Will Technology Make A Large Number of Humans Redundant?

World over nations are grappling with the impending implosion in finances.
While the West has few humans left to tax, the Developing World has a
problem of plenty. The two populous countries of Asia-China and India put
together have close to 3 bn in numbers. Worse at a 2 per cent annual growth
these nations are adding more to the employment pool than can ever be
profitably deployed. The rich are consequently becoming more rich and poor
are moving deeper into poverty. And yet the media adds aspiration to a
large swathe of people, desperate for an upliftment to their lives. While
China has traditionally followed the leftist ideology, economics are
forcing nations like India to also veer towards the left. The answer
however lies in curbing unwanted humans or additions thereon and not
socialist measures.

On Thursday the social networking entity Facebook acquired a messaging
service provider "WhatsApp" for USD 19 bn, in a cash and stock deal that is
reminiscent of the blockbuster deals of the previous bubble years of
1999-2000. The acquisition here targets 450 mn whatsapp users who may
combine with the 1 bn users of Facebook and make the buying entity grow. If
the deal was bad then the US markets did not say so. Infact shares of FB
rose by US 2 per share, raising the market cap of this 10 year old entity
to USD 180 Bn, and made Marck Zuckerberg worth USD 30 Bn at the ripe age of
30.

Ofcourse there is a dichotomy here. The social network aims to connect
billions of people across boundaries in a seamless mobile platform. Whether
such a business will ever make money, that one is not sure. After all huge
entities like Google, Amazon and their acquisitions YouTube, Instagram and
Nest make virtually no money. And yet someone has come forth and paid USD
19 bn for a team of 50 engineers who may or may not move from WhatsApp to
FB.

If mobile is the new computing platform then airwaves would be used to
channel satellite feeds of movies, events, music and data to handheld
devices. In some form they will make redundant the existing telecom
carriers but worse the FB-whatsapp deal underscores that money lies in
ideas and not setting up brick and mortar plants for manufacturing cement,
paper, television sets and telephones. The Developing world with nations
like Brazil, China and India need to realise that numbers will neither add
to GDP or will ever get deployed in Tech enterprises that hardly need
manpower.

In a rapidly evolving World, demographic liability now stares us in the
face rather than dividends. The efforts to sell basic industry to this new
age public will not bring in any money. Now we can try and sell SAIL, SCI,
RCF, HZL and the like to people. These deals are unlikely to enrich either
the citizens or the Government in Developing nations. They will perpetually
remain short of money and thus share at deficits for years to come.

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