Sun Pharma specialty strategy for the US is taking space as the company has
stepped up business development as per recent in-licensing opportunities,
approvals and acquisitions. The company is focusing on building out its
branded portfolio for dermatology and ophthalmology in the US. We look at
the recent news flow on the potential deal to acquire a US specialty
company, InSite, along with the pipeline and SUNP strategy over the medium
term. While near term focus is likely to remain on the upside from
integration with Ranbaxy and the resolution of outstanding issues in Halol,
we view the focus beyond generics positively for medium term growth and
margins.

· *Potential deal with InSite.* As per media reports (*Economic Times*),
Sun Pharma plans to acquire a specialty ophthalmic product developer,
InSite Vision (Not covered) for equity value of Rs3bn. InSite’s DuraSite
platform has already been leveraged in two commercial topical ophthalmic
products for the treatment of bacterial eye infections, AzaSite 1%,
marketed in the US by Akorn (covered by US analyst Dana Flanders), and
Besivance 0.6%, marketed by Bausch + Lomb Incorporated (sub of Valeant
Pharma covered by US analyst Chris Schott). The company indicated in its
presentation that it could see potential milestones and further royalty
streams from ROW partnerships for AzaSite (NiCox/Europe, Senju/Japan).

· *InSite annual report highlight near term and medium term
opportunities.* InSite
has already filed NDA with the USFDA for BromSite (0.075% bromfenac for
treatment and prevention of ocular pain in the post-cataract surgery
setting) and has received a PDUFA date of 10-Apr-2016. Another drug,
DexaSite (treatment of blepharitis), is likely to be filed with the USFDA
in 1H2016. Unlike AzaSite, the company has retained rights to the product
in the US for BromSite and retained global rights for DexaSite.

· *Focus on building Specialty portfolio positive for SUNP, in our view.* A
positive outcome from any such deal announcement would help augment SUNP’s
ophthalmic portfolio in the US, which is in-line with its stated strategy
to build branded portfolio in dermatology and ophthalmology segments. SPARC
also announced a licensing deal with SUNP for commercialization of its
ophthalmology drug, Xelpros (but USFDA approval denied due to ongoing
issues in SUNP’s Halol facility). SUNP had indicated in the release then
that this deal will facilitate its entry into the branded Ophthalmology
segment in the US and strengthen its presence in the US specialty segment.
We see SUNP looking at enhancing its Ophthalmology portfolio in the US
going forward from any potential deal with InSite, new hire to head the
Ophthalmology business in the US and other ophthalmic product in SPARC
pipeline (like Xelpros, Brimonidine OD with IND filing by 4QFY16) as
potential licensing opportunities.

· *M&A – Small and Specialty in the near term*: SUNP has net cash of
~$875Mn as of Mar-15, which coupled with the FCF generation ($4+ bn over
FY16-18), will continue to support the company’s inorganic growth strategy
to drive earnings growth. The complexity of the recent RBXY deal may
provide limited management bandwidth for any large acquisition in new
areas/markets in the near term, but continue to see SUNP strengthening its
US (specialty, branded and new technology) and EM business through further
business development.

*Figure* 1: InSite Commercialized and Pipeline Opportunities

Source: InSite Annual Report.
*Investment Thesis*

The integration of RBXY and improvement in operating performance are key
potential drivers in the medium term. While the deal is likely to be
EPS-dilutive in the first year after completion leading to volatile
quarterly results, improvement in trend and expected synergies should add
value to SUNP’s existing business over the medium term. Further, strong FCF
generation and net cash balance should help drive inorganic growth in the
long term.
*Valuation*

Our Dec-16 PT of Rs1075 is based 24x P/E, a 20% premium to the domestic
peer group given the superior margins we see over the medium term and a
balance sheet for inorganic growth

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