 buses of advocates and they were
well
> beyond home builders.  They were just about every interest group including
> homebuilders, building officials, private interest, every habitat for
> humanity chapter from the state, and other low-income groups.
>
> The only comment made by the members of the committee came prior to a
motion
> to adopt. The comment came from a committee member who is a homebuilder
and
>  I understand is also a firefighter. He said that he would be voting to
> support the Habitat motion not because he thought the sprinkler
requirement
> was not appropriate but that the economy and depressed home building
market
> could not endure further pressure at this time. He stated he would vote in
> favor in 2012 if the economy turned around.
>
> Time for Plan B here in Michigan and we will see what that is.  But if you
> are interested in serving on some committees to help us on our 2012 push,
> let me know
> --
> Michael O'Brian
> Code Savvy Consultants
> O: 313-618-6401
> F: 313-557-0294
> [email protected]
> www.codesavvyconsultants.com
> www.inspector911.com
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-- 
Ron Greenman
Instructor
Fire Protection Engineering
Bates Technical College
Tacoma, WA

Member:
SFPE, ASCET, NFPA, AFSA, NFSA AFAA
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