Having over 30yrs experience with fire department fire pumps I can tell you 
there are brand new shiny ones that last a few years before needing overhaul 
and those that look like they sat outside all their lives and pump wonderfully. 
Manufacturer has a lot to do with it as well, some are simply better than 
others. As with any used piece of gear it should be torn down and overhauled. 
Sometimes something as simple as a cinder in the impeller of a centrifugal pump 
can cause enough vibration to wear the packing prematurely. One has to look at 
the fuel that was used, home heating oil ?, yes it happens and engines designed 
for ultralow, yes they'll run but take a look at the injectors afterward. Scot 
makes a good point, does it meet code ?  That notwithstanding I would suggest 
tearing it down, rebuild and retest otherwise we have no baseline.  Last but 
not least pumps, like most machines, will last a lifetime if there properly 
installed, tested and maintained.     
John Drucker - Mobile Email

----- Original Message -----
From: [email protected] 
<[email protected]>
To: [email protected] <[email protected]>
Sent: Thu Jun 20 05:20:09 2013
Subject: Pump Life Expectancy - risk assessment

Chris, I realize the response to this question sounds like I have a broken
record playing.  My intention is not on upsetting any "apple carts", the
intention here is just to offer a tool / method for discussion. The
question in this thread sounds a little bit like:

   1. we have a used fire pump
   2. resources are limited and there is not deep motivation to buy a new,
listed/approved fire pump if the existing fire pump can be demonstrated to
meet acceptable performance criteria,
   3. the fire pump may not have been tested to NFPA Standards for the
duration of its life

But, my ear could be wrong as to the tenor of this question...

1. Perhaps the user should first determine what is to them, an acceptable
performance critera, and publish this a priori.  If this acceptance
criteria is Lighter or lesser than an NFPA prescription, then I don't have
a problem with that, as long as the acceptance critiria is plainly and
publicly stated before the risk assessment is conducuted.   Determining
acceptance criteria before the risk assessment makes the process more
transparent and honest, and shifting of acceptance criteria during
discussion of mitigations will be more obvious.   I believe something to
this extent may have already been accomplished.  Examples of acceptance
criteria are:

1.  "We accept a 1 in 2,500 chance that the fire pump will not perform as
needed during a fire event in the next 7 years."
2.  "We accept a 1 in 1,500 chance that the fire pump will not perform as
needed during a fire event in the next 10 years."


2. Second, a risk assessment should determine what is the likelihood of an
acceptable performance from the fire pump.

This is where crowd sourcing, and not individual expert judgment can
provide an unequivocally more accurate answer.  Witness this is a
difficult-to-predict question.  Realize that NFPA is drawing up *lighter/more
appropriate* testing/inspection schedules now, but that does not
specifically answer our difficult-to-predict question, which roughly is,
"How many more years of acceptable service can we expect from this
particular diesel-engine driven fire pump?.


The prediction of the likelihood that the fire pump will provide x years
(7,10, 15, etc) years of acceptable performance  is a difficult risk
assessment.  But good information is available, if not readily obtainable.
 My risk assessment would include  a crowd  using much more than experts.
 My risk assessment would include lay people, who arguably know more than
we, and possess more experience than us, about diesel engines and pumps.
 These lay people can be asked in such a way that their answers will not be
motivated to appease a corporation whose increased profits are directly
related to getting favorable testing intervals and acceptance criteria
adopted  in NFPA prescriptions.  My crowdsource would include the following
persons:

 1.   NFPA 24 and 25 committee members, if we could get them to volunteer a
prediction,
 2.   mechanics with more than 20 years of experience working on road and
rail diesel engines
 3.   trucking companies with large inventories of diesel-engine trucks and
good records of engine performance
 4.   military quartermaster corps who arguably have the largest inventory
of trucks,  (and perhaps pumps)
 5.   diesel truck drivers
 6.   old farmers .."why not in Minot?"  as many farmers use diesel tractors
 7.   old fire pump inspectors
 7.  average, common people who use diesel engines

For fire pumps,  there also is a large pool of risk assessment forecasters
with excellent skills as well, but again we can take advantage of analogous
experience.  While fire pumps may go an entire life without working a live
job, many other disciplines have the experience and knowledge from working
their pumps to the point of failure.  For risk assessment on fire pumps, we
could include in our crowdsource:

1.  centrifugal pump (if that is the pump we are focussed on) mechanics
with more than 20 years experience.  These do not have to be *ONLY *fire
pump mechanics... take advantage of other centrifugal pump experience as
well.
2. fire department pumper maintenance and repair  shops with more than 40
years experience,
3. fire departments (those that keep good records on fire pump performance
throughout their county's fleet)
4. fire department engineers/drivers

>From this example, perhaps we can see that people who frame these Standards
are engaged in answering difficult questions, i.e. "what is an appropriate
ITM schedule?", but these people have some powerful resources.  If these
Standards start prescribing that performance of systems be recorded in
public records, in 50 years time we may have a database that will readily
answer these difficult questions without guessing.  Maybe the militaries
already have these databases.

There will always be an need for guessing.  I am hoping, in 50 years time,
we won't need to be guessing about these same fire questions, but instead
our children will be asked to volunteer forecasts on crowdsourced questions
focussed on much more socially significant issues.

Scot Deal
Excelsior Fire/Risk Engineering
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