-------- Forwarded Message --------
Subject: S&P500 Fut: Has To Sustain Over 2020-2030 For Further Rally
Date: Fri, 11 Mar 2016 23:13:09 +0530
From: Asis Ghosh <asis...@gmail.com>
Reply-To: asis...@gmail.com
*Trading Idea:(SPF)*
CMP: 2016
Sell around 2020-2030;
TGT: 2005-1980*-1920-1885-1845-1790* (1-3M)
TSL> 2040
Note: Consecutive closing (3 days) above 2040 zone for any reason, SPF
may further rally up to 2075-2095 and 2110-2135 in the near term
(alternative bullish case scenario)
Draghi came out with a "Bazooka" and eventually fired all the shots, but
in the epic press conference admitted that he may be fast out of further
ammunition (with a caveat that till conditions/inflation did not pick up).
Now, with oil stabilizing between $40-30 in the near term, lower base
effect may not be there on the inflation and we may see a hawkish Fed
with "hold" stance to keep the differential between USD & EUR. In this
way Fed may manage the divergent monetary policy between it and
ECB/BOJ/PBOC.
Despite all these, SPF rallied by only 1% so far from yesterday's
Pre-ECB level (1995), but it has already rallied around 12% from the
recent bottom (1804), which is showing that all the recent central
bank's action (FED/ECB/BOJ/PBOC) may be already discounted by the market
to a great extent.
On the other side, yesterday's ECB and recent BOJ action prove that
Central Bankers are increasingly in a panic & desperate state of mood
and may be soon out of ammunition.
Ultimately, recent commodity"boom & bust"indicating that its the "easy
money" (QQE), which is largely responsible for reckless addition in
production without the corresponding real demandand further QQEor even
NIRP/ZIRPmay not help the "real street"as expected.
*Analytical Charts:*
<https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-lUnWgQdz_gg/VuL7E_DkcjI/AAAAAAAAGcY/um-DFExZyg4Khk5Iz_6hLhzdjX1NKAWrA/s1600/SPF-11-03-2016.png>
<https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-TN0dhrBPU4Y/VuL7HqyB9uI/AAAAAAAAGcc/LnjosQk5ta08KYkVJjyDx3kFUm6DFSsoQ/s1600/SPF-FIBB-11-03-2016.png>
<https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-zPF8SPW6qFg/VuL7KKZvplI/AAAAAAAAGcg/wxQziDpKIWUhTyfb-qeDMtj3YvQdlM2vQ/s1600/SPF-WK-11-03-2016.png>
<https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-eAl0U8aWsH0/VuL7PMFrKsI/AAAAAAAAGck/BkrUB1nm080cvQVTqy8DJkKO09M4WcxOw/s1600/SPF-PATTERN-11-03-2016.png>
<https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-3x_eNBM2tLY/VuL7RHt9QUI/AAAAAAAAGco/OziLXjYR0ZgXP4tnUoRXiUu4y2CdOH8VQ/s1600/SPF-TL-11-03-2016.png>
<https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-3OBxnLFJHfY/VuL7TGT56RI/AAAAAAAAGcs/T9z9GzB9UbEAg2e6CdbrYOu7lqHoFGX1w/s1600/SPF-EW-11-03-2016.png>
--
Thanks & Regards,
Asis Ghosh
(asisghosh.blogspot.com)
NCFM-TA Certified
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